Alpha

Youssef_Louraoui

In this article, Youssef LOURAOUI (Bayes Business School, MSc. Energy, Trade & Finance, 2021-2022) elaborates on the concept of alpha, one of the fundamental parameters for portfolio performance measure.

This article is structured as follows: we introduce the concept of alpha in asset management. Next, we present some interesting academic findings on the alpha. We finish by presenting the mathematical foundations of the concept.

Introduction

The alpha (also called Jensen’s alpha) is defined as the additional return delivered by the fund manager on the overall performance of the portfolio compared to the market performance (Jensen, 1968). A key issue in finance (and particularly in portfolio management) has been evaluating the performance of portfolio managers. The term ‘performance’ encompasses at least two independent dimensions (Sharpe, 1967): 1) The portfolio manager’s ability to boost portfolio returns by successful forecasting of future security prices; and 2) The portfolio manager’s ability to minimize (via “efficient” diversification) the amount of “insurable risk” borne by portfolio holders.

The primary hurdle to evaluating a portfolio’s performance in these two categories has been a lack of a solid grasp of the nature and assessment of “risk”. Risk aversion appears to predominate in the capital markets, and as long as investors accurately perceive the “riskiness” of various assets, this indicates that “risky” assets must on average give higher returns than less “risky” assets. Thus, when evaluating portfolios’ performance, the implications of varying degrees of risk on their returns must be considered (Sharpe, 1967).

One way of representing the performance is by linking the performance of a portfolio to the security market line (SML). Figure 1 depicts the relation between the portfolio performance in relation to the security market line. As illustrated in Figure 1 below, Fund A has a negative alpha as it is located under the SML, implying a negative performance of the fund manager compared to the market. Fund B has a positive alpha as it is located above the SML, implying a positive performance of the fund manager compared to the market.

Figure 1. Alpha and the Security Market Line

Estimation of alpha

Source: Computation by the author.

You can download below an Excel file with data to compute Jensen’s alpha for fund performance analysis.

Download the Excel file to compute the Jensen's alpha

Academic Literature

Jensen develops a risk-adjusted measure of portfolio performance that quantifies the contribution of a manager’s forecasting ability to the fund’s returns. In the first empirical study to assess the outperformance of fund managers, Jensen aimed at quantifying the predictive ability of 115 mutual fund managers from 1945 to 1964. He looked at their ability to produce returns above the expected return given the risk level of each portfolio. Not only does the evidence on mutual fund performance indicate that these 115 funds on average were unable to forecast security prices accurately enough to outperform a buy-and-hold strategy, but there is also very little evidence that any individual fund performed significantly better than what we would expect from mutual random chance. Additionally, it is critical to highlight that these conclusions hold even when fund returns are measured net of management expenses (that is assume their bookkeeping, research, and other expenses except brokerage commissions were obtained free). Thus, on average, the funds did not appear to be profitable enough in their trading activity to cover even their brokerage expenses.

Mathematical derivation of Jensen’s alpha

The portfolio performance metric given below is derived directly from the theoretical results of Sharpe (1964), Lintner (1965a), and Treynor (1965) capital asset pricing models. All three models assume that (1) all investors are risk-averse and single-period expected utility maximizers, (2) all investors have identical decision horizons and homogeneous expectations about investment opportunities, (3) all investors can choose between portfolios solely based on expected returns and variance of returns, (4) all transaction costs and taxes are zero, and (5) all assets are infinitely fungible. With the extra assumption of an equilibrium capital market, each of the three models produces the following equation for the expected one-period return defined by (Jensen, 1968):

Equation for Jensen's alpha

  • E(r): the expected return of the fund
  • rf: the risk-free rate
  • E(rm): the expected return of the market
  • β(E(rm) – rf): the systematic risk of the portfolio
  • α: the alpha of the portfolio (Jensen’s alpha)

Why should I be interested in this post?

If you are a business school or university student, this post will help you to understand the fundamentals of investment.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Portfolio

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Systematic risk and specific risk

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Beta

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Markowitz Modern Portfolio Theory

   ▶ Jayati WALIA. Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

Useful resources

Academic research

Fama, Eugene F. 1965. The Behavior of Stock Market Prices.Journal of Business 37, 34-105.

Fama, Eugene F. 1967. Risk, Return, and General Equilibrium in a Stable Paretian Market. Chicago, IL: University of Chicago.Unpublished manuscript.

Fama, Eugene F. 1968. Risk, Return, and Equilibrium: Some Clarifying Comments. Journal of Finance, 23, 29-40.

Lintner, John. 1965a. Security Prices, Risk, and Maximal Gains from Diversification. Journal of Finance, 20, 587-616.

Lintner, John. 1965b. The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets.Review of Economics and Statistics 47, 13-37.

Markowitz, H., 1952. Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7, 77-91.

Sharpe, William F. 1963. A Simplified Model for Portfolio Analysis. Management Science, 19, 425-442.

Sharpe, William F. 1964. Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk. Journal of Finance, 19, 425-442.

Sharpe, William F. 1966. Mutual Fund Performance. Journal of Business39, Part 2: 119-138.

Treynor, Jack L. 1965. How to Rate Management of Investment Funds.Harvard Business Review 18, 63-75.

Business analysis

JP Morgan Asset Management, 2021.Glossary of investment terms: Alpha

About the author

The article was written in November 2021 by Youssef LOURAOUI (Bayes Business School,, MSc. Energy, Trade & Finance, 2021-2022).

Security Market Line (SML)

Youssef_Louraoui

In this article, Youssef LOURAOUI (Bayes Business School, MSc. Energy, Trade & Finance, 2021-2022) presents the Security Market Line (SML), a key concept in asset pricing derived from the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).

This article is structured as follows: we first introduce the concept of Security Market Line (SML). We then present the mathematical foundations of the SML. We finish by presenting an investment strategy that can be implemented relying on the SML.

Security Market Line

The SML reflects the risk-return combinations accessible in the capital market at any given time for all risky assets. Investors would choose investments based on their risk appetites; some would only consider low-risk investments, while others would welcome high-risk investments. The SML is derived from the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which describes the trade-off between risk and expected return for efficient portfolios.

The expected relationship between risk and return is depicted in Figure 1. It demonstrates that as perceived risk increases, investors’ required rates of return increase.

Figure 1. Security Market Line.
Security Market Line
Source: Computation by the author.

Under the CAPM framework, all investors will choose a position on the capital market line by borrowing or lending at the risk-free rate, since this maximizes the return for a given level of risk. Whereas the CML indicates the rates of return of a specific portfolio, the SML represents the risk and return of the market at a given point in time and indicates the expected returns of individual assets. Also, while the measure of risk in the CML is the standard deviation of returns (total risk), the measure of risk in the SML is the systematic risk, or beta. Figure 2 depicts the SML line combined with four different assets. Asset A and B are above the SML line, which implies that they are overvalued. Asset C and D are below the SML which implies that they are undervalued. From Figure 2, we can implement an investment strategy by going long if the asset or portfolio lies under the SML and going short if the asset or portfolio is greater than the SML.

Figure 2. Security Market Line with a plot of different assets.
Security Market Line with a plot of different assets
Source: Computation by the author.

Mathematical foundation

The SML plots an individual security’s expected rate of return against systematic, undiversifiable risk. The risk associated with an individual risky security is determined by the volatility of the security’s return, not by the market portfolio’s return. Individual risky securities bear a proportional share of the systematic risk. The only risk that an investor should be compensated for is systematic risk, which cannot be neutralized through diversification. This risk is quantified using the beta, which refers to a security’s sensitivity to market fluctuations. The slope of the SML is equal to the market risk premium and reflects the risk-reward trade-off at a particular point in time. We can define the line of the SML as:

img_SimTrade_SML_graph

Mathematically, we can deconstruct the SML as:

SML_formula

Where

  • E(Ri) represents the expected return of asset i
  • Rf is the risk-free interest rate
  • βi measures the systematic risk of asset i
  • E(RM) represents the expected return of the market
  • E[RM – Rf] represents the market risk premium.

Beta and the market factor

William Sharpe (1964), John Lintner (1965), and Jan Mossin (1966) independently developed the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). The CAPM was a significant evolutionary step forward in capital market equilibrium theory because it allowed investors to value assets correctly in terms of risk. The CAPM makes a distinction between two forms of risk: systematic and specific risk. Systematic risk refers to the risk posed by the market’s basic structure, its participants, and all non-diversifiable elements such as monetary policy, political events, and natural disasters. By contrast, specific risk refers to the risk inherent in a particular asset and so is diversifiable. As a result, the CAPM solely captures systematic risk via the beta measure, with the market’s beta equal to one, lower-risk assets having a beta less than one, and higher-risk assets having a beta larger than one.

In the late 1970s, the portfolio management industry sought to replicate the market portfolio return, but as financial research advanced and significant contributions were made, it enabled the development of additional factor characteristics to capture additional performance. This resulted in the development of what is now known as factor investing.

Estimation of the Security Market Line

You can download an Excel file with data to estimate the Security Market Line.

Download the Excel file to compute the Security Market Line

Why should I be interested in this post?

The security market line is frequently used by portfolio managers and investors to determine the suitability of an investment product for inclusion in a portfolio. The SML is useful for determining whether a security’s expected return is favourable in comparison to its level of risk. The SML is frequently used to compare two similar securities that offer approximately the same rate of return to determine which one has the lowest inherent market risk in relation to the expected rate of return. Additionally, the SML can be used to compare securities of comparable risk to determine which one offers the highest expected return for that level of risk.

If you are a business school or university undergraduate or graduate student, this content will help you in broadening your knowledge of finance.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Portfolio

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Systematic and specific risk

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Beta

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Factor Investing

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Origin of factor investing

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Markowitz Modern Portfolio Theory

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Capital Market Line (CML)

Useful resources

Academic research

Drake, P. and Fabozzi, F., 2010. The Basics of Finance: An Introduction to Financial Markets, Business Finance, and Portfolio Management. John Wiley and Sons Edition.

Lintner, J. 1965a. The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets. The Review of Economics and Statistics 47(1): 13-37.

Lintner, J. 1965b. Security Prices, Risk and Maximal Gains from Diversification. The Journal of Finance, 20(4): 587-615.

Mossin, J. 1966. Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market. Econometrica, 34(4): 768-783.

Reilly, R. K., Brown C. K., 2012. Investment Analysis & Portfolio Management, Tenth Edition.

Sharpe, W.F. 1963. A Simplified Model for Portfolio Analysis. Management Science, 9(2): 277-293.

Sharpe, W.F. 1964. Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk. The Journal of Finance, 19(3): 425-442.

About the author

The article was written in November 2021 by Youssef LOURAOUI (Bayes Business School, MSc. Energy, Trade & Finance, 2021-2022).

Capital Market Line (CML)

Youssef_Louraoui

In this article, Youssef LOURAOUI (Bayes Business School, MSc. Energy, Trade & Finance, 2021-2022) presents the Capital Market Line (CML), a key concept in asset pricing derived from the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM).

This article is structured as follows: we first introduce the concept. We then illustrate how to estimate the capital market line (CML). We finish by presenting the mathematical foundations of the CML.

Capital Market Line

An optimal portfolio is a set of assets that maximizes the trade-off between expected return and risk: for a given level of risk, the portfolio with the highest expected return, or for a given level of expected return, the portfolio with the lowest risk.

Let us consider two cases: 1) when investors have access to risky assets only; 2) when investors have access to risky assets and a risk-free asset (earning a constant interest rate, 2% for example below).

Risky assets

In the case of risky assets only, the efficient frontier (the set of optimal portfolios) is represented below in Figure 1.

Figure 1. Efficient frontier with risky assets only.
img_Simtrade_CML_graph_1
Source: Computation by the author.

Risky assets and a risk-free asset

In the case of risky assets and a risk-free asset, the efficient frontier (the set of optimal portfolios) is represented below in Figure 2. In this case, the efficient frontier is a straight line called the Capital Market Line (CML).

Figure 2. Efficient frontier with risky assets and a risk-free asset.
img_Simtrade_CML_graph_0
Source: Computation by the author.

The CML joins the risk-free asset and the tangency portfolio, which is the intersection with the efficient frontier with risky assets only. We can reasonably conclude from Figure 2 that, to increase expected return, an investor has to increase the amount of risk he or she takes to attain returns higher than the risk-free interest rate. As a result, the Sharpe ratio of the market portfolio equals the slope of the CML. If the Sharpe ratio is more than the CML, an investment strategy can be implemented, such as buying assets if the Sharpe ratio is greater than the CML and selling assets if the Sharpe ratio is less than the CML (Drake and Fabozzi, 2011).

Investors who allocate their money between a riskless asset and the risky market portfolio M can expect a return equal to the risk-free rate plus compensation for the number of risk units σP) they accept. This result is in line with the underlying notion of all investment theory: investors perform two services in the capital markets for which they might expect to be compensated. First, they enable someone else to utilize their money in exchange for a risk-free interest rate. Second, they face the risk of not receiving the promised returns in exchange for their invested capital. The term E(rM)- Rf) / σM refers to the investor’s expected risk premium per unit of risk, which is also known as the expected compensation per unit of risk taken.

Figure 3 represents the Capital Market Line which connect the risk-free asset to the efficient frontier line. The straight line in Figure 3 represents a combination of a risky portfolio and a riskless asset. Any combination of the risk-free asset and Portfolio A is similarly outperformed by some combination of the risk-free asset and Portfolio B. Continue drawing a line from Rf to the efficient frontier with increasing slopes until you reach Portfolio M’s point of tangency. All other possible portfolio combinations that investors could build are outperformed by the collection of portfolio possibilities along Line Rf-M, which is the CML. The CML, in this sense, represents a new efficient frontier that combines the Markowitz efficient frontier of risky assets with the ability to invest in risk-free securities. The CML’s slope is (E(rM)- Rf) / σ(M), which is the highest risk premium compensation that investors can expect for each unit of risk they take on (Reilly and Brown, 2012) (Figure 3).

If we fully invest our cash on the risk-free rate, we would be exactly on the y axis with an expected return of 2%. Each time we move along the curve that connects the risk-free rate to the optimum market portfolio, we allocate less weight to the risk-free rate, and we overweight more on riskier assets (Point A). Points M represents the optimal risky portfolio in the efficient frontier line, which minimizes the overall portfolio variance. It would have a weighting of 45% in stock A and a 55% in stock B, which would offer a 26.23% annualized return for a 17.27% annualized volatility. Point B represents a portfolio composition that is based on a leveraged position of 140% on the optimal risky portfolio and a short position on the risk-free asset of -40% (Figure 3).

Figure 3. Efficient frontier with different points.
img_Simtrade_CML_graph_2
Source: Computation by the author.

Mathematical representation

We can define the CML as the line that is tangent to the efficient frontier which connects the risk-free asset with the market portfolio:

img_SimTrade_CML_equations_0

Where:

  • σP: the volatility of portfolio P
  • Rf: the risk-free interest rate
  • E(RM): the expected return of the market M
  • σM: the volatility of the market M
  • E[RM– Rf]: the market risk premium.

The expected return of the portfolio can be computed as:

img_SimTrade_CML_equations_1

The Sharpe Ratio is shown in parenthesis, and it compares the performance of an investment, such as a security or portfolio, to the performance of a risk-free asset after adjusting for risk. It is calculated by dividing the difference between the investment returns and the risk-free return by the standard deviation of the investment returns. It denotes the additional amount of return that an investor receives for each unit of risk increase (Sharpe, 1963). We can define it mathematically as:

img_SimTrade_CML_equations_2

We can identify the following relationship between the slope of the CML and the Sharpe ratio of the market portfolio, defined mathematically as follows:

img_SimTrade_CML_equations_3

A simple strategy for stock selection is to buy assets with Sharpe ratios that are higher than the CML and sell those with Sharpe ratios that are lower. Indeed, the efficient market hypothesis implies that beating the market is impossible. As a result, all portfolios should have a Sharpe ratio that is lower than or equal to the market. As a result, if a portfolio (or asset) has a higher Sharpe ratio than the market, this portfolio (or asset) has a higher return per unit of risk (i.e. volatility), which contradicts the efficient market hypothesis. The alpha is the abnormal excess return over the market return at a given level of risk.

Why should I be interested in this post?

Sharpe ratio is a popular tool for assessing portfolio risk/return in finance. The Sharpe ratio informs the investor precisely which portfolio has the best performance among the available options. This simplifies the investor’s decision-making process. The higher the ratio, the greater the return for each unit of risk.

If you are a business school or university undergraduate or graduate student, this content will help you in broadening your knowledge of finance.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Portfolio

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Systematic and Specific risk

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Markowitz Modern Portfolio Theory

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Alpha

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Factor Investing

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Origin of factor investing

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Security Market Line (SML)

Useful resources

Academic research

Pamela, D. and Fabozzi, F., 2010. The Basics of Finance: An Introduction to Financial Markets, Business Finance, and Portfolio Management. John Wiley and Sons Edition.

Lintner, J. 1965a. The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets. The Review of Economics and Statistics 47(1): 13-37.

Lintner, J. 1965b. Security Prices, Risk and Maximal Gains from Diversification. The Journal of Finance, 20(4): 587-615.

Mossin, J. 1966. Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market. Econometrica, 34(4): 768-783.

Reilly, R. K., Brown C. K., 2012. Investment Analysis & Portfolio Management, Tenth Edition.

Sharpe, W.F. 1963. A Simplified Model for Portfolio Analysis. Management Science, 9(2): 277-293.

Sharpe, W.F. 1964. Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk. The Journal of Finance, 19(3): 425-442.

About the author

The article was written in November 2021 by Youssef LOURAOUI (Bayes Business School, MSc. Energy, Trade & Finance, 2021-2022).

Active Investing

Youssef_Louraoui

In this article, Youssef LOURAOUI (Bayes Business School, MSc. Energy, Trade & Finance, 2021-2022) elaborates on the concept of active investing, which is a core investment strategy that relies heavily on market timing and stock picking as the two main drivers of financial performance.

This article is structured as follows: we introduce the concept of active investing in asset management. Next, we present an overview of the academic literature regarding active investing. We finish by presenting some basic principles on active investing.

Introduction

Active investing is an approach for going beyond matching a benchmark’s performance and instead aiming to outperform it. Alpha may be calculated using the CAPM framework, by comparing the fund manager’s expected return with the expected market return (Jensen, 1968). The search for alpha is done through two very different types of investment approaches: stock picking and market timing.

Stock picking

Stock picking is a method used by active managers to select assets based on a variety of variables such as their intrinsic value, the growth rate of dividends, and so on. Active managers use the fundamental analysis approach, which is based on the dissection of economic and financial data that may impact the asset price in the market.

Market timing

Market timing is a trading approach that involves entering and exiting the market at the right time. In other words, when rising outlooks are expected, investors will enter the market, and when downward outlooks are expected, investors will exit. For instance, technical analysis, which examines price and volume of transactions over time to forecast short-term future evolution, and fundamental analysis, which examines the macroeconomic and microeconomic data to forecast future asset prices, are the two techniques on which active managers base their decisions.

Review of academic literature on active investing

As fund managers tried strategies to beat the market, financial literature delved deeper into the mechanism to achieve this purpose. Jensen’s groundbreaking work in the early ’70s gave rise to the concept of alpha in the tracking of a fund’s performance to distinguish between the fund’s manager’s ability to generate abnormal returns and the part of the returns due to luck (Jensen, 1968).

Jensen develops a risk-adjusted measure of portfolio performance that quantifies the contribution of a manager’s forecasting ability to the fund’s returns. He used the measure to quantify the predictive ability of 115 mutual fund managers from 1945 to 1964—that is, their ability to produce returns above those expected given the risk level of each portfolio.

Not only does the evidence on mutual fund performance indicate that these 115 funds on average were unable to forecast security prices accurately enough to outperform a buy-and-hold strategy, but there is also very little evidence that any individual fund performed significantly better than what we would expect from mutual random chance. Additionally, it is critical to highlight that these conclusions hold even when fund returns are measured net of management expenses (that is assume their bookkeeping, research, and other expenses except brokerage commissions were obtained free). Thus, on average, the funds did not appear to be profitable enough in their trading activity to cover even their brokerage expenses.

Core principles of active investing

First principle: market efficiency varies between asset classes.

Investment information is not always readily available in all markets. For less efficient asset classes, an “active” management strategy offers a larger possibility to outperform the market, whereas a “passive” investment strategy may be more appropriate for highly efficient asset classes. In other words, there are compelling advantages for incorporating both active and passive techniques into an overall portfolio.

For example, Wall Street analysts cover a huge portion of US large size shares, making it harder to locate cheap companies. For this highly efficient asset class, a passive investment strategy may be more cost-effective in some cases. On the other side, emerging market equities are sometimes under-researched and difficult to appraise, providing an active manager with additional opportunities to identify mispriced companies. The critical point here is to notice the distinctions and then make the appropriate decisions.

Second principle: market efficiency varies across asset classes.

Within practically every asset class, active and passive management strategies can alternate as winners periodically. Even the most efficient asset classes can occasionally benefit from active management over passive. The reason is substantially distinct from the one stated in Principle One. Principle Two is related to the “Grossman-Stiglitz Paradox”: If markets are fully efficient, there is no reason to investigate them; yet markets can only be perfectly efficient for as long as they are regularly investigated. When investors run out of patience researching stocks in a highly efficient market, passive investment becomes appealing, reopening the door to opportunities for active research. This can result in an annual cycle of active/passive trends.

In some investing environments, active strategies have tended to benefit investors more, while passive strategies have tended to outperform in others. For instance, active managers may outperform more frequently than passive managers when the market is turbulent, or the economy is deteriorating. On the other way, when certain securities within the market move in lockstep or when stock valuations are more consistent, passive strategies may be preferable. Investors may gain from combining passive and active strategies in a way that exploits these insights, depending on the opportunity in various areas of the capital markets. Market conditions, on the other hand, vary constantly, and it frequently takes an intelligent eye to determine when and how much to skew toward passive rather than active investments (Morgan Stanley, 2021).

It’s worth noting that attaining consistently successful active management has historically been more challenging in some asset classes and segments of the market, such as large US company stocks. As a result, it may make sense to be more passive in certain areas and more active in asset classes and segments of the market where active investing has historically been more rewarding, such as overseas stocks in emerging markets and smaller U.S. corporations (Morgan Stanley, 2021).

Why should I be interested in this post?

If you are a business school or university undergraduate or graduate student, this content will help you in broadening your knowledge of finance.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Portfolio

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Systematic and specific risk

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Alpha

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Factor Investing

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Origin of factor investing

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Markowitz Modern Portfolio Theory

   ▶ Jawati WALIA Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)

Useful resources

Academic research

Grossman, S., Stiglitz, J., 1980. On the impossibility of Informationally efficient markets. The American Economic Review, 70(3), 393-408.

Lintner, J. 1965a. The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets. The Review of Economics and Statistics 47(1): 13-37.

Lintner, J. 1965b. Security Prices, Risk and Maximal Gains from Diversification. The Journal of Finance, 20(4): 587-615.

Mangram, M.E., 2013. A simplified perspective of the Markowitz Portfolio Theory. Global Journal of Business Research, 7(1): 59-70.

Markowitz, H., 1952. Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 7(1): 77-91.

Mossin, J. 1966. Equilibrium in a Capital Asset Market. Econometrica, 34(4): 768-783.

Sharpe, W.F. 1963. A Simplified Model for Portfolio Analysis. Management Science, 9(2): 277-293.

Sharpe, W.F. 1964. Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk. The Journal of Finance, 19(3): 425-442.

Business analysis

Forbes, 2021. Active or Passive investing? Two principles provide the answer

JP Morgan Asset Management, 2021. Investing

Morgan Stanley, 2021. Active vs Passive management

About the author

The article was written in November 2021 by Youssef LOURAOUI (Bayes Business School, MSc. Energy, Trade & Finance, 2021-2022).

The IRR, XIRR and MIRR functions in Excel

The IRR, XIRR and MIRR functions in Excel

Photo Léopoldine FOUQUES

In this article, Léopoldine FOUQUES (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor of Business Administration, 2017-2021) presents the IRR function in Excel to compute the internal rate of return of a series of cash flows.

About Excel

Excel is by far the most used financial modeling tool across the world to build models and perform analysis. Knowing which Excel function to use can help employees in the financial sector (financial analysts, fund managers, risk managers, traders, etc.) to work faster and build a more powerful model.

The internal rate of return (IRR)

Definition

The computation of the internal rate of return (IRR) is based on the net present value (NPV) of an investment. In financial modelling, an investment is represented by a series of cash flows: CF0, CF1, CF2, …, CFT. For a classic investment, the first cash flow, CF0, is negative (outflow) and the future cash flows, CF1, CF2, …, CFT are positive (inflows).

The net present value (NPV) of an investment is computed according to the following formula:

NPV formula
where r is the discount rate that takes into account the risk of the project.

The IRR corresponds to the value of the discount rate for which the NPV is equal to 0:

IRR
The IRR is the solution of a non-linear equation:

IRR

Use in finance

One of the most important functions is the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) function, as it’s an easy function to compare an investment’s return, based on a series of cash flows.

The function is very useful in financial modeling. Indeed, it’s frequently used to compare scenarios before deciding about a project. An example is when a company is presented with two opportunities: one is investing in a new factory and the second is expanding its existing factory.

By using IRR, we can estimate the IRR for each scenario and verify which one is higher than the average cost of capital of the business (the Weighted Average Cost of Capital or WACC) is a calculation of a firm’s cost of capital in which each category is proportionally weighted).

The Excel functions to compute the IRR

Building a math-based calculation is time-consuming and complicated, so Excel offers three functions for the calculation of the internal rate of return: IRR, MIRR, and XIRR.

The IRR function

The IRR function uses one required argument and one optional:

  • The values: they represent the series of cash flows, including net income value and investments.
  • The guessed number for the expected internal rate of return. If omitted, the function will default to 0.1 (= 10%).

You can download the Excel file below in which I illustrate the use of the IRR function in Excel based on a simple example.

Download the Excel file to compute the IRR of an investment
Note that the IRR corresponds to a period rate. Monthly cash flows lead to a monthly IRR, quarterly cash flows lead to a quarterly IRR; and annual cash flows lead to an annual IRR. As, in practice, the standard is to work annual rates, monthly and quarterly IRR have to annualized.

Note that the use of the IRR function assumes that the period between each cash flow is the same (equal-size payment periods), for example one year.

From the IRR function to the XIRR function

If the period between each cash flow is not the same, the IRR function should not be used. It is the case with monthly cash flows as the months of the year may contain 28, 29, 30 or 31 days.

In this case, the XIRR function comes into play to calculate a correct internal rate of return, taking into consideration the periods of different sizes.

The XIRR function has three arguments:

  • The values
  • The dates for cash outflows and inflows.
  • The guessed number for the expected internal rate of return (optional argument).

You can download the Excel file below in which I illustrate the use of the IRR and XIRR functions in Excel based on a simple example.

Download the Excel file to compute the IRR and XIRR of an investment

From the IRR function to the MIRR function (Modified Internal Rate of Return)

The MIRR function is quite the same as the IRR function, except that it takes into consideration both the cost of borrowing the initial investment funds (discount rate) and reinvestment rates for future cash flows.

In contrast to IRR, MIRR assumes that cash flows from a project are reinvested at the firm’s cost of capital (rate of return on a portfolio company’s existing securities).

To compute the MIRR, the Excel function uses the following parameters:

  • The values
  • The guessed number for the expected internal rate of return (optional argument).
  • The financial rate: the finance rate of interest paid
  • The reinvest rate: the interest rate earned from the reinvested profit

MIRR formula
Where FV represents the Future Value of positive cash flows at the cost of capital for the company, PV represents the Present Value of negative cash flows at the financing cost of the company, and T represents the number of periods.

You can download the Excel file below in which I illustrate the use of the IRR and MIRR functions in Excel based on a simple example.

Download the Excel file to compute the IRR and MIRR of an investment
Some of the accountants say that the MIRR function is less valid than the other because not all the flows are reinvested fully. Although we can use a less important interest rate to compensate the partial investment; but we think the best approach will be the inclusion of the three calculations (IRR, XIRR, and MIRR).

Limits of the IRR

The non-linear equation for obtaining the IRR may have one solution, several solutions or no solution according to the sequence of cash flows. These represent limits of the IRR as an investor would like one value when estimating its investment.

Another limit of the IRR as a decision criterion for investing is that the result is not in agreement with the decision criterion based on NPV, which represents the value created by the investment.

You can download the Excel file below in which I provide an example to illustrate the limit of the IRR when selecting investment when two projects are available.

Download the Excel file to select investments based on IRR and NPV

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

▶ Jérémy PAULEN The IRR function in Excel

▶ Raphaël ROERO DE CORTANZE The Internal Rate of Return

▶ William LONGIN How to compute the present value of an asset?

▶ Sébastien PIAT Simple interest rate and compound interest rate

▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond valuation

Useful resources

Mazars Excel IRR Function And Other Ways To Calculate IRR In Excel

About the author

The article was written in November 2021 by Léopoldine FOUQUES (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor of Business Administration, 2017-2021).

Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands

Jayati WALIA

In this article, Jayati WALIA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022) presents the popular Bollinger bands used in technical analysis.

This post is organized as follows: we introduce the concept of Bollinger bands and provide an illustration with Apple stock prices. We delve into the interpretation of Bollinger bands as port and resistance price levels used to define buy and sell trading signals. We then present the techniques to compute the Bollinger bands and finally discuss their limitations.

Introduction

In the 1980s, John Bollinger, a long-time market technical analyst, developed a technical analysis tool for trading in securities. At that time, it was presumed that volatility was a static quantity, a property of a security, and if it changed at all, it would happen in a long-term period. After some experimentation, Bollinger figured that volatility was indeed a very dynamic quantity and a moving average computed on a time period (typically 20 days) with bands drawn above and below at intervals could be determined by a multiple of standard deviation.

Unlike a percentage calculation from a simple moving average, Bollinger bands simply add and subtract a standard deviation (or a multiple of the standard deviation, usually two). The tool thus represents the volatility in the prices of the security which is measured by the standard deviation of the prices of the security. The bands are used to understand the overbought or oversold levels for a security and to follow the price trends. The indicator/tool comprises of three main bands, an upper band, a lower band, and a middle band.

The middle band is a simple moving average (SMA), which is usually computed over a rolling period of 20 trading days (about a calendar month). The upper and the lower bands are positioned two standard deviations away from the SMA. The change in the distance of the upper and lower bands from the SMA determine the price strength (which is the strength of price trend of stock relative to overall market trend) and the lower and the upper levels for the stock prices. Bollinger bands can be applied to all financial securities traded in the market including equities, forex, commodities, futures, etc. They are used in multiple time frames (daily, weekly and monthly) and can be even applied to very short-term periods such as hours.

Figure 1 represents the evolution of the price of Apple stocks with the Bollinger bands for the period January 2020 – September 2021.

Figure 1. Bollinger bands on Apple stock.
Bollinger bands Apple stock
Source: computation by the author (data source: Bloomberg).

Figure 2 illustrates for the price of Apple stocks the link between the Bollinger bands and volatility measured by the standard deviation of prices. The lower the volatility, the narrower the bands.

Figure 2. Bollinger’s bands and volatility
Bollinger bands and volatility Apple stock
Source: computation by the author (data source: Bloomberg).

How to interpret Bollinger bands

Traders use the Bollinger bands to determine the strength of the price trend of a stock. The upper and lower bands measure the degree of volatility in prices over time. The width between the bands widens as the volatility in the stock prices increases and indicates a strong trend in the price movement. Conversely, the width between the bands narrows as the volatility decreases, indicating that the price of the security is range-bound. When this width is extremely narrow and contracting, it indicates that there can be a potential breakout in the price movement soon and is referred to as “Bollinger squeeze”. If the price crosses the upper band, it may indicate that the movement will be in an uptrend, and If the price crosses the lower band, it may indicate that the movement will be in a downtrend.

If the price hits the upper band, it indicates an overbought level in the security, and when the price hits the lower band, it indicates an oversold level. When the price crosses the upper band, traders consider it to a positive signal to buy the stock as the price trend is in an upward direction and shows great strength. Similarly, when the price crosses the lower band, traders consider it to a positive signal to sell the stock as the price trend is in a downward direction and shows great strength.

In other words, Bollinger bands act as dynamic resistance and support levels for the price of the security. Thus, once prices touch either of the upper or lower band levels, they tend to return back to the middle of the band. This phenomenon is referred to as the “Bollinger bounce” and many traders rely extensively on this strategy when the market is ranging and there is no clear trend that they can identify.

Calculation

The three bands of the Bollinger bands are calculated using the following formula:

Middle Band

The middle band is the simple moving average (SMA) over a 20-day rolling period. To calculate the SMA, we compute the average of the closing prices of the stock over the past 20 days.

SMA 20 days

To compute the upper and lower bands, we need first to compute the standard deviation of prices.

img_std_dev_bollinger_bands

Upper band

The upper band is calculated by adding the SMA and the standard deviation times two:

Bollinger upper band

Lower band

The lower band is calculated by subtracting the standard deviation times two from the SMA:

Bollinger lower band

Limitations of Bollinger bands

Bollinger bands are considered to be lagging indicators since they represent the simple moving average which is based on the historical stock prices. This means that the indicator is not very useful in predicting the future price patterns as the indicator signals a price trend when it has already started to happen.

To benefit from the Bollinger bands, traders often combine this indicator with other technical tools like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Stochastic indicators and Moving Averages Convergence-Divergence (MACD).

Related Posts

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Trend Analysis and Trading Signals

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Moving averages

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Standard deviation

Useful resources

Bollinger bands

Fidelity: Technical Indicators: Bollinger Bands

About the author

The article was written in November 2021 by Jayati WALIA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022).

Trend Analysis and Trading Signals

Trend Analysis and Trading Signals

Jayati WALIA

In this article, Jayati WALIA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022) presents an overview of trend analysis and trading signals in stock price movements.

This post is organized as follows: we introduce the concept of trends used in technical analysis and its link with support and resistance price levels used to define buy and sell trading signals. Then, we present the different types of trends and discuss the time frame for their analysis. Trends based on straight lines, moving averages and the Fibonacci method are presented in detail with examples using Moderna, Intel, Adobe and Apple stock prices.

Introduction

Trend Analysis is one of the most important areas of technical analysis and is key to determining the overall direction of movement of any financial security. The analysis of trends in asset prices is used to find support and resistance price levels and in fine generate buy and sell trading signals when these support and resistance price levels are broken.

Support and resistance

The support and resistance are specific points on the price chart of any security which can be used to identify trade entry and exit points. The support refers to the price level at which price generally bounces upwards and buying trend is strongest. Likewise, the resistance price is a price level at which selling power is strongest and the price of the security struggles to break above the resistance. The support and resistance levels can act as potential entry and exit points for any trade since it is at these levels that the price can either “break-out” of the current trend or continue moving in the same direction. The support and resistance can be determined by using prices or Japanese candlesticks.

Ways to define trends

The two main ways to define trends in financial markets are straight lines and moving averages. Straight lines simply give static support and resistance levels that do not change over time. Moving averages give dynamic support and resistance levels that are continuously adjusted over time. Another popular method to define trends is the Fibonacci method.

Trends based on straight lines

Overview

Trend lines are indicators to identify the trends in the price chart of a security within a time frame (say one week or one month). Trend analysis using trend lines takes specific price levels or zones that correspond to support and resistance. An uptrend is based on the principle of higher highs and higher lows; similarly, a downtrend is based of lower highs and lower lows.

These price levels are the major zones where the market seems to respond by making a strong advance or decline. If the stock prices are in an uptrend, it shows an increasing demand for the stock and if the stock prices are in downtrend, it shows an increasing supply for the stock.

Trend lines can be built by connecting two or more prices (peaks or troughs) in either direction of a stock price movement on a time frame determined by the trader (1 hour, 1 day, 1 week, etc.) over a period (3 months, 6 months, 12 months, etc.). For a trend line to be valid, a minimum of two highs or lows should be used. The more times price movement touches a trend line, the more accurate is the trend indicated by the line.

Different types of trends using straight lines

The use of market trends in technical analysis in financial markets is based on the concept that past movements in the prices of the stock provides an overview of the future movement. Note that such an approach is in contradiction with the Market Efficiency Hypothesis (EMH) developed by Fama (1970), which states that the best prediction of the price of tomorrow is the price of today (past prices being useless).

The prices of any financial asset in the market follows three major trends: up, down and sideways trends.

Up trend

When the stock prices follow an uptrend, it means the prices are reaching higher highs and higher lows on a pre-determined time frame (decided by the trader). The higher high of a stock price is the highest it reaches in each time frame and the lower lows is the lowest it reaches in that time frame. The constant rise and fall in the stock prices show that the market sentiments are bullish about the stock and the trader tries to buy the stock when it is at its lowest in the uptrend.

The following figure shows an upward channel trend in Moderna stock prices using Japanese
candlesticks. As observed in the graph, both the upper and lower trend lines connect minimum two peaks and troughs respectively. As the price crosses the upper trend line (resistance level), it enters an uptrend (or a bullish trend) indicating a buy signal.

Figure 1. Uptrend in Moderna stock.

Uptrend in Moderna stock

Source: computation by the author (data source: Bloomberg).

Down trend

A downtrend comprises of lower highs and lower lows in the prices of the stock. The stock prices follow a downward sloping trend, which shows a bearish sentiment in the stock. The traders resist to enter in a long position when the stock prices are in down trend.

The following figure shows Intel stock prices in a downtrend (or bearish trend) represented by upper and lower straight trends lines. When the price crosses the lower trend line (support level), it will enter into a downtrend indicating a sell signal.

Figure 2. Downtrend in Intel stock.

Downtrend in Intel stock

Source: computation by the author (data source: Bloomberg).

Sideways trend

In such a trend, the stock prices move in a sideways direction and the highs and lows of the stock price are constant for a period of time. Such price movements make it difficult for the trader to predict the future price movements of the stock. The trader trading in this stock tries to anticipate potential breakouts above the resistance level or below the support level. He or she enters in a long position when the price of the stock breaks the upper resistance level. Also, he or she can benefit from the sideways movement by entering in a long position when the stock prices retrace from the support level, to enjoy the stream of profits till the price reaches the resistance level.

Figure 3. Sideways trend in Adobe stock.

Sideways trend in Adobe stock

Source: computation by the author (data source: Bloomberg).

Trends based on moving averages

Overview

A moving average is an indicator to interpret the current trend of a stock price. A moving average basically shows the price fluctuations in a stock as a single curve and is calculated using previous price, hence it is a lagging indicator.

To measure the direction and strength of a trend, moving averages strategy involves price averaging to establish a baseline. For instance, if price moves above the average, the indicated trend is bullish and if it moves below the average, the trend is bearish. Moving averages are also used in development of other indicators such as Bollinger’s bands and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (also known as MACD).

The moving average indicator can be of many types, but the simple moving average (SMA) and exponential-weighted moving average (EWMA) are most commonly used. An n-period SMA can be calculated simple by taking the sum of the closing prices of a stock for the past ‘n’ time-periods divided by ‘n’.

Crossovers of moving averages is a common strategy used by traders wherein two or more moving averages can help determine a more long-term trend. Basically, if a short-term MA crosses above a long-term MA, the crossover indicates a downtrend and vice-versa indicates an uptrend. Traders can utilize it establish their position in the stock.

Example: Apple stock

Consider below the APPLE stock price chart using Japanese candlesticks. The lines in blue and yellow indicate 20-day (or 20-period) SMA and 50-day SMA respectively. We can observe that while the 2 lines are indicative of the movement of stock price fluctuations, the 20-day SMA is closer to the actual price movement and responds more quickly to price change.

We can also observe a crossover in the moving averages wherein the 20-day MA is crossing below the 50-day MA indicating a down trend in price movement.

Figure 4. Moving averages on Apple stock.

Moving averages in Apple stock

Source: computation by the author (data source: Bloomberg).

Fibonacci Levels

Fibonacci levels are a commonly used trading indicator in technical analysis that provides support and resistance levels for price trends. These levels can be used to determine more accurate entry and exit points by measuring or predicting the retracements before the continuation of a trend.

Fibonacci retracement levels are counted on numbers of the Fibonacci sequence (0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55 and so on). Each number (say 13) amounts to approximately 61.8% of the following number (13/21=0.618), 38.2% of the number after (13/34=0.382), and 23.6% of the number after (13/55=0.236).

Fibonacci analysis can be applied when there is an evident trend in prices. Whenever a security moves either upwards or downwards sharply, it tends to retrace back a little before its next move. For example, consider a stock that moved from $50 to $70, it is likely to retrace back to, say, $60 before moving to $90. Fibonacci levels can be used to identify these retracement levels and provide opportunities for the traders to enter new positions in the trend direction.

Example: Moderna stock

Consider below the Moderna stock price chart using Japanese candlesticks. We can see an evident uptrend (indicated by the straight trendlines in blue). The Fibonacci retracement levels have been plotted and we can notice that the ‘61.8% Fibonacci level’ intersects the rising trend line. Thus, it can serve as a potential support level. Further, it can also be observed that the price bounces from the 61.8% level before rising up again and it would have been a good entry point for a trader to take up a long position in the stock.

Figure 5. Fibonacci levels on Moderna stock.

Fibonacci levels in Moderna stock

Source: computation by the author (data source: Bloomberg).

Time frame

Trends also can vary among different time frames. For example, an overall uptrend on the weekly time frame can include a downtrend on the daily time frame, while the hourly is going up. Multiple time frame analysis can thus help traders understand the bigger picture. Some trends are seasonal while others are part of bigger cycles.

The trend analysis can be done on different time horizons (including short term, intermediate term, and long term) to identify the price trends for different trading styles.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Bollinger Bands

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Moving averages

   ▶ Akshit GUPTA Momentum Trading Strategy

Useful resources

Academic articles

Fama E.F. (1970) Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work, The Journal of Finance 25(2): 383-417.

About the author

The article was written in November 2021 by Jayati WALIA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022).

Credit risk

Credit risk

Jayati WALIA

In this article, Jayati WALIA ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022) presents credit risk.

Introduction

Credit risk is the risk of not receiving promised repayments due to the counterparty (a corporate or individual borrower) failing to meet its obligations and is typically used in context of bonds and traditional loans. The counterparty risk, on the other hand, refers to the probability of potential default on a due obligation in derivatives transactions and also affects the credit rating of the issuer or the client. The default risk can arise from non-payments on any loans offered to the institution’s clients or partners.

With bank failures in Germany and the United States in 1974 led to the setup of the Basel Committee by central bank governors of the G10 countries with the aim of improving the quality of banking supervision globally and thus devising a credible framework for measuring and mitigating credit risks. Banks and financial institutions especially need to manage the credit risk that is inherent in their portfolios as well as the risk in individual transactions. Banks also need to consider the relationships between credit risk and other risks. The effective management of credit risk is a critical component of a comprehensive approach to risk management and essential to the long-term success of any banking organisation.

Credit risk for banks

For most banks, debts (on the assets side of their balance sheet – banking book) are the largest and most obvious source of credit risk. However, sources of credit risk (counterparty risk) also exist through other the activities of a trading (on the assets side of their balance sheet – trading book), and both on and off the balance sheet. Banks increasingly face credit risk (counterparty risk) in various financial instruments other than loans, including interbank transactions, trade financing, bonds, foreign exchange transactions, forward and futures contracts, swaps, options, and in the extension of commitments and guarantees, and the settlement of transactions.

Risk management

Exposure to credit risk makes it essential for banks to have a keen awareness of the need to identify, measure, monitor and control credit risk as well as determine that they hold adequate capital against these risks and are adequately compensated in case of a credit event.

Financial regulation

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has developed influential policy recommendations concerning international banking and financial regulations in order to exercise judicious corporate governance and risk management (especially credit and operational risks), known as the Basel Accords. The key function of Basel accords is to set banks’ capital requirements and ensure they hold enough cash reserves to meet their respective financial obligations and henceforth survive in any financial and/or economic distress. Common risk parameters such as exposure at default, probability of default, etc. are calculated in accordance with specifications listed under the Basel accords and quantify the exposure of banks to credit risk enabling efficient risk management.

Credit risk modelling: overview

Credit risk modelling is done by banks and financial institutions in order to calculate the chances of default and the net financial losses that may be incurred in case of occurrence of default event. The three main components used in credit risk modelling as per advanced IRB (Interest ratings based) approach under Basel norms aimed at describing the exposure of the bank to its credit risk are described below. These risk measures are converted into risk weights and regulatory capital requirements by means of risk weight formulas specified by the Basel Committee.

Probability of default (PD)

The probability of default (PD) is the probability that a borrower may default on its debt over a period of one year. There are two main approaches to estimate PD. The first is the ‘Judgemental Method’ that takes into account the 5Cs of credit (character, capacity, capital, collateral and conditions). The other is the ‘Statistical Method’ that is based on statistical models which are automated and usually a more accurate and unbiased method of determining the PD.

Exposure at Default (EAD)

The exposure at default (EAD) is the predicted expected amount outstanding in case the borrower defaults and essentially is dependent upon the amount to which the bank was exposed to the borrower at the time of default. It changes periodically as the borrower repays his payments to the lender.

Loss given default (LGD)

The loss given default LGD refers to the amount expected to lose by the lender as a proportion of the EAD. Thus, LGD is generally expressed as a percentage.

LGD = (EAD – PV(recovery) – PV(cost))/EAD

With:
PV(recovery) = Present value of recovery discounted till time of default
PV(cost) = Present value of cost of lender discounted till time of default

For instance, a borrower takes a $50,000 auto loan from a bank for purchasing a vehicle. At the time of default, loan has an outstanding balance of $40,000. EAD would thus be $40,000.

Now, the bank takes over the vehicle and sells it for $35,000 for recovery of loan. LGD will be calculated as ($40,000 – $35,000)/$40,000 which is equal to 12.5%. Note that we have assumed the present value of cost here as 0.

Expected Loss

The expected loss is case of default is thus calculated to be PD*EAD*LGD and banks use this methodology in order to better estimate their credit risk and be prepared for any losses to be incurred thus implementing risk management.

Credit Rating

Credit rating describe the creditworthiness of a borrower entity such as a company or a government, which has issued financial debt instruments like loans and bonds. It also applies to individuals who borrow money from their banks to finance the purchase of a scar or residence. It is a means to quantify the credit risk associated with the entity and essentially signifies the likelihood of default.

Credit risk assessment for companies and governments is generally performed by a credit rating agencies which analyses the internal and external, qualitative and quantitative attributes that drive the economic future of the entity. Some examples of such attributes include audited financial statements, annual reports, analyst reports, published news articles, overall industry analysis and future trends, etc.

A credit agency is deemed to provide an independent and impartial opinion of the credit risk and consequent ratings they issue for any entity. Rating agencies S&P Global, Moody’s and Fitch Ratings currently dominate 85% of the global ratings market (as of 2021).

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Quantitative Risk Management

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Credit Rating Agencies

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Credit analyst

   ▶ Jayati WALIA My experience as a credit analyst at Amundi Asset Management

About the author

The article was written in November 2021 by Jayati WALIA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022).

How to compute the IRR in Excel

How to compute the IRR in Excel

Photo Jérémy PAULEN Jeremy PAULEN

In this article, Jérémy PAULEN (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor of Business Administration, 2019-2023) explains everything about the IRR function in Excel, which is used to compute the internal rate of return of a series of cash flow to evaluate the financial performance of an investment in relative terms.

What is the IRR?

The IRR represents the internal rate of return of an investment. It is closely related to the net present value (NPV) of the investment as the IRR is the discount rate that makes the NPV equal to zero.

Consider an investment represented by a series of cash flows CF0, CF1, CF2, …, CFT, which take into account the revenues and expenses of the project computed or forecasted at time 0 leading to capital inflows and outflows for the firm. The NPV of this investment is given by:

NPV formula

where r is the discount rate that takes into account the risk of the project.

The IRR corresponds to the value of the discount rate for which the NPV is equal to 0:

IRR

The IRR is the solution of a non-linear equation:

IRR

Note that this equation may have one solution, several solutions or no solution according to the sequence of cash flows.

The internal rate of return (IRR) is an important indicator in the decision-making process as it measures the financial performance of a project. The IRR is a relative measure as its unit is a percentage. The NPV is an absolute measure as its unit is the euro, the dollar, etc.

It makes it possible to measure the future financial performance of a project or a company. The higher the IRR is, the more interesting it is to launch the project.

The IRR can therefore be used in the case of a choice to be made between different investment perspectives, but also to evaluate the company’s share buyback programs.

A limit of using the IRR method is that it does not consider the size of a project. Cash flows are simply compared to the amount of capital outlay generating those cash flows. In other words, considering two projects A and B, the IRR of A may be lower than the IRR of B, while the NPV of A may be higher than the NPV of B.

The IRR function in Excel

How to use the IRR function in Excel?

In Excel, you can get the IRR function in the “Formulas” tab.
You can also type “= IRR (value, [guess])” in the cell where you want to compute the IRR.

The IRR function uses the following arguments:

  • Values: The cash flow series. Cash flows include investment values and net income.
  • Guess: a number guessed by the user that is close to the expected internal rate of return

Example

Example: consider a new factory modeled by the following series of cash flows:

  • CF0 = -$50,000 (initial cost)
  • CF1 = +$5,000 (net cash flow in year 1)
  • CF2 = +$8,000 (net cash flow in year 2)
  • CF3 = +$13,500 (net cash flow in year 3)
  • CF4 = +$18,800 (net cash flow in year 4)
  • CF5 = +$20,500 (net cash flow in year 5)

Excel file to compute the IRR of a series of cash flows

You can download below a short video which illustrates how to compute the IRR of a series of cash flows with Excel.

Download a video to illustrate IRR with Excel

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Raphaël ROERO DE CORTANZE The Internal Rate of Return

   ▶ William LONGIN How to compute the present value of an asset?

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond valuation

   ▶ Léopoldine FOUQUES The IRR, XIRR and MIRR functions in Excel

   ▶ Sébastien PIAT Simple interest rate and compound interest rate

Useful resources

Microsoft IRR function

About the author

The article was written in November 2021 by Jérémy PAULEN (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor of Business Administration, 2019-2023)

Liabilities

Liabilities

Shruti Chand

In this article, Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022) elaborates on the concept of liabilities.

This read will help you get started with understanding the liability side of the balance sheet.

Introduction

A liability is an obligation that a company has in return of economic benefits that the company has received in the past. Any kind of obligation or risk that are due to a third party can be termed as liability.

Liabilities are recorded on the balance sheet can be short-term or long-term in nature.

Liability vs Expense

It is important to know that liability is not an expense for the business. An expense is the cost of operation for the business and is recorded on the income statement of a business. Liabilities on the other hand is what the business owes to another party already as the economic benefit has been transferred in the past. It is recorded in the balance sheet of the company.

Liabilities are very important for a business as they finance the daily operations of the business. For expansion activities, for instance if a business wants to expand overseas, liability in form of bank loans will help the business acquire assets to make the move to another location. This loan facilitated by a bank for example will be recorded in the liabilities section in the balance sheet.

Structure of the Liabilities part of the balance sheet

The Liabilities part of the balance sheet can be structured as follows.

Screenshot 2021-10-25 at 1.24.06 AM

Current Liabilities

These are the company’s short-term obligation (Usually financial in nature) that are to be paid within a period of one year. Most noteworthy examples of current liabilities include:

  1. Wages Payable: The total amount of salaries that the company owes to its employees.
  1. Interest Payable: The credit that the business takes to finance short term needs of business operations accrues an interest. This interest in payable by the business in the short term and is recorded in the interest payable section of the balance sheet.
  1. Dividends Payable: The total amount of dividends that the company owes to the investors against the stocks issued to them.

These items help the readers understand the level of obligations on the businesses due in a short period of time.

Non-current liabilities

These are obligations that are owed in a period longer than a year. Long term bonds, loans, etc. are a part of long-term/non-current liabilities. Companies usually issue bonds fulfil their long-term capital needs which are very common type of non-current liability. Other common examples of long-term liabilities include:

  1. Debentures: Type of bond or debt instrument issued by the company unsecured against a collateral.
  1. Bonds Payable: Long term debt instrument issued by companies and government which is a promise to pay at a future date and is issued at a discount in the current period.
  1. Deferred tax liabilities: All that the company owed the government in the form of tax obligation that hasn’t been met yet by the company.

Final Word

Liability section of the balance sheet helps investors to assess the risk profile of a business. It is an important tool to measure the leverage taken by a firm to assess the risk level of the company within the industry and compare it with competitors in the same industry.

Relevance to the SimTrade certificate

This post deals with Liability side of the balance sheet, an important tool for investors to take investment decisions.

About theory

  • By taking the SimTrade course, you will know more about how investors can use various strategies to invest in order to trade in the market.

Take SimTrade courses

About practice

  • By launching the series of Market maker simulations, you can extend your learning about financial markets and trading approaches.

Take SimTrade courses

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Balance Sheet

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Long-Term Liabilities

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Accounts Payable

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Financial leverage

About the author

Article written by Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022).

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Cash and Cash Equivalents

Shruti Chand

In this article, Shruti Chand (ESSEC Business School, Master in Management, 2020-2022) elaborates on the concept of cash equivalents

This read will help you get started with understanding the concept and its significance in determining financial health of a business.

Introduction

Cash and Cash Equivalents on the assets side of the balance sheet is the total amount of cash or assets that can be converted into cash on an immediate basis. Any bank accounts or marketable securities that a business owns can be categorized as cash equivalents.

What is included in Cash and Cash Equivalents?

Cash equivalents are the assets with short maturities typically 90 days or less. Examples of cash equivalents on a firm’s balance sheet include:

  • Treasury Bills
  • Money market mutual funds
  • Commercial Paper (bought from other firms)
  • Bank Certificates of deposit
  • Repurchase agreements
  • Other money market instruments

Cash on the other hand is not limited to the amount of money in checking and savings accounts (and coins and banknotes). It also includes assets such as cheques received but not deposited.

Cash and Cash Equivalents is recorded in the balance sheet in the “Current assets” section. Cash and Cash equivalents are related to other current assets that will transformed into cash later.

Measure of liquidity

Cash and Cash equivalents are used to measure the liquidity of the firm. For example, in financial analysis, it enters the computation of liquidity ratios.

Final Words

Cash and Cash equivalents may be a small part on the balance sheet of a firm but have a lot of impact as it is used to pay day-to-day operations of the firm on a very frequent basis.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Balance sheet

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Current Assets

About the author

Article written in October 2021 by Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022).

Long-term securities

Long term securities

Shruti CHAND

In this article, Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022) elaborates on the concept of long-term securities.

This read will help you get started with understanding long-term securities.

Introduction

Long-term assets on a balance sheet represent all the assets of a business that are not expected to turn into cash within one year. They are represented as the non-current part of the balance sheet. These are a set of assets that the company keeps for a long-term and is not likely to be sold in the coming years, in some cases, may never be sold.

Long-term assets can be expensive and require huge capital which might result in draining cash reserves or increasing debt for the firm.

The following category of long-term assets can be found in the balance sheet:

Investments

These are all the long-term investments by a company in securities, real estate and other asset classes. Even the bonds and other assets restricted for long-term value are treated as investments by the company.

Property, plant and equipment

Property that the company owns associated with the manufacturing process or other business operations. An important aspect about this asset class is the depreciation associated with the value of the asset over time.

Typically, you can find the following items disclosed as property, plant and equipment on the balance sheet:

  • Land
  • Land improvements
  • Buildings
  • Furniture
  • Machinery

(Less: Depreciation)

Intangible assets

Intangible assets are the assets without a physical existence. These items represent the intellectual property of a business acquired through their operations, marketing and other efforts to create value. The most notable intangible asset on a balance sheet is Goodwill.

Other intangible assets found in the financial statements are:

  • Copyrights
  • Trademarks
  • Patents

Other assets: All the assets of non-current nature that can not be liquidated easily.

Final words

Since a company holds the long-term assets for a long period of time, the changes in the long-term assets can be a sign of liquidation in some cases. When investors study the balance sheet of a company, they can see if the company often sells its long-term assets then it can be a sign of financial difficulty.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Balance Sheet

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Assets

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Fixed Assets

About the author

Article written in October 2021 by Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022).

Fixed Assets

Fixed Assets

Shruti Chand

In this article, Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022) elaborates on the concept of fixed assets.

Fixed Assets:

A fixed asset on a balance sheet is any asset that has a useful life greater than one year. Typically, a fixed asset is not intended to be resold within a short period of time. Fixed assets can also be understood as any non-current asset are recorded on the Balance Sheet with other assets.

Examples of Fixed assets on a company’s balance sheet:

  1. Property
  2. Building
  3. Machinery
  4. Land

The fixed assets are usually recorded at the net book value, which is nothing but the price at which it was acquired. Over time, all the lost value in the fixed assets arising out of holding these assets is recorded as impairment charges and depreciation in the balance sheet.

Out of intuition, it is fair to assume that Fixed costs are large assets which are immovable, but that is not true. An office equipment such as Office Computer can also be a fixed asset if it exceeds the capitalization limits of the concerned business.

Depreciation of fixed assets

Fixed assets can not be converted into cash easily. It is usually acquired by the company to produce more goods and services, hence the use that the fixed assets are put into can lead to its depreciation in value.

This decrease in value is recorded as depreciation in the books of accounts (Balance Sheet). Depending on the company, the depreciation methods vary. For instance, if the company uses a straight line method, the same amount of depreciation is recorded every year for a fixed period of time until the value of the asset is zero.

Example of depreciation

Let’s say a company purchases machinery and plants for $100000 and the useful life of the asset is fixed at 10 years, then every year $10000 will be recorded as depreciation in the books of accounts for the next 10 years and at the 10th year, the value of the asset in the book finally will be 0.

Relevance to the SimTrade certificate

This post deals with Fixed Assets on the Balance Sheet of the companies investors might be assessing to understand the financial health of the company.

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   ▶ Shruti CHAND Balance Sheet

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Assets

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Long-term securities

About the author

Article written by Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022).

Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet

Shruti CHAND

In this article, Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022) elaborates on the concept of balance sheet

This read will help you get started with understanding balance sheet and what it indicates when studying a company.

What is a balance sheet?

Balance Sheet is one of the most important financial statement that states business’ assets, liabilities and shareholders’ equity at a specific point of time. It is a consolidated statement to explain what an entity owns and owes to the investors (both creditors and shareholders).

Balance sheet helps to understand the financial standing of the business and helps to calculate ratios which better explain the liquidity, profitability, financial structure and over all state of the business to better understand it.

Structure of the balance sheet

Screenshot 2021-10-25 at 1.24.06 AM

Use of the balance sheet in financial analysis

In financial analysis, the information from the balance sheet is used to compute ratios: liquidity ratios, profitability ratios (especially the return on investment (ROI) and the return on equity (ROE)) and ratios to measure the financial structure (the debt-to-equity ratio).

Final Word

Balance Sheet is one of the most important financial statement for fundamental analysis. Investors use Balance Sheet to get a sense of the health of the company. Various ratios such as debt-to-equity ratio, current ratio, etc can be derived out of the balance sheet. Fundamental Analyst also use the balance sheet as a comparison tool between companies in the same industry.

Relevance to the SimTrade certificate

This post deals with Balance Sheet and its importance in the books of accounts of a company that investors might want to assess.

About theory

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   ▶ Shruti CHAND Assets

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Liabilities

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Assets

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Long-term securities

About the author

Article written by Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022).

Long-Term Liabilities

Long-Term Liabilities

Shruti Chand

In this article, Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022) elaborates on long-term liabilities.

This read will help you get started with understanding long-term liabilities and how it is used in making investment decisions.

Introduction

Long-term liabilities are financial liabilities of the firm that are due in a period more than one year. These long-term obligations are also referred to as non-current liabilities.

You can find the long-term liabilities in the balance sheet including various items such as all long-term loans, bonds, and deferred tax liabilities.

While the current liabilities of a business represent the funds used by a company to cover its liquid assets, the non-current part of the liabilities are used to cover primary business operations and purchase of heavy long-term assets.

The current and non-current liabilities are separated from each other to help readers understand the financial prosperity of the businesses in different time scenarios.

The most common examples of long-term liabilities are as follows:

● Bonds payable
● Long term loans
● Pension liabilities
● Deferred income taxes
● Deferred revenues

Final Words

Understanding the level of long-term liabilities of the business helps the reader to assess the risk behind meeting the financial obligations of a business. To be able to measure this risk level, it is very important for the investor to understand the concept of leverage. It helps the reader understand how much capital comes from debt. This
helps one understand the position of a company towards its ability to meet its financial obligations. High levels of leverage can be risky for the business. You can measure this using various financial ratios. Common leverage ratios include debt-equity ratio and equity multiplier.

Relevance to the SimTrade certificate

Understanding long term liabilities and its significance in the books of accounts of a company will help you better understand the financial health of companies you would like to invest in.

About theory

  • By taking the market orders course, you will know more about how investors can use various strategies to invest in order to trade in the market.

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About practice

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Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Balance sheet

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Liabilities

About the author

Article written in October 2021 by Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022).

Inventory

Inventory

Shruti Chand

In this article, Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022) elaborates on the concept of accounts receivable.

This read will help you get started with understanding inventory and its significance.

Definition

All the raw material that a business uses to produce goods and the ready for sale products that a business possesses is referred to as Inventory. It is a form of asset for a business.

All inventory is categorised and recorded as current asset on the balance sheet. The inventory mainly comprises of three types of goods:

1. Raw materials: The assets that a business uses in the production process to produce the final product.

2. Work-in progress: The unfinished product held by a business not ready to be sold yet.

3. Finished goods: Ready to sell products possessed by a business not sold yet. These products are usually held by a business in warehouses.

The value of inventory is important to be evaluated by a business as it is an asset stored by the business which incurs costs of storage. The value of the inventory can be evaluated in various ways though, depending on the accounting method followed by the business.

The three ways in which inventory can be valued are as follows

1. FIFO: First in first out method which calculates the cost of goods sold on the basis of the cost of earliest purchased materials.

2. LIFO: Last in first out method states that the cost of the goods sold are calculated based on the value of the raw materials purchased last.

3. Weighted average method: States that the value of inventory is calculated based on the average cost of the total raw material purchased by the business.

Final Words

Understanding inventory and calculating it well helps the business to plan the purchase of raw materials and production decisions better. Business can determine the level of purchases to be made and exercise stock control for better business performance.

Relevance to the SimTrade certificate

This post deals with inventory part of the books of accounts, which is an important indicator for investors to study the financial health of a company.

About theory

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About practice

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   ▶ Shruti CHAND Balance sheet

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Accounts Receivable

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Current Assets

About the author

Article written in October 2021 by Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022).

Accounts Receivable

Accounts Receivable

Shruti Chand

In this article, Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022) elaborates on the concept of accounts receivable.

This read will help you get started with understanding accounts receivable and its significance.

Introduction

Accounts Receivable appears in the balance sheet of a company when an entity (an individual or a company) purchases goods or services on credit from the company and the payment will be received later.

It is the amount of money owed by the customer for any purchase that is made on credit. Quite often, business sells products/services to its customers but the payment is made in the future and issues an invoice for this same in the meantime. This invoice signifies that the product has been sent but the payment is to be done within a specified future date. These are a form of short-term debt since they are to be paid back in a short span. The time for the payment is usually from about 30 days to a few months.

Example

Company A that sells broadband service usually provides the service for the month, but the payment is typically received at the end of the month. This means that even though the service has been provided, the payment is pending hence making it an accounts receivable.

Mostly, businesses provide credit purchases to customers with whom they have frequent transactions. This enables them to avoid the hassle of payments every time a transaction occurs. It also helps build a good relationship with its clients by providing them an ease of payment.

Accounting Treatment

As discussed, since Accounts Receivables is like a short-term credit line to clients hence it is treated as a short-term asset in the balance sheet. It falls under ‘Current Assets’ since the payment is received in the short term. For double entry, the credit side of the same is recorded in the income account as a sale. Once, the payment is made the cash in the balance sheet will increase and the accounts receivable will decrease. For goods like raw materials, there is a variation in inventory in the revenues and a decrease in the Asset side under ‘Inventory’.

The increase or decrease in accounts receivable from the prior period is also recorded in the Cash Flow Statement.

Final Words

Accounts receivable are crucial to every economy and it differs based on various factors and is taken in control by policy makers whenever needed. As a student curious about Finance, learning about accounts receivable will go a long way in the future to understand better how liquidity and prices in the economy is maintained.

Relevance to the SimTrade certificate

This post deals with Accounts Receivable and its significance on the book of accounts of a company.

About theory

  • By taking the SimTrade course , you will learn more about the markets. It’s important to remember that accounts receivables are an important to assess it to understand the financial health of a company you would like to invest in.

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About practice

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   ▶ Shruti CHAND Balance sheet

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Accounts Payable

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Current Assets

About the author

Article written in October 2021 by Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022).

Rise of SPAC investments as a medium of raising capital

Rise of SPAC investments as a medium of raising capital

Daksh GARG

In this article, Daksh GARG (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy & Management of International Business (SMIB), 2020-2021) talks about the rise of SPAC investments as a medium of raising capital. Imagine someone famous asking you to invest in a company. Chances are, you will want to know more. As it turns out, there is no company, at least not yet. Will you invest in it with your money?

What are SPACs?

‘SPAC’ stands for Special Purpose Acquisition Companies. SPACs are a type of blank-check company that pools funds to finance mergers and acquisitions (M&A) transactions.

Once shunned by investors, SPACs have become an increasingly popular method in recent years to list companies on a stock exchange.

SPACs are shell companies with no actual commercial operations but are created solely for raising capital through an initial public offering – or IPO – to acquire later a private company. This is done by selling common stocks – with shares commonly sold at $10 a piece – and a warrant, which gives investors the preference to buy more stocks later at a fixed price.

Once the funds are raised, they will be kept in a trust until one of two things happen:

    The management team of the SPAC — also known as sponsors — identifies a company of interest, which will then be taken public through an acquisition, using the capital raised in the SPAC IPO.

    If the SPAC fails to merge or acquire a company within a deadline typically two years — the SPAC will be liquidated, and investors will get their money back.

SPACs have existed in one form or another as early as the 1990s, typically as a last resort for smaller companies to go public. The number of SPAC IPOs has waxed and waned over the years in tandem with the economic cycles. SPACs have been making a resurgence of late.

The timeline for SPAC

Figure 1 gives the typical timeline for a SPAC investment. Following the IPO, the proceeds for a SPAC are placed in a fund. In the meantime, the SPAC has to merge with a target company. If it is not able to do that in the time frame, the SPAC has to liquidate and the IPO proceeds are returned to the shareholders.

Figure 1. Typical SPAC timeline.

Typical SPAC timeline

Source: PWC accounting advisory

Difference between a traditional IPO and a SPAC

There are several ways a private company can go public (being quoted on the stock market). The most common route is through a traditional IPO, where the company is subject to regulatory and investor scrutiny of its audited financial statements.

An investment bank is usually hired by the company to underwrite the IPO, which usually takes 4-6 months to complete. This involves roadshows and pitch meetings between company executives and potential investors to drum up interest and demand in its shares. And not all IPOs succeed. A very famous example is that of a co-working-space company called WeWork withdrew its high-profile IPO in 2019 amid weak demand for its shares after massive losses and leadership controversies were revealed. Other companies such as Spotify and Slack went public through direct listings, saving on fees paid to middlemen such as investment banks, although there are more risks involved. And while private companies listed through SPACs are similar to reverse takeovers, such as the case for insolvent fintech company Wirecard, they are different in that SPACs start off on a clean slate and have lower risks. Because SPACs are nothing more but shell companies, their track records depend on the reputation of their management teams. By skipping the roadshow process, SPAC IPOs also typically are listed in a much shorter time. This leads to some investors to become wary of buying shares in companies listed through SPACs due to the lack of scrutiny compared to traditional IPOs.

SPAC sponsors also typically receive 20% of founder shares in the company at a heavily discounted price, also known as the “promote.” This essentially dilutes the ownership of public shareholders.

Performance of traditional IPOs compared to SPAC IPOs

According to Bloomberg, a study of 56 SPACs that completed acquisitions or mergers since the start of 2018 found that they tend to underperform the S&P 500 during a three, six and 12-month period after the transaction. A separate study of blank-check companies in the U.S. organized between 2015 and 2019 found that the majority are trading below the standard price of $10 per share. Between 2017 and the middle of 2019, there were slightly over 100 SPACs in the U.S., with an average return of a mere 2%.

Even before the pandemic, SPACs were already on the rise, buoyed by the equity boom and hot IPO market in 2019. While the pandemic has slowed the pipeline of traditional IPOs, SPACs have increased.

In fact, funds raised through SPACs outpaced traditional IPOs in August 2020 — a rarity on Wall Street. In the first ten months of 2020, there were 165 SPAC IPOs globally, of which 96% of them were listed in the U.S. While largely an American phenomenon, SPACs have caught the attention of investors in other jurisdictions.
In 2018, Antony Leung, the former finance secretary of Hong Kong, raised $1.5 billion on the New York Stock Exchange through his SPAC, which bought a mainland hospital chain a year later.

Other players include Masayoshi Son’s SoftBank, and the investment arm of Chinese state-owned conglomerate CITIC Group. Despite having sponsors from Asia looking to acquire international companies, these SPACs are ultimately listed in the U.S.

One main reason is the different rules for SPACs across jurisdictions. In the U.S., investors can vote to approve the acquisition the SPAC proposes or redeem their funds if they do not support the proposed deal.

This, however, isn’t a requirement in some European jurisdictions, including the U.K. There is also a lock-in period for British investors once an acquisition is announced until the approval of the prospectus, which ties them into deals that they may not support in that indefinite period.

Future of SPACs

As SPAC activity reaches fever pitch in the U.S., regulators are putting these blank-check companies under the microscope. Competition to the IPO process is probably a good thing, but for good competition and good decision-making, you need good information. And one of the areas in the SPAC space that I’m particularly focused on is incentives and compensation to the SPAC sponsors. As more ordinary investors jump on the SPAC bandwagon, experts are concerned that this will overheat markets and affect any fragile economic recovery. While SPACs provide a straightforward route to invest through a trusted intermediary, its performance so far means that it is a dicey bet for ordinary investors.

Why should I be interested in this post?

If you are interested in how big companies are going public, SPAC is one of the most interesting phenomena which is going to transform the financial industry. So, if you are planning to work for top underwriting firms or big banks or on Wall Street, you should have in-depth knowledge on how SPACs work and what are some of their advantages and disadvantages.

Useful resources

PWC How special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) work Accessed November 2, 2021.

PWC Analysis: De-SPACing Successes Refuel Hot SPAC IPO Market Accessed November 2, 2021.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

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   ▶ Raphaël ROERO DE CORTANZE In the shoes of a Corporate M&A Analyst

About the author

The article was written in November 2021 by Daksh GARG (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy & Management of International Business (SMIB), 2020-2021).

Pension Funds

Pension Funds

Shruti Chand

In this article, Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022) elaborates on the concept of Pension Funds

This read will help you get started with understanding pension funds and its significance.

What are pension funds

Term pension liability refers to the amount that a company or government owes to the pension fund obligations due to retirees. A pension liability will only occur in defined benefit schemes.

The traditional pensions are pre-defined benefit schemes. These funds consist of contributions from employees and the company over a period of time. The employees agree to contribute a certain amount into the fund in return of a guaranteed source of fund flow upon retirement.

Not all pension funds have liabilities attached to them. Most common pension fund in this regard is 401k where the company is under no obligation to contribute towards the fund. It is pre-defined by the company and the employee to contribute towards the fund which may or may not guarantee obligation upon retirement.

So, what is pension fund liability?

Pension fund liability is the difference between the total amount due to retirees and the actual amount of money the company has in order to meet these fund obligations.

If the company or the government has more money than the future payment obligations, it is said to have a pension surplus, and if this is not the case, it is referred to as pension deficit which results in a pension fund liability.

Relevance to the SimTrade certificate

This post deals with Pension fund liability.

About theory

  • By taking the SimTrade course , you will learn more about the markets. It’s important to remember that pension funds has not much to do with investing directly. But, it is important to understand it as it’s an important activity for the companies investors invest in.

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About practice

  • By launching the series of Market maker simulations, you can extend your learning about financial markets and trading approaches.

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   ▶ Shruti CHAND Balance sheet

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Liabilities

About the author

Article written in October 2021 by Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022).

Long-Term Assets

Long-Term Assets

Shruti Chand

In this article, Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022) elaborates on long-term assets.

This read will help you get started with understanding long-term assets on the balance sheet of a business.

Introduction

Long-term assets on a balance sheet represent all the assets of a business that are not expected to turn into cash within one year. They are represented as the non- the current part of the balance sheet. These are a set of assets that the company keeps for the long-term and is not likely to be sold in the coming years, in some cases, may
never be sold.

Long-term assets can be expensive and require huge capital which might result in draining cash reserves or increasing debt for the firm.

The following category of long-term assets can be found in the balance sheet:

1. Investments:

These are all the long-term investments by a company in securities, real estate, and other asset classes. Even the bonds and other assets restricted for long-term value are treated as investments by the company.

2. Property, plant, and equipment:

Property that the company owns associated with the manufacturing process or other business operations. An important aspect about this asset class is the depreciation associated with the value of the asset over time.

Typically, you can find the following items disclosed as property, plant and equipment on the balance sheet:

● Land
● Land improvements
● Buildings
● Furniture
● Machinery
(Less: Depreciation)

3. Intangible assets

Intangible assets are the assets without a physical existence. These items represent the intellectual property of a business acquired through their operations, marketing and other efforts to create value. The most notable
intangible asset on a balance sheet is Goodwill.

Other intangible assets found in the financial statements are:

● Copyrights
● Trademarks
● Patents

4. Other assets: All the assets of non-current nature that can not be liquidated
easily.

Final Words

Since a company holds the long-term assets for a long period of time, the changes in the long-term assets can be a sign of liquidation in some cases. When investors study the balance sheet of a company, they can see if the company often sells its long-term assets then it can be a sign of financial difficulty.

Relevance to the SimTrade certificate

This post deals with Long-Term assets which are used by various  investors to study the financial health of a business.

Additional courses:

  • By taking the market orders course, you will know more about how investors can use various strategies to invest in order to trade in the market.

Take SimTrade courses

About practice

  • By launching the series of Market maker simulations, you can extend your learning about financial markets and trading approaches.

Take SimTrade courses

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Balance sheet

   ▶ Shruti CHAND Current Assets

About the author

Article written in October 2021 by Shruti CHAND (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2022).