Understanding the Discount Rate: A Key Concept in Finance

Yann-Ray KAMANOU TAWAMBA

In this article, Yann-Ray KAMANOU TAWAMBA (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy & Management of International Business (SMIB), 2024-2025) explains the discount rate, which is a key concept in finance.

About the Discount Rate

The discount rate is a fundamental concept in finance, playing a crucial role in investment valuation, corporate finance, and monetary policy. It represents the interest rate used to determine the present value of future cash flows, making it essential for evaluating investment opportunities and financial decision-making. The discount rate is widely applied in areas such as capital budgeting, bond pricing, and central banking policy, making it a critical concept for students and professionals in finance.

The discount rate is a fundamental concept in finance, used in both monetary policy and investment valuation. In central banking, it represents the interest rate at which commercial banks borrow from the central bank, influencing economic activity and inflation. In corporate finance, it is used to discount future cash flows in investment valuation, often calculated using the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) or the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). It reflects the opportunity cost of capittal, risk, and expected returns, playing a crucial role in decision-making for investors, businesses, and policymakers.

The Discount Rate in Investment Analysis

One of the most common applications of the discount rate is in the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model, which is used to assess the intrinsic value of an investment. In this method, future cash flows are discounted to the present using an appropriate discount rate. The formula for present value (PV) and net present value (NPV) of future cash flows is:

PV formula of cash flows

NPV formula of cash flows

Where CF represents the expectation of the future cash flow, r is the discount rate, and T is the number of periods. If the NPV of an investment is positive, it indicates that the project is expected to generate more value than its cost, making it a viable option.

The discount rate affects bond prices and yields. When it rises, borrowing becomes expensive. New bonds offer higher yields, making them more attractive. Older bonds with lower fixed rates lose value. Investors use the discount rate to calculate the present value of a bond’s future payments:

Central banks, like the Federal Reserve in the US and the European Central Bank in the Eurozone, set the discount rate as the interest rate for banks borrowing directly from them. When central banks increase the discount rate, loans become expensive. Banks lend less, slowing inflation and economic growth. When they lower the discount rate, borrowing is cheaper. Banks lend more, encouraging spending and investment.

Why should I be interested in this post?

Understanding the discount rate is essential. Whether you are aiming for roles in investment banking, asset management, financial consulting, or central banking, a solid grasp of this concept will allow you to make informed financial decisions. This topic is particularly relevant for students preparing for financial modeling exercises, valuation case studies, and investment strategy planning.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Alexandre VERLET Classic brain teasers from real-life interviews

   ▶ William LONGIN How to compute the present value of an asset?

   ▶ Maite CARNICERO MARTINEZ How to compute the net present value of an investment in Excel

   ▶ Andrea ALOSCARI Valuation methods

Useful resources

Berk, J. B., & van Binsbergen, J. H. (2017) How Do Investors Compute the Discount Rate? They Use the CAPM Financial Analysts Journal 73(2), 25–32.

Hirshleifer, J. (1961) Risk, The Discount Rate, and Investment Decisions, The American Economic Review, 51 (2), 112-120.

Roley, V. V., & Troll, R. (1984) The impact of discount rate changes on market interest rates. University of Washington. Center for the Study of Banking and Financial Markets, Graduate School of Business Administration.

Woon, G.C. (1999) Estimating the discount rate policy reaction function of the monetary authority, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 14(4), 379-401.

About the author

The article was written in February 2025 by Yann-Ray KAMANOU TAWAMBA (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy & Management of International Business (SMIB), 2024-2025).

The importance of data in finance to support small business managers

 Sylvain GILIBERT  Yann FONTAINE

In this article, Yann FONTAINE (head of Marketing of atometrics) and Sylvain GILIBERT (co-founder of atometrics) explain about the importance of data in finance to support small business managers. They discuss how their platform, atometrics, helps transform complex market data into actionable insights for small businesses and their stakeholders (like accountants, banks, brokers, and consultants) throughout different stages of the business lifecycle – from creation to development, through difficult phases, and during transmission/acquisition processes.

Today economic context

Did you know that 29% of local businesses in France fail within their first three years , often due to a lack of market understanding?

In today’s fast-moving economy, access to relevant and actionable data is critical for businesses—whether they are launching, growing, or overcoming challenges. Yet, small business managers and their advisors often struggle to find and interpret the right information —strategic insights about their market, including prospects, customers, competitors, and the business environment—, particularly at a local level. By local level, we mean the geographic scope tailored to the company’s market: from the catchment area of a neighbourhood for a local retail store to the entire country for national markets.

The power of local data

For businesses operating in local markets, understanding the economic environment, consumer behavior, competition and market transactions is essential. In France, open data sources provide valuable insights, but the sheer volume and complexity of this information can be overwhelming without the right tools.

atometrics: turning data into decisions

At atometrics, we simplify this process. Our platform automates the collection, analysis, and visualization of market data across all sectors and locations of the economy. By combining financial and non-financial information, we provide clear, actionable insights to support small business managers and their trusted partners, such as certified accountants, bankers, and consulting firms.

Logo of atometrics.
Logo of atometrics
Source: the company.

Description of the product: atometrics platform

Atometrics is a cutting-edge platform that connects in real-time to numerous public and private databases via APIs, such as SIRENE (the national directory of businesses in France), BODACC (official bulletins for company announcements, including bankruptcies and mergers), public financial records from Infogreffe, INSEE census data (socio-economic and demographic statistics), DVF property transaction data (detailing real estate sales), Damodaran’s valuation datasets (global financial benchmarks), and more. By leveraging this vast data network, the platform enables users to generate comprehensive market studies instantly.

Searching for a company.
 Searching for a company
Source: atometrics.

Users simply select an industry (e.g., bakery, hairdressing) and a location, and Atometrics delivers a detailed report. This includes financial insights on competitors, transaction prices for nearby properties or businesses, valuation tools for businesses or shares, competitor mapping, and local demographic and economic data. Additionally, qualitative market insights are provided. The platform also features customizable email alerts to notify users of critical events, such as new tenders or competitors.

Report on a company.
Report on a company
Source: atometrics.

The platform allows users to either work with specific datasets (e.g., Excel exports, map visuals) or generate complete reports in PDF or PPT format.

Supporting small businesses at every stage

atometrics empowers small businesses through their stakeholders — accountants, banks, brokers, consultants — to access key information at the different stages of the business life cycle:

  • Creation: assess market feasibility, validate business plans, and identify the best locations for new businesses.
  • Development: monitor trends, spot opportunities, and manage risks. For example, our platform can alert managers to new competitors or relevant public tenders in real time.
  • Difficulty phases: respond quickly to economic shifts with up-to-date market intelligence, ensuring resilience during challenging times.
  • Transmission and acquisition: conduct reliable valuations of businesses, assets, or securities based on accurate market multiples.

A concrete example: how atometrics enhances banking efficiency and risk assessment

Banks leveraging atometrics gain a significant advantage by accessing a uniform and structured source of information. When client managers and risk analysts evaluate a funding request or a business plan, they need to determine whether the entrepreneur is likely to achieve their revenue targets. This requires reliable market data: have similar projects succeeded or failed? Does the targeted catchment area show strong potential?

Atometrics simplifies this process by providing objective, data-driven insights that streamline the assessment of funding requests and accelerate the time to market of loan drawdowns. Instead of spending hours collecting and interpreting scattered information, bank advisors can access clear, actionable insights in real time.

Furthermore, the shared use of atometrics across commercial and risk departments fosters a common source of information among them, hence improving communication and collaboration between teams.

Conclusion

In today’s data-driven world, success belongs to those who can transform information into action. atometrics equips small business stakeholders with the tools and insights they need to unlock opportunities, navigate challenges, and drive sustainable growth—at every stage of the journey.

Why should I be interested in this post?

In today’s era of open finance and open data, financial professionals need cutting-edge tools to better serve their clients. This article reveals how atometrics, an innovative French fintech, is transforming the way banks, brokers, accountants, and business advisors support companies through data analytics. Whether you’re an ESSEC student preparing for a career in finance, a banker looking to streamline credit processes, or a consultant aiming to provide better market insights, you’ll want to know how the latest data-driven tools are reshaping financial decision-making and improving client service.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Job description – Financial analysts

   ▶ Louis DETALLE The importance of data in finance

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Market Consensus Based on Financial Analysts’ Forecasts

Useful resources

atometrics

About the authors

The article was written in January 2025 by Yann FONTAINE (head of Marketing of atometrics) and Sylvain GILIBERT (co-founder of atometrics).

The G of ESG: The Critical Role of Governance

Majd MAHRSI

In this article, Majd MAHRSI (ESSEC Business School, Global BBA Program, 2021-2025) delves into the critical role of governance in fostering sustainable business practices, particularly in emerging economies. Drawing from professional experiences such as an internship at DiliTrust, this article explains how strong governance frameworks can transform businesses and create new career opportunities.

ESG and Its Components

ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) is a framework used to evaluate a company’s sustainability practices and ethical commitments. It assesses corporate behavior across three dimensions:

  • Environmental (E): Focuses on a company’s impact on the environment, including energy use, waste management, and carbon emissions.
  • Social (S): Examines how a company interacts with its stakeholders, such as employees, customers, and communities, covering diversity, labor rights, and community relations.
  • Governance (G): Relates to a company’s internal systems for ethical decision-making, leadership accountability, and shareholder rights.

ESG has gained significant traction in recent years, with investors prioritizing companies that integrate sustainability into their core operations. This trend has driven the rise of Socially Responsible Investing (SRI), a strategy where investments are made based on a company’s ESG performance alongside financial returns. According to the Global Sustainable Investment Alliance (GSIA), global SRI assets surpassed $35 trillion in 2022, accounting for nearly 36% of all professionally managed assets. This rapid growth reflects the increasing demand for ethical and sustainable investment options, demonstrating how ESG principles are reshaping financial markets.

Further emphasizing the importance of ESG performance, Friede, Busch, and Bassen (2015) conducted a comprehensive meta-analysis of over 2,000 empirical studies, concluding that approximately 90% of the research found a non-negative relationship between ESG performance and financial performance, with the majority indicating a positive correlation. This underscores the financial benefits of robust governance practices as part of an ESG strategy.

Chart: Below is a graphical representation of the growth of Sustainable and Responsible Investing (SRI) assets in the United States from 1995 to 2018.

Growth of Sustainable and Responsible Investing (SRI) assets
Growth of Sustainable and Responsible Investing (SRI) Assets in the United States (1995–2018)
Source: Green America / US SIF Foundation.

Focus on Governance

Governance, the “G” in ESG, refers to the structures, principles, and processes that dictate how a company is controlled and directed. It encompasses:

  • Board Diversity and Independence: A diverse and independent board ensures balanced decision-making, reducing conflicts of interest.
  • Shareholder Rights: Empowering shareholders with voting rights and transparent reporting fosters accountability.
  • Executive Accountability: Ensuring executive compensation aligns with long-term company performance promotes ethical leadership.
  • Risk Management: Establishing frameworks for identifying and mitigating financial, operational, and ESG-related risks.
  • Transparency and Reporting: Clear and consistent disclosure of governance practices builds stakeholder trust.

According to Eccles, Ioannou, and Serafeim (2014), companies adopting sustainability policies, including strong governance practices, tend to outperform their peers in both stock market returns and accounting metrics, further emphasizing the financial value of ethical leadership.

Without robust governance, even the strongest environmental and social efforts can falter due to poor oversight and unethical practices.

Why Governance Matters in ESG

Good governance forms the foundation for a company’s long-term sustainability and financial stability. It ensures that leadership decisions align with stakeholder interests and corporate ethics.

Trust and Reputation

Strong governance builds stakeholder trust by promoting ethical decision-making and transparency. Companies with robust governance frameworks are better positioned to manage crises and maintain reputational integrity. In contrast, scandals like Enron and Wirecard have shown how governance failures can lead to significant financial and reputational damage.

Attraction of Investors

Investors increasingly view governance as a critical factor when evaluating a company’s sustainability and risk profile. Firms with strong governance, such as Unilever and Microsoft, consistently outperform peers in financial performance and stakeholder trust. According to a study published on Academia.edu, both companies have demonstrated strong financial performance due to their governance practices.

Key Elements of Strong Governance

The importance of effective governance is further highlighted by the OECD Principles of Corporate Governance, which provide a globally recognized framework for transparent and accountable corporate practices.

  • Board Diversity and Independence: Diverse and independent boards contribute to better strategic decision-making and accountability. SpringerLink confirms that diversity enhances decision-making quality.
  • Transparency and Reporting: Transparent reporting builds trust among investors and regulators. AB Academies highlights its importance for investor confidence.
  • Executive Accountability: Linking executive pay to long-term performance ensures leadership integrity. Research from AB Academies supports the link between performance and pay.
  • Risk Management: Effective risk management protects against both financial and reputational risks.
  • Ethical Practices: Implementing anti-corruption measures and maintaining compliance with laws.

Governance in Emerging Economies

In emerging economies, strong governance frameworks play a transformative role in fostering investor confidence and driving sustainable economic growth. Countries like Saudi Arabia, with Vision 2030, and South Africa, with its King IV Code of Governance, have implemented significant reforms emphasizing transparency, accountability, and ethical leadership to attract foreign investment and modernize corporate practices.

Family-owned businesses, prevalent in regions like the Middle East and Africa, often face unique governance challenges. Implementing independent boards and family charters can help professionalize these businesses, ensuring long-term stability.

Leveraging Technology for Governance

Technological tools, such as those provided by DiliTrust, are transforming governance practices. Platforms for secure document management, compliance tracking, and board meeting organization improve transparency and decision-making efficiency. During my internship at DiliTrust, I witnessed firsthand how these tools streamline governance processes, ensuring accountability across various operational levels.

Career Opportunities in Governance

Governance expertise can lead to several impactful career paths:

  • Independent Board Member: Certifications like those from the ITA in Tunisia equip professionals to serve on corporate boards, ensuring strategic oversight.
  • Governance Consulting: ESG consulting firms assist businesses in enhancing governance practices, ESG compliance, and sustainability reporting.
  • ESG Rating Specialist: Working in agencies that assess corporate governance and sustainability standards.
  • Risk and Compliance Management: Roles focusing on enforcing governance frameworks within financial institutions and multinational corporations.

Related Posts on the SimTrade Blog

   ▶ Majd MAHRSI My Internship Experience at DiliTrust

   ▶ Anant JAIN Environmental, Social & Governance (ESG) Criteria

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Activists in financial markets and the corporate world

   ▶ Anant JAIN MSCI ESG Ratings

Useful Resources

Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030

South Africa’s King IV Code of Governance

DiliTrust Official Website

OECD Principles of Corporate Governance

Global Reporting Initiative

Institut Tunisien des Administrateurs (ITA)

SpringerLink on Board Diversity

AB Academies on Governance

Academia.edu on Unilever and Microsoft

Friede, G., Busch, T., & Bassen, A. (2015). ESG and financial performance: Aggregated evidence from more than 2,000 empirical studies. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment, 5(4), 210–233.

Eccles, R. G., Ioannou, I., & Serafeim, G. (2014). The impact of corporate sustainability on organizational processes and performance. Management Science, 60(11), 2835–2857.

About the Author

The article was written in January 2025 by Majd MAHRSI (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor in Business Administration (GBBA), 2021-2025).

Valuation methods

Andrea ALOSCARI

In this article, Andrea ALOSCARI (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor in Business Administration (GBBA) – 2024-2025) explains about three fundamental valuation methods—Comparable Companies Analysis, Precedent Transactions Analysis, and Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis—and their role in achieving successful deal outcomes.

Which are the main valuation methods?

At the heart of M&A, or Mergers and Acquisitions, stands the concept of valuation, which helps businesses evaluate the idea of expanding or consolidating their position in the market. The estimation of the target company’s implied share price is vitally important both for buyers and sellers and can be conducted with three main valuation methods: Comparable Companies analysis, Precedent Transactions analysis, and Discounted Cash Flow analysis.

Comparable Companies Analysis

The Comparable Companies analysis, colloquially known as “trading comps,” is one of the most common methodologies in M&A valuation. This methodology depends upon the analysis of the target company in comparison to other similar publicly traded companies. The rationale driving this valuation method is simple: a company is valued at a multiple equivalent to that of comparable companies operating in the same industry, same geography and similar financial profiles.

It starts by selecting an industry peer group of companies. Industry, size, geographical location, growth prospects, and profitability usually influence the choice of these groups of companies.

When conducting the valuation of a company, it is necessary to calculate different multiples for the comparable firms and consecutively apply them to the company financials, in order to estimate the value of the target. The most frequently used multiples are Enterprise Value/EBITDA, Price per share/Earnings per share, and Enterprise Value/Revenues.

In specific cases, the analysis can be extended to include industry metrics. For instance, in the case of the telecommunications field, price-per-subscriber metrics may be considered more relevant, while revenue-per-user or annual recurring revenue multiples are more applicable in the case of software companies. Such metrics allow deeper insight, giving a closer approximation for valuation.

While Comparable Companies analysis is market-reflective and easy to apply, there are some limitations. In real life, it is very hard and sometimes impossible to find really comparable companies, especially for niche industries or highly diversified firms. Valuation metrics may also be distorted by recent market volatility and temporary anomalies; therefore analysts need to use judgment when interpreting the results.

Precedent Transactions Analysis

Precedent transaction analysis includes the analysis of past M&A transactions to derive an estimated value of the target company. This technique provides, therefore, an indication of the price that the market has paid in the past, for companies which are similar in some respects.

In carrying out this type of analysis, analysts gather data on transactions similar in nature, deal size, industry and time. Application of the relevant metrics-such as EV/EBITDA and EV/Sales- will subsequently yield a set of valuation multiples. Later on, these are adjusted for synergies, market conditions, and strategic importance, among other factors, to arrive at an estimation of the target company’s value.

The major advantage of Precedent transaction analysis is that this method is derived from actual transaction data, which includes premiums for control and synergies. Despite that, also this methodology has several disadvantages; the historic transactions may not indicate the existing market conditions, and exhaustive data of private deals could be pretty hard to find out. Notwithstanding these disadvantages, this method is one of the main ways to find out the valuation trends in the merger and acquisition market.

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

Discounted Cash Flow Analysis works on a completely different tangent, focusing on the intrinsic value of the company. Whereas both Comparable Company analysis and Precedent Transactions analysis estimate the value of a company based on market comparables, unlike them, DCF estimates a company’s value based on its future expected cash flows. This is useful in cases where the companies have a very different business model or operate in an industry with few comparables.

Essentially, DCF starts off with projecting free cash flows for the target company over some predefined period of projection. These are then discounted back to the present using the firm’s cost of capital, reflecting risks involved in the business. Further, will be necessary to calculate the terminal value of the company, discounting it to the present value and adding it back to the value of the projection period.

The strengths of DCF lie in its flexibility and that it is based on fundamental performance, rather than on market sentiment. However, it is highly sensitive to assumptions like growth rates, discount rates, and terminal value calculations. Even small changes in these inputs may strongly affect the final valuation outcome. It therefore requires analysts to be very strict in justifying their assumptions and testing the robustness of their models via sensitivity analysis.

For example, we can consider a technology start-up with very high growth potential. Analysts would project cash flows considering very rapid revenue increases and very significant reinvestments in technology. In contrast, one would focus on stable cash flows and incremental growth while valuing a mature industrial firm. The DCF model would be flexible enough to accommodate those contexts.

Combining Valuation Techniques

No valuation approach is ideal on its own. Each of the techniques gives a different insight and is hence suited for different situations. For instance, Comparable Company analysis would be perfect in judging the relative value of a company with its peers, whereas Precedent Transactions analysis provides a reality check based on actual market transactions. On the other hand, DCF provides an intrinsic in-depth analysis of the business, independent of the market noise.

In order to provide a more complete assessment, the triangulation approach is increasingly being used by incorporating findings from valuations of different techniques. As an example, in technology industries, Comparable Company analysis might provide a view on how markets valued comparable businesses, DCF might be applied with respect to long-term intellectual property value and growth potentials, Precedent Transactions analysis could help identify synergies from historical deals and therefore complement an otherwise forward-looking DCF approach.

Finally, the values are presented through a football field chart, a type of graph that is particularly helpful in visualizing the results and comparing various approaches to valuation. This chart usually assists stakeholders, but not only, in rapidly identifying overlap and outliers by portraying ranges of value generated from multiple approaches on one horizontal axis.

Example of a DCF valuation

In the following section, you can download an Excel file containing a valuation performed using the discounted cash flow (DCF) method. The file includes all the calculation details, such as projected cash flows, the discount rate applied, and the resulting net present value. Additionally, it contains sheets where various assumptions were made, along with the forecasting of financial statement items.

Example of DCF valuation
 Example of DCF valuation
Source: Personal analysis

In this discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, the valuation is performed by projecting future free cash flows to the firm (FCFF) over a specified forecast period. Key assumptions, such as revenue growth, cost of goods sold (COGS) percentage, EBITDA margin, depreciation, capital expenditures (CapEx), and changes in net working capital (NWC), are made to forecast the financial statement items.

The projected FCFF values are then discounted using a weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to estimate their present value. A terminal value is calculated at the end of the forecast period, representing the business’s residual value. The total enterprise value is obtained by summing the discounted FCFFs and the discounted terminal value. Lastly, adjustments for net debt and outstanding shares are made to derive the implied equity value and share price.

Additionally, the file includes a sensitivity analysis to show how changes in growth rate and WACC impact the enterprise value.

You can download below the Excel file for valuation.

Download the Excel file  with a valuation example

Why should I be interested in this post?

The following post outlines some of the key valuation techniques in M&A transactions and is hence very useful for finance professionals, students, and anyone interested in the corporate world. This article offers practical tools that help make an appropriate assessment of deal value utilizing methodologies like Comparable Companies Analysis, Precedent Transactions Analysis, and Discounted Cash Flow Analysis.

Whether it is for an investment banking career or an intrinsic desire to understand how things work in corporate finance, it is possible to find some real actionable insight in this article. The combination of a theoretical base with real applications allows the reader to take these concepts into dynamic market environments.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ All posts about valuation Valuation methods

   ▶ Lou PERRONE Free Cash Flow

   ▶ Bijal GANDHI Cash Flow Statement

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Factset

Useful resources

Joshua Rosenbaum and Joshua Pearl (2024) “Investment Bnaking : Valuaito, LBOs, M&A and IPOs” Wiley, Third Edition.

Alexandra Reed Lajoux (2019) “The Art of M&A, Fifth Edition: A Merger, Acquisition, and Buyout Guide” McGraw-Hill Education.

Tim Koller, Marc Goedhart, David Wessels (2010) “Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies”, McKinsey and Company.

Aswath Damodaran (2024) Valuation Modeling: Excel as a tool (YouTube video).

About the author

The article was written in January 2025 by Andrea ALOSCARI (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor in Business Administration (GBBA) – 2024-2025).

Real-Time Risk Management in the Trading Arena

Real-Time Risk Management in the Trading Arena

Vardaan CHAWLA

In this article, Vardaan CHAWLA (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy and Management of International Business (SMIB), 2020-2023) shares a case study on real-time risk management in the trading arena.

As an individual investor venturing into the dynamic world of financial markets, it’s crucial to understand and implement effective risk management strategies. The following article, explores the key principles and techniques to safeguard your investments and navigate the potential risks.

Financial markets are very dynamic, interesting, and filled with opportunities and risks. Learning to manage risks in the always-changing world of financial markets is crucial. In the following article I discuss the effective methods to manage, navigate, and avoid risk while dealing in financial markets to help you make informed decisions and safeguard your money.

Understanding Your Risk Tolerance

The first principle of effective risk management is self-awareness. Before diving into financial markets one must assess one’s own risk tolerance meaning the amount of losses you are able to manage comfortably.

Ask yourself critical questions:

  • How much capital can I realistically afford to lose?
  • How would a significant loss impact my financial well-being?
  • Am I prone to emotional decision-making during market fluctuations?

After answering these questions you can start making your trading and risk management strategies and techniques. A very aggressive investor will be open to taking a high amount of risk with more potential results while a conservative investor will be the opposite, low risk with less potential returns. One must invest based on their own loss tolerance.

Core Risk Management Strategies

Once you understand your risk tolerance, equip yourself with these key risk management strategies:

  • Position Sizing: This describes how much capital is devoted to a specific deal. Starting small is a vital notion, particularly for novices. A typical place to start is with 1% to 2% of your entire portfolio for each deal. With a diversified portfolio, you can progressively raise position size as your experience and risk tolerance permits.
  • Stop-Loss: Stop orders are vital instruments for safeguarding your investment. To limit potential losses if the market swings against your position, a stop-loss order automatically sells an asset when the price hits a predefined level (lower than the current market price). It’s critical to create stop-loss levels that balance possible asset recovery with risk minimization.
  • Take Profit: Limit orders work similarly to stop-loss orders in that they automatically lock in profits by selling an asset when the price hits a predefined level (higher than the current market price). This lessens the chance of losing gains if the market turns south. To safeguard your earnings and resist the need to cling to a winning position for too long, use take-profit orders wisely.
  • Diversification: Avoid putting all of your money in one place. Distribute your investments throughout several industries, sectors, and asset classes. This lessens the effect that a fall in one asset will have on the value of your entire portfolio. Diversification makes your portfolio more stable and less vulnerable to changes in the market.
  • Risk-Reward Ratio: This measure contrasts the possible gain with the possible loss on a certain transaction. Seek for transactions where the possible profit margin outweighs the potential loss margin. A better risk profile is indicated by a greater ratio. Prior to making a trade, evaluating the risk-reward ratio will help you make well-informed judgments regarding potential gain vs downside.

The figures below illustrate how take-profit and stop-loss can be implemented for a given stock (Meta around August 15,2024). Two orders are sent to the market (at the same time): a sell limit order with a limit price of $290 and a stop order with a trigger price of $280. Note that it is not always possible to place both a limit order an stop order at the same time (it depends on the brokers or trading platforms).

In Figure 1, the stock price stays below the limit price and above the trigger price.

Figure 1. No order execution.
No order execution
Source: computation by the author.

In Figure 2, the sell limit order is executed as the market price reaches the limit price of the order; the transaction price is $290.

Figure 2. Take profit: execution of the limit order.
Take profit: execution of the limit order
Source: computation by the author.

In Figure 3, the sell stop order is executed as the market price reaches the trigger price of the order; the transaction price is $280 (or lower if the market is not very liquid).

Figure 3. Stop loss: execution of the stop order.
Stop loss: execution of the stop order
Source: computation by the author.

Advanced Risk Management Techniques

As you gain experience, consider incorporating these advanced techniques:

  • Hedging: This is the process of offsetting possible losses in your underlying holdings by employing derivative instruments, such as option contracts. Before putting hedging methods into practice, careful thought and comprehension are necessary because they can be complicated.
  • Volatility Targeting: This strategy modifies the overall risk exposure of your portfolio in response to fluctuations in the market. You may lower the sizes of your positions or devote more capital to less volatile assets during times of high volatility. On the other hand, you may decide to take on larger positions or invest in riskier assets during times of low volatility.

Disciplined Execution: The Key to Success

Risk management is not just about having the right tools; it’s about disciplined execution. Here are some essential practices to cultivate:

  • Trading Plan: One must work meticulously in developing a comprehensive trading plan that clearly defines your entry, exit, risk management strategies, and what you aim to achieve from trading and avoid emotional and impulsive decision-making.
  • Monitoring and Adjustment: You must also regularly monitor your portfolio and be updated on financial news in order to prepare for potential future losses or opportunities. To maximize your gains utilize Stop loss orders and take profit orders and adjust your trades and position as and when needed.
  • Emotional Control: When we receive surprise losses or surprise gains we are inclined to make emotional and impulsive decisions that can lead to further future losses. The trader must always make decisions with a calm composed mind to make sound decisions.

By adopting these risk management principles and maintaining disciplined execution, you can navigate the real-time financial markets with greater confidence and minimize the possibility of significant losses. Remember, risk management is an ongoing process that requires constant evaluation and adaptation.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Federico DE ROSSI Understanding the Order Book: How It Impacts Trading

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Quantitative risk management

   ▶ Ziqian ZONG My experience as a Quantitative Investment Intern in Fortune Sg Fund Management

   ▶ Michel VERHASSELT Risk comes from not knowing what you are doing

Useful resources

SimTrade course Trade orders

Justin Kuepper (June 12, 2023) Risk Management Techniques for Active Traders

Amir Samimi & Alireza Bozorgian (2022) An Analysis of Risk Management in Financial Markets and Its Effects, Jounrnal of Engineering in Industrial Research, 3(1): 1-7

About the author

The article was written in December 2024 by Vardaan CHAWLA (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy and Management of International Business (SMIB), 2020-2023).

Why are video games “free”?

Why are video games “free”?

William LONGIN Kilien DUPAYRAT

In this article, William LONGIN (Sorbonne School of Economics, Master in Money Banking Finance Insurance, 2024-2026) and Kilien DUPAYRAT (IESEG School of Management, Grande Ecole Program, Entrepreneurship, 2022-2027) discusses “free” video game business models and uses the case studies of League of Legends, Candy Crush, and Axie Infinity as an illustration.

Introduction

There is “no such thing as a free lunch” but somehow the early 21th century has been marked by the emergence of games that don’t need to be purchased to be played.

The video game market matters! It is the biggest entertainment related industry in the world. According to Access Creative College (2022) “the game industry is worth almost double the film and music industry, combined”. In 2022, the global market size of the video game industry was estimated at 217 billion USD and expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13% between 2023 and 2030 according to Grand View Research (2022).

Since its inception in the late 20th century, the video game industry has rapidly evolved from arcade games to immersive experiences across devices. The industry keeps growing and is driven by changing consumer preferences and new technologies. At its disposal is an array of strategies to be profitable. The ways of playing and technologies also evolved with it, from the basic arcade games where you needed to insert a coin to play, to the most advanced business models like blockchain games where the content is made of NFTs. Companies in today’s revenue models master the balance between paying and non-paying players as well as understanding the latest trends.

In this article, we will look at why so many video game companies make their games free and how these new revenue models are the most popular. As a reminder, the revenue model is part of the business model and focuses on how the company makes money by monetizing its products.

Free-to-play (F2P) revenue model

The free-to-play (F2P) revenue model offers free download video games. Their method to generate revenue is through in-game purchases of virtual items for cosmetic, boosting or convenience purposes. The bought items don’t influence the gameplay but can appeal to a desire to design and customize (costumes, colors, etc.) The free-to-play revenue model initially wasn’t popular with investors and companies due to the dominance of traditional premium models, where games were purchased to download. The lack of upfront cost has allowed these sorts of games to reach a larger audience. The F2P model has proven to be highly effective, contributing significantly to the popularization of video games in general. In 2020, Free to play games accounted for “78% of the digital games market revenue” (Davidovici-Nora, 2013).

League of Legends case study

The spread of F2P revenue models came with the rise of online games such as “League of Legends,” free to download but with costly in-game items. The in-game currency is called “Riot Points, RP’s” and can be traded for cosmetic items (skins, wards, emotes) and other non-essential enhancements (event passes, rune pages). Purchases don’t give a gameplay advantage to paying players vs nonpaying players. Therefore, by eliminating barriers to entry to play the game significantly increased its reach. Consider here under the process map of typical experience for a player of “League of Legends” and where transactions take place.

Figure 1 below presents the flow chart “from download to purchase” for the case of League of Legends.

Figure 1. Flow chart from download to purchase: the case of League of Legends.
 Flow chart from download to purchase: the case of League of Legends
Source: the authors.

In the flow chart above we can see that once players encounter the in-game store, they are introduced to a wide array of purchasable cosmetics like champion skins and emotes, which have no impact on gameplay but significantly enhance personalization. This creates a cycle of desire: players aspire to own these cosmetics, leading to the purchase of Riot Points (RP) using real money. The emotional satisfaction gained from these purchases’ fuels continued engagement, bringing players back to the game and reinforcing the loop.

Freemium revenue model

The freemium revenue model offers free-to-download video games like F2P games but it doesn’t offer access to the entire game. The differences between both business models are subtle. The gaming experience is incomplete (store purchases include game extensions at a premium). Thus, the name “freemium” is a combination of “free”, the core gaming experience is free and “premium” as the game extensions are purchasable at a premium. In this revenue model there is also possibility to purchase cosmetic items, boosters and convenience improvers.

Candy Crush case study

Candy Crush is an example using the freemium model because it is free to download and begin playing but encourages players to pay for certain enhancements or additional content to improve or expedite their gameplay experience. While the core mechanics—matching candies, progressing through levels, and competing with friends—are accessible at no initial cost, the game limits play sessions through mechanisms like lives (which refill slowly over time) and imposes difficulty spikes on certain levels. Players looking to bypass these limitations, access extra levels more quickly, or gain advantageous power-ups and boosters can purchase them through in-app transactions. These premium offerings are not strictly necessary to play the game, but they greatly enhance or complete the experience, making Candy Crush a clear example of the “freemium” model: the main game is free, yet the most streamlined, convenient, or extended version of play comes at a premium.

Figure 2 below presents the flow chart “from download to purchase” for the case of Candy Crush.

Figure 2. Flow chart from download to purchase: the case of Candy Crush Saga.
 Flow chart from download to purchase: the case of Candy Crush
Source: the authors.

The flow chart above illustrates how the freemium revenue model typically unfolds for a game like Candy Crush Saga. Initially, players are enticed by the free download and ease of access. After installing, they enter a tutorial or trial phase where resources such as lives are abundant, allowing them to experience the game’s mechanics without frustration. As players progress, the difficulty gradually increases, eventually reaching levels at which winning without purchasing boosts or extra lives becomes challenging. This leads to a point of dissatisfaction or frustration, where the game’s free option feels less enjoyable or even stalled. In response, many players opt to make micro-purchases—buying boosters, additional moves, or unlocking new levels—to overcome obstacles and continue playing seamlessly. This cycle repeats, encouraging ongoing engagement and revenue generation through periodic spending.

Play-to-earn (P2E) revenue model

Revenue Model

The blockchain revenue model is known as the play-to-earn (P2E). These games use blockchain technology to create decentralized gaming ecosystems where players can earn real-world value through in-game activities. Although counterintuitive, this business model brings value to players and to the video game creators at the same time. This model represents a significant shift from traditional gaming paradigms by integrating financial incentives directly into gameplay.

Axie Infinity case study

The game Axie Infinity is a blockchain game and is an example of a P2E game. The game studio charges a rate between transactions in the game economy. “Sky Mavis charges a 4.25% fee to players when they trade Axies on its marketplace.” according to wikipedia.

Figure 3 below presents the flow chart “from download to purchase” for the case of Axie Infinity.

Figure 3. Flow chart from download to purchase: the case of Axie Infinity.
 Flow chart from download to purchase: the case of Axie Infinity
Source: the authors.

The flow chart above illustrates the play-to-earn (P2E) revenue model, using Axie Infinity as an example. The process begins with a free download, allowing players to access the game without an initial purchase. Once immersed in gameplay, players engage in activities—such as battles, breeding, or quests—that reward them with in-game currency. What sets P2E apart is that these virtual assets have real-world value, often tied to cryptocurrencies like Ethereum. Players can trade, sell, or convert their earned in-game currency and items into real money, effectively monetizing their skill, time, and investment in the game. Every transaction, from buying and selling digital creatures (Axies) to acquiring special items, passes through a decentralized marketplace, with a percentage of each trade returning to the game developers. This cycle creates an ecosystem where both players and creators benefit financially, as gameplay activities drive the value of the in-game economy and sustain the platform’s growth.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the “Free-to-Play”, “Freemium”, and “Play-to-Earn” revenue models have revolutionized the way video games generate revenue, each presenting distinct strategies to engage and monetize players while having their games freely downloadable to players. These revenue models are also used in different sectors such as dating applications, social media and music streaming companies.

From a data analysis perspective, both models provide a wealth of information on user preferences and behaviors, allowing for increased personalization and optimization of gaming experiences. However, this also raises ethical questions, particularly concerning the management of gaming addiction and impulsive spending, especially among young or vulnerable players. In terms of performance, statistics often show that the Free-to-Play model can reach a broader user base, while the Freemium model can generate higher revenue per active user due to the need to unlock content, and Play-to-Earn models gain revenue when the gamer user base is active and growing. Each business model has its merits and drawbacks, and the choice of model largely depends on the type of game and the target audience.

Why Should I Be Interested in This Post?

You should be interested in this post because it gives insights on the revenue models companies in the video game industry have adopted. There a section on “blockchain” video games that are very recent and could hold a prevalent space in the years to come. Indeed, by mixing real currency and in-game currency and creating a virtual economy it can become even more addictive and meaningful for players. In the light of the new technologies developed in the augmented reality and virtual reality spaces these types of video games could be the future.

Related Posts on the SimTrade Blog

▶ Raphaël ROERO DE CORTANZE Gamestop: how a group of nostalgic nerds overturned a short-selling strategy

Useful resources

Grand View Research Video Game Market Size, Share & Trends Report Video Game Market Size, Share & Trends Analysis Report By Device (Console, Mobile, Computer), By Type (Online, Offline), By Region (Asia Pacific, North America, Europe), And Segment Forecasts, 2023 – 2030?

Access Creative College How much is the gaming industry worth?

Techquickie (YouTube channel) Blockchain Games Are Here – What You Should Know

Wikipedia Axie Infinity

About the authors

The article was written in December 2024 by William LONGIN (Sorbonne School of Economics, Master in Money Banking Finance Insurance, 2024-2026) and Kilien DUPAYRAT (IESEG School of Management, Grande Ecole Program, Entrepreneurship, 2022-2027).

CRSP

CRSP

Nithisha CHALLA

In this article, Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024) examines the history, features, applications, and relevance of CRSP, with a special focus on why it matters to finance professionals and students.

Introduction

CRSP (Center for Research in Security Prices) is a leading financial database renowned for its comprehensive collection of security price data, returns, and market indexes. It is a trusted resource for academics, researchers, and professionals who rely on historical datasets for empirical research and strategic decision-making. With a focus on U.S. markets, CRSP has set the gold standard for securities data, supporting countless studies in finance and economics.

Mastering CRSP not only deepens a student’s understanding of financial markets but also signals to potential employers a commitment to analytical rigor and excellence in finance—a key advantage in a competitive job market.

The History of CRSP

Established in 1960 at the University of Chicago, CRSP was founded to provide accurate and comprehensive data on U.S. stock markets for academic research. Its first dataset covered securities listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), laying the foundation for rigorous empirical research in finance. Over time, CRSP expanded to include data from other exchanges, such as the American Stock Exchange (AMEX) and NASDAQ, creating an unparalleled repository of historical market information.

Logo of CRSP
Logo of CRSP
Source: the company.

CRSP’s pioneering methodologies in data collection and standardization have significantly contributed to advancements in financial theory and practice. Its datasets have been integral to groundbreaking studies, including those that led to Nobel Prizes in Economics like Eugene Fama.

Key Features

Certain key features of CRSP make it very useful as a database such as its Comprehensive Market Data, High-Quality Data, Unique Identifiers, Event Studies and Analytics, and Customizable Datasets.

As an example, the picture below presents the CRSP website Interface.

CRSP website Interface
CRSP Interface
Source: the company.

Comprehensive Market Data

In the domain of finance, where historical accuracy and data consistency are critical, the Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) database has established itself as an invaluable resource. Maintained by the University of Chicago Booth School of Business, CRSP provides high-quality financial and market data, widely recognized for its rigor and reliability.

CRSP provides historical data on stock prices, returns, and dividends dating back to 1926. It includes data on U.S. equity, fixed-income securities, mutual funds, and market indexes.

High-Quality Data

Known for its accuracy and reliability, CRSP meticulously cleans and standardizes data for research-grade quality.

Unique Identifiers

Employs permanent and unique identifiers for securities, ensuring seamless tracking across corporate events such as mergers or name changes.</p

Event Studies and Analytics

CRSP supports event-based analyses, including stock splits, delistings, and corporate actions. It enables users to study the impact of specific events on stock performance.

Customizable Datasets

CRSP allows users to tailor data queries based on timeframes, security types, or specific indices.

Applications in Finance and Business

There are several applications of CRSP in finance and business such as Market Benchmarks, Strategic Planning, academic research, and Corporate Finance.

  • Academic Research: CRSP is the backbone of empirical finance, aiding studies on asset pricing, portfolio theory, and market efficiency.
  • Investment Strategies: Asset managers and analysts use CRSP data to backtest trading strategies, analyze market trends, and optimize portfolios.
  • Market Benchmarks: CRSP provides widely used benchmarks like the CRSP Indexes, which are integral to understanding market dynamics.
  • Corporate Finance: Researchers and professionals leverage CRSP for analyses on mergers, acquisitions, and the impact of financial policies.

Advantages and Limitations of CRSP

Though there are multiple advantages of using this database there are also certain limitations that we have to consider:

Advantages of CRSP

  • Historical Depth: CRSP’s long-term datasets enable robust time-series analyses and longitudinal studies.
  • Reliability: Trusted by academics and practitioners for its meticulous approach to data accuracy.
  • Comprehensive Coverage: Includes data on a broad range of financial instruments and corporate actions.

Challenges and Limitations

  • Cost: Access to CRSP is subscription-based and can be expensive for individual users or smaller institutions.
  • U.S.-Centric Focus: While exhaustive for U.S. markets, it offers limited data on international securities.
  • Technical Complexity: Requires expertise to navigate and analyze its extensive datasets effectively.

Why CRSP Matters in 2024

In 2024, as financial markets grow increasingly complex, CRSP’s role as a reliable data source is more critical than ever. The database supports cutting-edge research on topics such as algorithmic trading, behavioral finance, and the impact of ESG factors on market performance. With its legacy of contributing to financial innovation, CRSP remains a vital resource for understanding and navigating modern markets.

Conclusion

CRSP stands as a testament to the power of high-quality data in shaping financial research and practice. Its depth, precision, and historical scope make it indispensable for academics, researchers, and industry professionals. As markets evolve, CRSP continues to provide the tools and insights needed to analyze trends, test hypotheses, and drive informed decisions.

Why should I be interested in this post?

For finance students, CRSP is more than a database—it’s an educational gateway to understanding market behavior, testing financial theories, and developing data-driven insights. Familiarity with CRSP equips students with the skills to conduct empirical research and enhances their readiness for roles in asset management, investment banking, and academia.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Datastream

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Factiva

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Compustat

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Statista

Useful resources

CRSP CRSP research data products

CRSP CRSP US Stock Databases

Wikipedia Center for Research in Security Prices

About the author

The article was written in December 2024 by Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024).

Compustat

Compustat

Nithisha CHALLA

In this article, Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024) delves into Compustat, its origins and history, features, applications, and its critical role in shaping modern finance.

Introduction

In an era where data drives decision-making, having access to reliable and standardized financial information is essential for academics, analysts, and professionals in finance. Compustat is a comprehensive database that offers detailed financial and economic data on publicly traded companies across the globe. Renowned for its standardized and comparable datasets, it is extensively used for financial modeling, investment research, and academic studies. It is especially valued in environments where precision, consistency, and historical depth of data are paramount.

Investing time in learning how to navigate and apply insights from Compustat is not merely an academic exercise; it’s a practical step toward becoming a data-savvy finance professional ready to tackle real-world challenges.

The History of Compustat

Compustat traces its origins to the 1960s when Standard & Poor’s developed it as a digital repository for corporate financial data. Initially focused on U.S. companies, the database expanded its scope to include international firms, establishing itself as a global standard for financial information. Over decades, Compustat evolved with technological advancements, incorporating tools for analytics and data visualization, thus maintaining its relevance in an increasingly complex financial landscape.

The acquisition of Compustat by S&P Global(Standard and Poor) further solidified its position, ensuring integration with other S&P products like Capital IQ, enhancing both usability and depth.

Key Features of Compustat

Certain key features of Compustat make it very useful as a database such as its extensive financial data, global reach, standardized metrics, customizable data access, and integration capabilities

As an example, the picture below presents the screenshot of the Compustat website.

Compustat website Interface
Compustat website Interface
Source: the company.

Extensive Financial Data

Compustat, a product of S&P Global, is a robust database that provides financial, economic, and market data, making it a cornerstone for those engaged in quantitative research and corporate analysis. Compustat covers thousands of companies’ income, balance sheets, and cash flow statements. It includes detailed information on assets, liabilities, revenues, expenses, and equity.

Global Reach

Compustat provides data on companies from North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and emerging markets. It also features coverage of both active and inactive companies for historical analysis.

Standardized Metrics

Compustat ensures consistency and comparability across industries and geographies. It adheres to accounting standards, enabling uniform analysis.</p

Customizable Data Access

Allows users to tailor datasets according to specific time frames, industries, or financial metrics.

Integration Capabilities

Compustat is compatible with statistical software like R, Python, and MATLAB for advanced analytics. It can be integrated with S&P Global’s broader suite of tools, enhancing data utility.

Applications in Finance and Business with Compustat

There are several applications of Compustat in finance and business such as equity research and valuation, credit analysis, academic research, corporate strategy, and benchmarking

  • Equity Research and Valuation: Investment professionals use Compustat to build financial models, perform company valuations, and assess market performance.
  • Credit Analysis: Lenders and credit analysts utilize Compustat’s data to evaluate borrowers’ financial health and creditworthiness.
  • Academic Research: Scholars rely on Compustat for empirical studies on market behavior, corporate performance, and economic trends.
  • Corporate Strategy and Benchmarking: Businesses use the database for competitive analysis and to benchmark their performance against peers.

Advantages and Limitations of Compustat

Though there are multiple advantages of using this database there are also certain limitations that we have to consider:

Advantages of Compustat

  • Depth of Data: Historical records spanning decades provide valuable insights for longitudinal studies.
  • Reliability: Maintained by S&P Global, Compustat is a trusted source of financial information.
  • Customization: The ability to filter and extract tailored datasets enhances its utility across various applications.

Challenges and Limitations

  • Cost: The subscription fee is substantial, which may limit access for small organizations or individual users.
  • Complexity: Navigating the platform and interpreting data may require specialized training.
  • Limited Non-Financial Metrics: Focuses primarily on financial data, with less emphasis on qualitative aspects like ESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) metrics.

Why Compustat Matters in 2024

In the rapidly evolving financial landscape of 2024, Compustat remains a vital resource. With the growing complexity of global markets, the need for standardized and reliable data has never been greater. As businesses increasingly adopt AI-driven analytics, Compustat’s clean, structured datasets are a foundation for machine learning models and predictive analytics. Furthermore, its historical archives enable researchers to analyze economic trends and market cycles with unparalleled depth.

Conclusion

Compustat stands as a benchmark in financial databases. Its extensive features, historical depth, and global reach make it indispensable for professionals and academics. Compustat empowers users to make informed decisions in a data-driven economy by bridging the gap between raw data and actionable insights.

Why should I be interested in this post?

For finance students, understanding and utilizing Compustat can be a game-changer. Mastery of this database enhances research capabilities and provides a competitive edge in the job market. Familiarity with Compustat signals to employers a proficiency in handling large-scale financial data and performing advanced analytics skills highly sought after in finance, investment banking, and consulting.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Datastream

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA S&P Global Market Intelligence

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Factiva

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Statista

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA CRSP

Useful resources

S&P Global Compustat Financials

Fidelity Investments Introduction to Standard & Poor’s Compustat

European University Institute (EUI) Compustat – Standard and Poor’s

Wikipedia Compustat

About the author

The article was written in December 2024 by Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024).

Statista

Statista

Nithisha CHALLA

In this article, Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024) explores Statista, its origin, features, applications, and its value as a go-to resource for data and insights.

Introduction

Statista is a leading provider of market and consumer data, presenting information in an intuitive, visually appealing format. Known for its user-friendly interface and comprehensive coverage, Statista aggregates data from over 22,500 trusted sources, making it a one-stop shop for global statistics, market trends, and industry reports.

Moreover, familiarity with Statista demonstrates to employers a capacity for leveraging data to inform decisions—a skill highly sought after in finance, consulting, and analytics roles. By mastering Statista, students not only enhance their academic experience but also gain a competitive edge in their professional journey.

The History of Statista

Founded in 2007 in Hamburg, Germany, Statista was created to simplify access to data and transform complex information into actionable insights. The platform initially focused on German-speaking markets but quickly expanded to serve a global audience. Over the years, Statista has grown into one of the largest statistics portals worldwide, providing data in fields ranging from technology and finance to healthcare and consumer behavior.

Logo of Statista
Logo of Statista
Source: the company.

Statista’s innovative approach to presenting data visually has set it apart. By combining academic rigor with business-friendly accessibility, the platform has become indispensable for decision-makers across industries.

Key Features of Statista

Certain key features of Statista make it very useful as a database such as its Extensive Data Coverage, Interactive Visualizations, Comprehensive Reports, Global Consumer Survey, and Ease of Access

As an example, the picture below presents the Statista website Interface.

Statista website interface
Statista website interface
Source: the company.

Extensive Financial Data

Statista, a renowned online statistics and market research platform offers a treasure trove of data for professionals, researchers, and students alike. Statista offers over 1.5 million statistics across 170 industries and 150+ countries. It includes data on demographics, consumer behavior, market trends, and economic indicators.

Interactive Visualizations

Statista provides charts, infographics, and dashboards to make data interpretation easier. Its users can customize visualizations to suit their needs.

Comprehensive Reports

In Statista, industry reports, market forecasts, and trend analyses are available. There are also special reports that focus on emerging topics like digitalization, sustainability, and AI.

Global Consumer Survey

Statista has a unique feature that offers insights into consumer attitudes and preferences across regions and industries.

Ease of Accessibility to data

Statista supports export in multiple formats, including PDF, Excel, and PowerPoint, for seamless integration into presentations and reports. And it features a powerful search engine and intuitive navigation tools.

Applications in Finance and Business with Statista

There are several applications of Statista in finance and business such as Market Research, Strategic Planning, academic research, and Public Policy, and Advocacy

As an example, the picture below presents the news about the monthly variation of the harmonized consumer price index (HICP) in France from January 2021 to April 2024.

Statista news on harmonized consumer price index(HICP)
Statista Interface
Source: the company.

  • Market Research: Businesses use Statista to understand market dynamics, consumer preferences, and industry trends.
  • Strategic Planning: Statista’s insights help organizations make informed decisions about investments, product launches, and expansions.
  • Academic Research: Students and researchers rely on Statista for data-driven studies in fields like economics, business, and social sciences.
  • Public Policy and Advocacy: Policymakers use Statista to analyze economic indicators and societal trends, aiding in policy formulation and advocacy efforts.

Advantages and Limitations of Statista

Though there are multiple advantages of using this database there are also certain limitations that we have to consider:

Advantages of Statista

  • Broad Scope: Covers a wide range of topics, industries, and geographies.
  • User-Friendly: Simplifies complex data with visual tools and intuitive navigation.
  • Trusted Sources: Aggregates data from reputable organizations, ensuring reliability.

Challenges and Limitations

  • Subscription Costs: Comprehensive access requires a paid subscription, which might be prohibitive for some users.
  • Limited Raw Data: Focuses more on aggregated and processed data rather than raw datasets.
  • Depth vs. Breadth: While broad, some topics may lack the depth found in specialized databases.

Why Statista Matters in 2024

In 2024, as data becomes the backbone of strategic decision-making, Statista’s role is more vital than ever. Its ability to present real-time insights and long-term trends in a visually engaging manner caters to the increasing demand for actionable intelligence. With industries navigating challenges like digital transformation and global economic shifts, Statista serves as a reliable ally in staying informed and competitive.

Conclusion

Statista has revolutionized how data is accessed and utilized. Its blend of breadth, reliability, and user-friendly design makes it a versatile tool for anyone needing data-driven insights. Whether you’re exploring new markets, conducting academic research, or shaping public policy, Statista equips you with the knowledge needed to succeed in a complex world.

Why should I be interested in this post?

For finance students, Statista offers a wealth of resources to support academic projects, case studies, and career preparation. The platform provides access to financial metrics, market trends, and consumer insights that are invaluable for coursework and internships.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Datastream

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Factiva

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA CRSP

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Compustat

Useful resources

Statista Empowering people with data

Statista Global stories vividly visualized

Wikipedia Statista

European University Institute (EUI) Statista

About the author

The article was written in December 2024 by Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024).

Political Risk: An Example in France in 2024

Political Risk: An Example in France in 2024

Marine SELLI

In this article, Marine SELLI (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor in Business Administration (GBBA), 2020-2024) explores the intricate relationship between political risk and financial markets, focusing on France’s landscape in 2024.

The context

Financial market stability is critically dependent on political risk, which determines how investors behave, borrowing costs and how strong a nation’s currency is. Consequently, market fears of political instability under Michel Barnier’s government have been heightened in France. Indeed, the instability has manifested itself in rising bond spreads, pressure on the euro and rising costs of debt issuance. Therefore, France’s financial landscape is being impacted by political uncertainty.

Spread Since the Dissolution of the National Assembly.
Spread Between French and German Bonds Political risk in France
Source: Bloomberg, Les Echos

The Cost of French Debt Rises

One of the most widely followed indicators of France’s economic health is its government bonds (obligations assimilables du Trésor or OATs): the yield reflects market confidence in France’s creditworthiness and economic conditions, with rising yields often signaling increased risk perceived by investors. Additionally, the spread between OAT yields and German Bunds serves as a benchmark for comparing investor sentiment toward France versus Europe’s strongest economy. In the past few months, the French bond market has spiked to political uncertainty. As a result, the spread between French and German 10-year bond (which represents a key risk gauge) spiked to 89 basis points in late November 2024. It is the highest since eurozone crisis days in 2012, and up from the 55 basis points in May 2024 before parliamentary dissolution.

Spread Between French and Greek Bonds.
 Spread Between French and Greek Bonds
Source: Bloomberg, Les Echos.

The spread reflects the additional yield investors demand to hold French debt over German bonds, which are the eurozone’s safest. Therefore, it represents a quantifiable expression of the risk that markets see associated with France’s political and fiscal situation. This comes as France’s 10-year bond yield has risen sharply from 2.9% at the start of 2024 to 3.2% in November 2024. However, German yields have remained steady at 2.1%, reflecting a difference in confidence among investors in the two economies.

Therefore, the implications for France’s borrowing costs are profound. In 2025, the government will issue €300 billion in bonds, a record amount, as debt refinancing needs and budgetary deficits are pushing up borrowing. A 30 basis point rise in yields could add £900m a year to the interest bill, further stretching a budget that is already under severe strain. Hence, the urgent need to restore market confidence is underlined by the cumulative cost of higher borrowing rates.

The Cost of French Debt Rises

France’s political challenges have also put pressure on the euro, often considered a barometer of European unity. The euro is currently trading at $1.05 and risks further depreciation to parity with the US dollar if the Barnier government collapses. Historically, currency markets have been sensitive to French political developments, and we can point to recent examples.

For instance, speculation of a severe euro devaluation swirled around a ‘Frexit’ in 2017 after fears of such an outcome during the presidential campaign of Marine Le Pen. Analysts had forecast up to 5% fall in the euro, but Emmanuel Macron’s eventual victory eased those fears, pushing the euro 10% higher in four months. However, in 2024, the situation is less clear. The euro’s path remains fragile as investor sentiment is weighed down by political uncertainty and fiscal deficits near 6% of GDP. Further decline would aggravate inflationary pressures by increasing the cost of imports, especially energy, and would provide only modest export benefits in a weak global economy.

Meanwhile, the widening of the French-German spread in recent weeks has been a clear signal that skepticism about France’s political and fiscal outlook has been growing.

France, a semi core of the eurozone, now has borrowing costs approaching those of southern European countries such as Spain and Portugal, which have been viewed as riskier. For example, Spanish 10-year bond yields have fallen below those of France due to the improved fiscal discipline in and economic performance by Spain. In the meantime, France’s credit default swaps are trading at 0.4%, implying a default probability of 2.6%. This is still below Greece’s 5%, but it reflects a loss of confidence in French fiscal management.

Additionally, liquidity concerns are also at play. France’s ability to get enough private investors to put money into its debt is becoming more reliant on these private investors as the European Central Bank reduces its purchases of bonds. The shift in market dynamics only underscores the need for political stability.

France Fiscal Outlook

France’s fiscal outlook is a daunting challenge for financial markets. This comes as the government embarks on its record €300 billion debt issuance program for 2025, at a time when interest costs are rising and the budget remains in deficit. As a result, the sheer volume of outstanding debt, coupled with higher yields, will push debt servicing expenses to €55 billion in 2025, from €50 billion in 2024.

Moreover, France’s debt-to-GDP ratio is already 111% in 2024, one of the highest in the eurozone. That ratio has been a source of concern about the sustainability of France’s fiscal policies, given that it comes amid a slow economic growth. That’s why analysts warn that without meaningful reforms to deal with structural deficits, the debt trajectory could become unsustainable, which will then trigger further downgrades from credit rating agencies and higher borrowing costs.

Outstanding French Debt Overview.
 Outstanding French Debt Overview
Source: Agence du Trésor.

In conclusion, France is at a crossroads, and its financial markets are reflecting deep seated worries about political instability and fiscal sustainability. Widening bond spreads, growing debt servicing costs and pressure on the euro underscore the need for action. Furthermore, this case serves as a textbook example of how political risk can deeply impact financial markets. The interplay between France’s domestic political turmoil, bond spreads, currency volatility, and investor sentiment demonstrates how closely markets monitor political developments.

Why should I be interested in this post?

This post provides an analysis of how political risk impacts financial markets, focusing on the French bond market, currency fluctuations, and fiscal sustainability. It gives you an outlook on the real-world consequences of political instability, offering a detailed understanding of how investor sentiment shifts in response to political uncertainties.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond Risks

   ▶ Henri VANDECASTEELE Financial markets are not accounting enough for the Ukraine-Russia conflict

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond Markets

Useful resources

European Central Bank (ECB)

Agence France Trésor (AFT)

Bloomberg

Les Echos (Financial Market Section)

Standard & Poor’s (S&P) Global Ratings

About the author

The article was written in December 2024 by Marine SELLI (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor in Business Administration (GBBA), 2020-2024).

Factiva

Factiva

Nithisha CHALLA

In this article, Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024) delves into the essentials of Factiva, its features, and its applications, showcasing why it remains indispensable for professionals and academics alike working in business and finance.

Introduction

In the fast-paced world of business and finance, access to accurate, reliable, and up-to-date information is paramount. Factiva, a subscription-based database owned by Dow Jones & Company, is a cornerstone for researchers, financial analysts, and business professionals seeking high-quality data for decision-making.

The History of Factiva

Factiva was launched in 1999 as a joint venture between Dow Jones & Company and Reuters, two industry titans in financial news and information services. The aim was to create a unified platform catering to the growing need for consolidated global news and business data access. By integrating Dow Jones’s deep archives and Reuters’ real-time data capabilities, Factiva emerged as a pioneering solution for professionals in any sector, especially finance.

Logo of Factiva.
Logo of Factiva
Source: the company.

Factiva is a premier business intelligence platform offering access to a vast array of global content, including news, company information, market data, and industry insights. It integrates thousands of sources from over 200 countries in more than 30 languages. These sources include major newspapers, trade journals, industry publications, and multimedia content.

In 2006, Dow Jones acquired full ownership of Factiva, streamlining its integration with other Dow Jones products, including The Wall Street Journal. Over the years, Factiva has evolved into a sophisticated tool incorporating artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning for advanced data analytics, thus staying ahead in a competitive information services market.

Key Features

Certain key features of Factiva make it very useful as a database such as its Extensive Content Coverage, Search and Filter Options, Data Analytics and Visualization, Company Profiles, and Industry Reports.

As an example, the picture below presents the news about Apple in the Factiva Interface.

Factiva Interface
Factiva Interface
Source: the company.

Extensive Content Coverage

Factiva includes over 33,000 sources, such as The Wall Street Journal, The Financial Times, The New York Times, and Reuters. It features specialized publications in sectors like energy, healthcare, and technology. Archival content dates back decades, enabling trend analysis and historical research.

Search and Filter Options

Advanced search tools allow users to refine searches using keywords, topics, dates, or specific publications. Filters can narrow results by geography, industry, or company size.

Real-Time News

Factiva provides real-time updates on financial markets, economic changes, and global events. Alerts and notifications keep users informed of developments affecting their areas of interest.

Data Analytics and Visualization

Users can extract, analyze, and visualize data to identify patterns and insights. Tools include charts, graphs, and export options for seamless integration with other software.

Company Profiles and Industry Reports

Comprehensive profiles offer financials, competitors, and SWOT (Strengths Weakness Opportunity and Threats) analyses for thousands of companies. Industry reports provide market trends, regulatory updates, and forecasts.

Applications in Finance and Business

There are several applications of Factiva in finance and business such as Investment Research, Risk Management, Academic Research, and Public Relations and Marketing.

  • Investment Research: Financial analysts rely on Factiva for market trends, earnings reports, and competitor analysis to guide investment decisions.
  • Risk Management: Businesses use Factiva to monitor geopolitical events, economic risks, and compliance-related developments.
  • Academic Research: Factiva’s extensive archives are invaluable for finance students and researchers studying historical market behavior or conducting case studies.
  • Public Relations and Marketing: PR professionals use Factiva to monitor media coverage, track competitors, and evaluate public sentiment.

Advantages and Limitations of Factiva

Though there are multiple advantages of using this database there are also certain limitations which we have to consider.

Advantages of Factiva

  • Global Reach: Access to international publications ensures a well-rounded perspective.
  • Customizable Dashboards: Users can tailor the interface to prioritize relevant content.
  • Reliable Sources: Factiva aggregates data from reputable and verified sources.
  • Ease of Integration: APIs (Application Programming Interface) allow integration with other platforms for streamlined workflows.

Challenges and Limitations

  • Cost: Factiva’s subscription model can be expensive for individuals or small businesses. The pricing is on the request basis of the data.
  • Complexity: The platform’s depth may require training for optimal use.
  • Access Restrictions: Some content may have geographical or licensing restrictions.

Why Factiva Matters in 2024

With the explosion of information and the increasing risk of misinformation, Factiva’s role as a curated, reliable database is more critical than ever. Its ability to distill vast quantities of data into actionable insights makes it a vital tool for navigating the complexities of modern business and finance. Moreover, the integration of advanced technologies such as AI in Factiva enhances predictive analytics, enabling users to anticipate market movements and mitigate risks proactively.

Conclusion

Factiva exemplifies the power of information in driving informed decision-making. Its rich history, innovative features, and significant economic implications underscore its enduring relevance in a data-driven economy. Whether you’re a student aiming to excel in finance or a professional seeking a competitive edge, Factiva equips you with the tools to succeed in a knowledge-driven world.

Why should I be interested in this post?

By embracing Factiva, users, and students mainly gain not just data but the clarity and confidence to act on it effectively, ensuring better outcomes for businesses, academia, and industries at large.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Datastream

   ▶ Louis DETALLE The importance of data in finance

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA CRSP

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Compustat

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Statista

Useful resources

Dow Jones Factiva – Global News Monitoring, Business Intelligence Platform

Dow Jones What is Factiva?

European University Institute (EUI) Factiva news and company database

Wikipedia Factiva

About the author

The article was written in December 2024 by Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024).

Treasury Bonds: The Backbone of U.S. Government Financing

Treasury Bonds: The Backbone of U.S. Government Financing

Camille Keller

In this article, Camille KELLER (ESSEC Business School, Bachelor in Business Administration (BBA), 2020-2024) explains the purpose, significance, and global role of U.S. Treasury bonds.

Introduction

Treasury bonds (T-bonds) are long-term debt securities issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, fundamental to funding government operations and shaping economic policies. Backed by the “full faith and credit” of the U.S. government, they are regarded globally as benchmarks of stability and reliability.

These bonds play a dual role: domestically, they underpin the financial system and provide risk-free investment options, while globally, they influence capital flows and pricing in international markets. With their long maturities and predictable returns (if hold until maturity), Treasury bonds are a secure haven for investors in times of uncertainty.

This article explores the structure of Treasury bonds, their critical role in monetary policy, and their global significance in maintaining financial stability.

What Are Treasury Bonds and How Do They Work?

Treasury bonds are issued by the U.S. government to finance national projects and repay debt. They have maturities of 10 to 30 years and offer fixed semiannual interest payments, returning the principal amount at maturity.

Figure 1 below gives the evolution of the interest rate of Treasury bonds (30 years of maturity) over the period March 1977 – December 2024 (data from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis). You can download the Excel file for the historical data used to build the figure.

Figure 1. Evolution of the US Treasury bonds interest rate.
Evolution of the US Treasury bonds interest rate
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

These bonds are sold through public auctions, where competitive bidders specify desired yields, and non-competitive bidders accept the auction’s determined rate. This transparent process ensures fair pricing and liquidity, making T-bonds accessible to a wide range of investors.

Treasury bonds are considered among the safest investments globally, given the U.S. government’s ability to generate revenue through taxation and currency issuance. This security makes them a key component of institutional portfolios, particularly for pension funds and central banks looking for low-risk, reliable returns.

In financial markets, T-bonds serve as a benchmark for long-term interest rates. Their yields influence borrowing costs for mortgages, corporate bonds, and loans, directly affecting economic activity. During financial uncertainty, their reputation as safe-haven assets attracts significant demand, reaffirming their stability and importance in global markets.

The Role of Treasury Bonds in Monetary Policy

Treasury bonds are integral to U.S. monetary policy, serving as tools for the Federal Reserve to manage money supply and interest rates. Through open market operations, the Federal Reserve buys or sells Treasury bonds to inject or withdraw liquidity from the financial system. These actions influence borrowing costs and economic activity.

When the Federal Reserve purchases T-bonds, it lowers interest rates, encouraging borrowing and investment. Conversely, selling bonds tightens liquidity and increases rates, curbing inflation and slowing economic growth.

T-bonds are also key indicators of inflation expectations. Fixed coupon payments lose value in inflationary periods, prompting investors to demand higher yields as compensation. Their role as a measure of market sentiment makes them critical in assessing economic conditions.

The yield curve—a graph of yields on Treasury securities of varying maturities—offers further insight. An inverted yield curve, where short-term yields exceed long-term yields, is often a precursor to economic recessions, signaling investor concerns about future growth.

Through these mechanisms, Treasury bonds enable the Federal Reserve to balance economic growth, inflation, and employment, making them indispensable to monetary policy.

Treasury Bonds as a Global Benchmark

Treasury bonds extend their influence far beyond U.S. borders, forming the bedrock of the global financial system. Their stability, liquidity, and dollar-denominated nature make them indispensable to central banks, institutional investors, and sovereign wealth funds worldwide.

Central banks, particularly those in countries like China and Japan, hold large reserves of T-bonds to stabilize exchange rates, manage currency reserves, and hedge against market volatility. Their status as a low-risk investment ensures enduring demand, reinforcing the U.S. dollar’s dominance in global finance.

T-bonds also serve as a benchmark for pricing other financial instruments. Their yields represent the risk-free rate used in valuation models for equities, corporate bonds, and derivatives, shaping investment decisions across markets.

In times of crisis, Treasury bonds attract capital as investors seek security, lowering yields and providing stability to global markets. However, this reliance also introduces vulnerabilities; events like U.S. debt ceiling debates or credit rating downgrades can disrupt global confidence in Treasury securities.

Despite these challenges, the unwavering demand for Treasury bonds highlights their critical role in ensuring liquidity and stability in the international financial system.

Why Should I Be Interested in This Post?

This post is a valuable resource for students and professionals interested in understanding the mechanics of Treasury bonds and their broader implications. It highlights the intersection of government finance, monetary policy, and global markets, offering insights into how these instruments shape economies worldwide.

Related Posts on the SimTrade Blog

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Introduction to bonds

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond Markets

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond valuation

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond risks

   ▶ Bijal GANDHI Credit Rating

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Credit risk

Useful Resources

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)

Federal Reserve

About the Author

The article was written in December 2024 by Camille KELLER (ESSEC Business School, Bachelor in Business Administration (BBA), 2020-2024).

OAT: France’s Answer to Sovereign Bonds

OAT: France’s Answer to Sovereign Bonds

Camille Keller

In this article, Camille KELLER (ESSEC Business School, Bachelor in Business Administration (BBA), 2020-2024) explains the role, structure, and significance of French government bonds known as Obligations Assimilables du Trésor (OATs).

Introduction

Obligations Assimilables du Trésor (OATs) are the backbone of France’s government debt strategy, providing a reliable means to finance public expenditures. These long-term debt securities are issued by the French Treasury and are central to the stability of France’s financial system.

OATs not only ensure the funding of state operations but also serve as a benchmark for the European financial markets. Their appeal lies in their fixed and predictable returns (if hold until maturity), making them a popular choice for institutional investors seeking stability in a historically low-risk asset.

This article dives into the structure and purpose of OATs, their relevance in monetary policy, and their role in the broader European and global financial system.

What Are OATs and How Do They Work?

OATs are long-term debt securities issued by the French Treasury to meet the government’s borrowing needs. The maturities of OATs ranges from 2 to 50 years. Investors receive fixed annual interest payments and the principal amount at maturity.

Figure 1 below gives the evolution of the OAT interest rate (10 year of maturity) over the period January 1986 – December 2024 (date from investing / Banque de France). You can download the Excel file for the historical data used to build the figure.

Evolution of the OAT interest rate.
Evolution of the OAT interest rate
Source: investing / Banque de France.

OATs are issued through public auctions managed by Agence France Trésor (AFT), the French government agency responsible for debt issuance and management. These auctions allow competitive and non-competitive bidding, ensuring a transparent and efficient process.

The reliability of OATs is grounded in the French government’s creditworthiness, supported by a robust and diversified economy. This low-risk profile attracts a wide range of investors, including pension funds, insurance companies, and foreign governments, making OATs a staple of institutional portfolios.

In financial markets, OATs play a vital role as benchmarks for euro-denominated securities. They influence pricing for corporate bonds, mortgages, and other fixed-income instruments within the Eurozone. Their stability and liquidity make them a key asset class in European financial systems.

The Role of OATs in Monetary Policy

OATs are an integral part of monetary policy in the Eurozone, serving as tools for the European Central Bank (ECB) and other institutions to influence financial conditions. As sovereign bonds, they are used in the ECB’s open market operations, including quantitative easing programs aimed at stabilizing the economy.

Through these programs, the ECB purchases OATs and other Eurozone bonds to inject liquidity into the financial system. This lowers interest rates, supports borrowing, and stimulates economic growth during periods of economic stagnation or crisis.

The yield on OATs is also a key indicator of France’s economic health and investor sentiment. Rising yields suggest increased borrowing costs for the government and heightened risk perceptions, while lower yields signal strong investor confidence and stability.

Additionally, OATs contribute to the overall functioning of the Eurozone’s financial architecture by providing a risk-free benchmark for pricing other securities. Their role in monetary policy extends beyond France, influencing financial markets across the European Union.

OATs as a Global Benchmark

OATs hold significance beyond France, serving as a critical component of global financial systems. Their euro-denominated nature positions them as an attractive option for central banks and institutional investors seeking diversification in foreign reserves.

Global investors often compare OATs with other sovereign bonds, such as U.S. Treasury bonds and German Bunds, to evaluate risk and return profiles. This competition reinforces OATs’ status as a key player in international capital markets.

In times of financial uncertainty, OATs provide a safe haven for investors looking to preserve capital. Their high liquidity and the French government’s strong credit ratings ensure consistent demand, particularly during economic turbulence.

However, OATs’ global importance also comes with challenges. Economic or political instability in France can impact investor confidence, affecting the broader European financial system. Despite these risks, their resilience and reliability continue to cement their role in global markets.

Why Should I Be Interested in This Post?

This post is a valuable resource for students and professionals interested in understanding OATs as a key financial instrument. It highlights their significance in government financing, monetary policy, and global markets, making them essential knowledge for those exploring careers in finance or economics.

Related Posts on the SimTrade Blog

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Introduction to bonds

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond Markets

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond valuation

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond risks

   ▶ Bijal GANDHI Credit Rating

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Credit risk

Useful Resources

Agence France Trésor (AFT)

European Central Bank

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

About the Author

The article was written in December 2024 by Camille KELLER (ESSEC Business School, Bachelor in Business Administration (BBA), 2020-2024).

Fort Knox: the US Gold Reserve

FortKnox: the US Gold Reserve

Nithisha CHALLA

In this article, Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024) explores the history of Fort Knox, its economic significance, the myths surrounding it, and its enduring importance.

Introduction

The origins of Fort Knox date back to the 1930s during the Great Depression, a period of severe economic downturn in the United States (U.S.). In 1936, the U.S. government constructed the facility in response to the need for a secure location to house the country’s growing gold reserves, which were essential to backing the dollar under the gold standard. The construction was overseen by the U.S. Treasury Department, and the fort was designed with cutting-edge security for its time, utilizing 16,000 cubic feet of granite, 750 tons of reinforced steel, and 4,200 cubic yards of concrete.

The figure below shows the Fort Knox facility in Kentucky.

Fort Knox
Gold reserve in the United States, Fort Knox
Source: US Funds

The legislative foundation of Fort Knox’s role in safeguarding America’s wealth comes from the Gold Reserve Act of 1934. This act established the control and management of the nation’s gold to stabilize the economy. The Treasury’s decision to centralize gold in Fort Knox allowed for more efficient management and bolstered public confidence in the nation’s monetary policy. The fort’s massive, highly fortified structure made it an impenetrable vault, setting a global standard for secure storage facilities.

The Role of Fort Knox in U.S. Financial History

During the era of the gold standard, Fort Knox was critical in maintaining economic stability, as the gold stored within it provided a foundation for the dollar. This system allowed the U.S. government to prevent inflation by limiting the amount of money in circulation to the amount of gold held in reserves, fostering economic stability. Fort Knox’s immense reserves helped ensure that the dollar was trusted globally, making it a linchpin in both national and international finance.

The gold standard era came to an end in 1971, under President Nixon, who made the historic decision to cease gold convertibility, effectively transitioning the U.S. to a fiat currency system. This policy shift changed Fort Knox’s role, as gold was no longer used to back currency. Nonetheless, Fort Knox’s gold holdings continued to serve as a reserve asset, a sign of wealth and security, giving the government a financial safeguard in times of economic uncertainty.

According to 2021 statistics by US funds, the top 10 central banks with the largest gold reserves have remained mostly unchanged for the last few years. The United States holds the number one spot with over 8,000 tonnes of gold in its vaults – nearly as much as the next three countries combined – and accounting for 79% of total reserves.

The below figure shows the Top 10 countries with the highest gold reserves (US$ Million) in the second quarter of 2024.

Top 10 countries with highest gold reserves
Top 10 countries with highest gold reserves
Source: Central Banks, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, World Gold Council

Security Measures and Infrastructure at Fort Knox

  • Military Presence and Physical Security: Fort Knox is protected by the U.S. Army, with soldiers and highly trained security personnel safeguarding the facility. There are intense security measures, including 24/7 surveillance, motion detectors, alarms, and physical barriers.
  • Advanced Technologies: Though specific details are classified, Fort Knox is believed to have some of the most advanced technology for security, possibly including biometric access controls, reinforced gates, and even underground passages. Its security has inspired legends and pop culture references (such as the James Bond film “Goldfinger”), adding to its mystique.
  • Limited Access: Only a few individuals have ever entered the main vault. In 1974, several members of Congress and journalists were invited to see the vaults and confirm the gold, which was an unusual event to dispel rumors about the gold’s existence.

The Contents of Fort Knox

  • Gold Reserves: Currently in 2024, Fort Knox holds the highest gold reserves at approximately 8,133.46 tonnes, which make up about 72.4 percent of the US total reserves. At today’s gold prices, this would be worth hundreds of billions of dollars.
  • Other Assets: While gold is the primary asset stored, the vault has also been used to store other valuable items in times of crisis, such as the U.S. Constitution, Declaration of Independence, and other historical documents during World War II for safekeeping.
  • Gold’s Role as a Reserve Asset: Even though the U.S. operates on a fiat currency system, the gold at Fort Knox acts as a safeguard, providing the country with a tangible asset that could be utilized or sold in extreme economic crises.

Economic and Financial Relevance Today

Despite the shift to a fiat currency system, Fort Knox’s gold reserves continue to provide financial security. Gold remains an important asset because it is believed to offer a hedge against inflation as gold’s value tends to increase during inflationary periods as it preserves purchasing power (see Erb and Harvey (2013 and 2024) for a discussion). Even in a modern economic context, where paper currency is not directly backed by gold, large gold reserves contribute to economic credibility on the global stage.

Gold’s role as a stable asset makes it valuable in times of economic volatility. During financial crises or market downturns, governments and investors alike often turn to gold as a safeguard. For the U.S., Fort Knox remains a testament to financial prudence and a guarantee of economic resilience.

Conclusion

In conclusion, Fort Knox stands as a symbol of American financial strength, security, and heritage. Though its role has evolved over the years, it continues to be a key reserve asset, both financially and symbolically. The facility’s rich history, robust security, and enduring legacy contribute to its iconic status as one of the most secure locations on earth. As an economic and cultural symbol, Fort Knox reflects the resilience and security of the U.S. economy, holding a significant place in both national and global finance.

Why should I be interested in this post?

Gold has been a key financial asset for centuries, acting as a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a safe-haven asset during economic crises. Understanding its investment options helps students grasp fundamental market dynamics and investor behavior, especially during periods of economic uncertainty.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA History of Gold    ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Gold resources in the world

Useful resources

Academic research

Erb, C.B., and C.R. Harvey (2013) The Golden Dilemma. Financial Analysts Journal 69 (4): 10–42.

Erb, C.B., and C.R. Harvey (2024) Is there still a Golden Dilemma. Working paper.

Data

World Gold Council Gold Reserves by Country

US Funds Top 10 Countries with Largest Gold Reserves

Other

Wikipedia Gold

WikipediaFortknox

About the author

The article was written in November 2024 by Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024).

Relation between gold price and interest rate

Relation between gold price and interest rate

Nithisha CHALLA

In this article, Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024) provides an overview of the inverse relationship between gold price and interest rate, and how various factors affect the relation between them.

Introduction

Gold and interest rates often exhibit an inverse relationship, meaning that as interest rates rise, gold prices tend to fall, and vice versa. Unlike stocks or bonds, gold doesn’t generate income (like dividends or interest) and is often used as a hedge against inflation or economic uncertainty. For instance, during the early 1980s, the U.S. Federal Reserve raised interest rates sharply to combat high inflation, leading to a short-term drop in gold prices. In 2022, the Fed’s aggressive rate hikes led to a decrease in gold’s appeal, which resulted in a relatively stable but pressured gold market. However, this relationship is not always straightforward and can be influenced by various factors.

The Inverse Relationship

This refers to the mostly known two factors that cause the inverse relationship between gold price and interest rate, namely opportunity costs and currency exchange rates.

Opportunity Cost

One of the primary reasons for this inverse correlation is the opportunity cost of holding gold. When interest rates rise, traditional investments like bonds and fixed deposits become more attractive due to higher yields. As a result, investors may shift their funds from gold to these higher-yielding assets, reducing demand for gold and consequently its price.

Currency Exchange Rates

Another factor is the impact of interest rates on currency exchange rates. Rising interest rates can strengthen a country’s currency, particularly the US Dollar. A stronger dollar can make gold, which is priced in US dollars, more expensive for international buyers, leading to decreased demand and lower prices.

Or is it a complex relationship?

It is important to note that the relationship between gold and interest rates is not always straightforward. Other factors, such as geopolitical tensions, inflation expectations, and market sentiment, can also influence gold prices. For instance, during periods of economic uncertainty or geopolitical turmoil, investors may seek refuge in gold, even if interest rates are rising.

To navigate this complex relationship, investors should consider the following:

  • Diversification: Gold can be a valuable addition to a diversified portfolio, providing a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.
  • Long-Term Perspective: A long-term investment horizon can help mitigate short-term price fluctuations and focus on the underlying value of gold as a store of value.
  • Market Timing: While it’s challenging to accurately predict interest rate movements and their impact on gold prices, investors can consider adjusting their gold holdings based on economic indicators and market sentiment.

The Historical Perspective

Historically, gold has been seen as a hedge against inflation. When inflation rises, the purchasing power of fiat currencies declines, making gold an attractive investment. However, rising interest rates can sometimes counteract this inflationary pressure.

The 1970s

A period of high inflation and economic uncertainty led to a surge in gold prices. However, as central banks tightened monetary policy and interest rates rose, gold prices began to decline.

The 2000s

The global financial crisis of 2008 and subsequent quantitative easing measures by central banks led to a significant increase in gold prices. However, as central banks began to normalize monetary policy in the late 2010s, gold prices declined.

Many people believe that the price of gold is inversely related to interest rates. However, it is only partially true. In fact, gold prices are driven not by nominal rates (which are not adjusted for inflation), but by real rates (which are nominal rates adjusted for inflation). Investors should remember that what really matters for gold are real interest rates, not the federal funds rate or nominal yields.

The chart below represents the relation between real interest rates (the 10-year inflation indexed Treasury rate is a proxy for long-term U.S. real interest rates) and the price of gold for the period 2003-2016. It shows significant negative correlation between real interest rates and the price of gold.

Relation between interest rates and gold price
correlation between interest rates and gold price from 2003-2016
Source: Gold price forecast

The Role of Central Bank Policies

Central banks play a crucial role in influencing interest rates and, consequently, gold prices. When central banks implement expansionary monetary policies, such as quantitative easing, they inject liquidity into the economy, which can lead to higher inflation and increased demand for gold. Conversely, when central banks tighten monetary policy by raising interest rates, they can reduce inflationary pressures and dampen gold demand.

The Impact of Geopolitical Risks

Geopolitical tensions, such as wars, political instability, and trade disputes, can also impact the relationship between gold and interest rates. During periods of heightened geopolitical risk, investors may flock to gold as a safe-haven asset, even if interest rates are rising.

Conclusion

In conclusion, understanding the relationship between gold and interest rates is crucial for investors seeking to optimize their portfolios. By considering the various factors that influence this relationship and adopting a long-term investment perspective, investors can effectively navigate the complexities of the gold market.

Why should I be interested in this post?

Gold has been a key financial asset for centuries, acting as a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a safe-haven asset during economic crises. Understanding its investment options helps students grasp fundamental market dynamics and investor behavior, especially during periods of economic uncertainty.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA History of Gold

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Gold resources in the world

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA How to invest in Gold

Useful resources

World Gold Council Gold is moving with rates

Bullion by post Gold price and interest rate relationship

CBS news Here’s how interest rates impact gold prices

APMEX When Do Central Banks Buy Gold & How Do They Affect Prices?

Other

Wikipedia Gold

About the author

The article was written in November 2024 by Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024).

World Gold Council

World Gold Council

Nithisha CHALLA

In this article, Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024) provides an overview of World Gold Council (WGC), its key roles and impact in shaping the global gold market.

Introduction

The World Gold Council (WGC) is a market development organization founded in 1987 to promote the responsible use of gold. It’s a non-profit organization that works with governments, central banks, jewelers, investors, and other stakeholders to shape the gold market. Its main purpose is to stimulate and sustain demand for gold and provide leadership on global issues that affect the gold industry. The World Gold Council website states information such as, “For instance, in 2023, the demand for gold (excluding over-the-counter investments) fell by 5% compared to 2022, due to reduced central bank buying and fluctuations in ETF investments. Total annual gold supply increased by 3%, driven by a 1% rise in mine production and a 9% increase in recycling, spurred by high gold prices”.

Logo of the World Gold Council
Logo of  the World Gold Council
Source: World Gold Council

Who owns the World Gold Council?

The World Gold Council has 32 members that are some of the world’s most forward-thinking gold mining companies. They are headquartered across the world and have mining operations in over 45 countries.

Key roles of the World Gold Council

The World Gold Council organization plays key roles in shaping the global gold market such as market development, market intelligence, advocacy, and policy.

Market Development

Consumer Demand: The WGC works to stimulate consumer demand for gold jewelry, particularly in emerging markets.

Industrial Demand: The WGC highlights the industrial applications of gold, such as its use in electronics and dentistry.

Investment Demand: The organization promotes gold as a long-term investment option, emphasizing its role as a store of value and a hedge against inflation.

According to the World Gold Council website, jewelry remains a significant driver, particularly in markets like China and India, while gold’s industrial uses include electronics and medical devices. In 2023, technology demand for gold dipped slightly, yet it remains a crucial component in the electronics sector.

Market Intelligence

Research and Analysis: The WGC conducts extensive research and analysis on the global gold market, providing insights into trends, supply and demand dynamics, and economic factors affecting gold prices.

Market Data: The organization publishes regular market reports, including the Gold Demand Trends report, which provides detailed information on global gold demand and supply.

WGC invests in research to explore new uses for gold, aiming to increase its demand in areas such as health, environmental technology, and sustainable jewelry.

Advocacy and Policy

Policy Engagement: The WGC engages with policymakers and regulators to promote responsible mining practices and sound gold market policies.

Industry Standards: The organization works to establish and maintain industry standards for gold, ensuring quality and transparency.

Impact of the World Gold Council

Promoting Gold Investment: The WGC has successfully promoted gold as an investment asset, leading to increased demand for gold ETFs and other investment products.

According to WGC website, adding between 4% and 15% in gold to hypothetical average portfolios over the past decade, depending on the composition and the region, would have increased risk-adjusted returns. Along with this information, they also explain every type of possible investment for gold such as Gold-backed ETFs, Gold futures, options and forwards, Internet Investment Gold, Gold savings plans, Investment bars and coins, and Gold certificates.

Supporting Responsible Mining: The organization has been a strong advocate for responsible mining practices, working to improve environmental and social standards in the gold mining industry.

On the WGC website, the Responsible Gold Mining Principles (RGMPs) was launched in 2019 as a framework that sets out clear expectations for consumers, investors, and the gold supply chain as to what constitutes responsible gold mining.

Key Statistics and Trends

Key statistics and trends are useful for finance students which help them understand the global gold market.

Global Gold Demand

Global gold demand has fluctuated over the years, influenced by factors such as economic growth, inflation, and geopolitical events.

The figure below shows the global gold demand in different sectors such as jewelry, technology, ETFs, and similar products dated in 2024 (Q2).

Global gold demand in different sectors in 2024
Global gold demand in different sectors in 2024
Source: World Gold Council

Central Bank Gold Reserves

Central banks around the world hold significant gold reserves, which can impact gold prices.

The figure below shows the gold reserves in different countries all over the world dated in 2024 (Q2).

Gold reserves in different countries in 2024
Gold reserves in different countries in 2024
Source: World Gold Council

Gold Investment

Gold ETFs and other investment products have gained popularity in recent years, providing investors with exposure to gold without the need to physically own the metal.

Role of Gold in environmental, social and governance (ESG)

Responsible gold mining supports sustained socio-economic development in the countries and communities where gold is found. It creates well-paid jobs, valuable tax revenues for host governments, and generates sustained benefits for local communities. In recent years, we have seen increased focus from a growing number of consumers and investors on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors and the sustainability of our planet.

p>Gold also plays an important role in supporting technologies that enable our daily lives, as well as supporting the transition to a low-carbon economy. There is increasing evidence that including gold can make investment portfolios more robust and resilient in light of climate risks.

In 2019, the World Gold Council launched the Responsible Gold Mining Principles (RGMPs) – a framework that sets out clear expectations for consumers, investors, and the gold supply chain as to what constitutes responsible gold mining. The WGC has long believed that responsible gold mining supports sustained socio-economic development in countries and communities that host gold mining operations, through its contribution to jobs, tax revenue and investment in local communities.

Conclusion

The World Gold Council plays a crucial role in shaping the global gold market. By promoting gold as an investment, industrial, and consumer asset, the WGC contributes to the long-term health and sustainability of the gold industry.

Why should I be interested in this post?

Gold has been a key financial asset for centuries. It is often considered as a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a safe-haven asset during economic crises. Understanding its investment options helps students grasp fundamental market dynamics and investor behavior, especially during periods of economic uncertainty.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA History of Gold

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Gold resources in the world

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA How to invest in Gold

Useful resources

World Gold Council

World gold council Members

World gold council Gold Demand Trends

World gold council Gold Reserves by Country

World gold council Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG)

Other

Wikipedia Gold

About the author

The article was written in November 2024 by Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024).

Gold and Central banks

Gold and Central banks

Nithisha CHALLA

In this article, Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024) This article presents a comprehensive understanding of how gold functions within the global economy and central banking strategies, reflecting historical significance, economic impacts, and future potential.

Introduction

Gold’s value as a reserve asset goes beyond its historical significance; today, central banks use it as a vital economic buffer and tool for financial stability. It has played a strategic role in the financial operations of central banks globally, serving as a hedge against inflation, a tool for reserve diversification, and a reliable store of value. This article explores the complex relationship between gold and central banks, highlighting historical significance, reserve strategies, economic impacts, and recent trends.

Historical Significance of Gold and Central banks

Using gold as a currency dates back thousands of years. For much of modern history, gold was the basis of the world’s monetary system, setting the standard for currency value.

Gold Standard

Until the mid-20th century, most major economies adhered to the gold standard, where each currency unit was pegged to a specific amount. Under the Bretton Woods Agreement (1944-1971), the U.S. dollar was directly convertible to gold, while other currencies were pegged to the dollar. This system solidified gold’s role in global monetary stability. However, the Bretton Woods system ended in 1971, transitioning central banks toward a floating exchange rate system.

Shift to Floating Exchange Rates

Although the gold standard was formally abandoned, gold continued to play a central role in monetary reserves for central banks worldwide, driven by its intrinsic value and historic stability in times of financial crisis.

The below figure shows the Top 10 countries with the highest gold reserves (US$ Million) in the second quarter of 2024.

Top 10 countries with highest gold reserves
Top 10 countries with highest Central banks gold reserves
Source: Central Banks, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, International Monetary Fund, World Bank, World Gold Council

Why Central Banks Hold Gold

Gold is a key asset for central banks due to its stability, independence from other economic assets, and ability to hedge against inflation and currency risk.

Diversification of Foreign Reserves

According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks hold gold as part of a diversified portfolio that includes foreign currencies, government bonds, and other assets. Gold’s low correlation with other assets helps reduce portfolio risk.

Inflation Hedge and Safe-Haven Asset

Gold’s value often rises in response to inflationary pressures, making it a popular hedge against currency devaluation. For instance, during periods of heightened inflation in the U.S. and Europe, central banks increased their gold reserves to stabilize national reserves.

Global Stability During Crises

Central banks increase gold holdings during geopolitical tensions and economic downturns. For instance, central banks acquired approximately 1,136 metric tons of gold in 2022 alone, marking the largest annual net gold purchases since 1967 (World Gold Council, 2023).

Leading Central Banks and Their Gold Holdings

Many countries prioritize gold in their reserve strategies, with the largest gold holdings concentrated among a few central banks. These top holders collectively hold around 60% of global central bank gold reserves, underscoring gold’s importance among the world’s most prominent economies.

  • United States: The U.S. has the largest gold reserves, totaling 8,133.5 metric tons as of 2023 (World Gold Council). The U.S. Federal Reserve’s substantial gold reserves bolster the dollar’s stability, lending it a “safe-haven” currency status.
  • Germany: The Deutsche Bundesbank holds around 3,355 metric tons of gold, focusing on economic stability and currency confidence.
  • International Reserves: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) holds around 2,814 metric tons of gold, which it maintains as a “safety net” for international economic stability, intervening to support currency values in times of economic crisis.

Emerging Markets and Rising Demand for Gold Reserves

In recent years, emerging economies have increasingly turned to gold to reinforce their economic stability.

  • China: As stated by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC), its gold reserves have rapidly expanded to approximately 2,010 metric tons as of 2023, part of China’s strategy to reduce dependence on the U.S. dollar and enhance the yuan’s position as a global currency.
  • Russia: The Central Bank of Russia actively grew its gold reserves to over 2,298 metric tons by 2022 (World Gold Council), emphasizing the importance of gold amid geopolitical tensions and economic sanctions.
  • India: The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) also expanded its gold holdings, reaching approximately 795 tons in 2023. India uses gold as a hedge against currency volatility, particularly during inflationary cycles, aligning with its long-standing cultural and economic relationship with gold (World Gold Council, 2023).

Economic Impacts of Central Bank Gold Purchases

The actions of central banks significantly influence global gold markets, particularly in times of economic instability.

Price Stability and Market Demand: Central banks collectively account for about 10-20% of annual global gold demand, influencing gold prices and market stability. According to the World Gold Council, central bank purchases accounted for a record-breaking 1,136 metric tons in 2022, pushing global gold prices to multi-year highs.

Strengthening Currency Value: For many emerging markets, holding gold as a reserve asset bolsters currency credibility. Gold reserves help stabilize a nation’s economy by maintaining foreign reserves and serving as a collateralized asset during debt restructuring or financial assistance negotiations.

Inflation Control: Countries with high inflation rates, such as Turkey, have increased their gold reserves to combat domestic inflationary pressures. By 2023, Turkey’s central bank held around 550 tons of gold, partially insulating its economy from severe currency depreciation.

The Future of Gold in Central Bank Reserves

Shift from the Dollar-Centric System

Some central banks, especially in emerging markets, aim to diversify away from the dollar and other Western assets, driven by geopolitical concerns. Gold provides an attractive alternative due to its universal value and liquidity.

Increased Demand for Sustainable Financial Assets

Gold mining and sustainability are increasingly critical issues for central banks. Many central banks, led by European nations, have begun to prioritize sustainably sourced gold for their reserves, aligning with ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) commitments.

Potential for Digital Gold Reserves

As digital currencies evolve, some central banks are exploring digital gold or gold-backed digital currencies as potential financial assets. This shift could create new financial instruments, making gold an even more versatile and accessible asset class.

Conclusion

Gold remains a critical element of central bank reserves, valued for its stability, economic security, and inflation-hedging properties. With global gold demand on the rise, central banks are likely to continue viewing gold as an essential reserve asset. As emerging economies strengthen their reserves and geopolitical risks persist, gold’s importance within central banking strategies will only deepen, securing its status as a pillar of global economic stability.

Why should I be interested in this post?

Gold has been a key financial asset for centuries, acting as a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a safe-haven asset during economic crises. With both developed and emerging economies increasing their gold reserves, understanding its role as a financial cornerstone for central banks helps students grasp fundamental market dynamics and investor behavior, especially during periods of economic uncertainty

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA History of Gold

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Gold resources in the world

Useful resources

Academic research

Erb, C.B., and C.R. Harvey (2013) The Golden Dilemma. Financial Analysts Journal 69 (4): 10–42.

Erb, C.B., and C.R. Harvey (2024) Is there still a Golden Dilemma. Working paper.

Bogle, John C. (2007). The Little Book of Common Sense Investing. John Wiley & Sons.

Business

World Gold Council (WGC) Gold Demand Trends Full Year 2023

Federal Reserve System What central bank does?

Mining.com (August 7, 2024) China’s PBOC keeps gold buying on hold as prices hit record

International Monetary Fund (IMF) The role of gold

Other

Wikipedia Gold

About the author

The article was written in October 2024 by Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024).

Gold in India

Gold in India

Nithisha CHALLA

In this article, Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024) explores gold’s multifaceted significance in India, examining its historical roots, economic impact, cultural value, and future potential.

Introduction

India’s association with gold is ancient, with the metal symbolizing prosperity, purity, and wealth. For centuries, gold has been valued as an adornment and a symbol of security and status, affecting both urban and rural economies across the country. With India and China together accounting for over 50 percent of the world’s gold demand, World Gold Council dated October 2024, understanding its importance goes beyond investment; it’s a story of tradition, economic significance, and national pride. As one of the world’s top gold importers, India’s reliance on imported gold introduces opportunities and challenges for its economy.

Historical Significance of Gold in India

This refers to the ancient history, religious and cultural ties, historical trade, and treasure of gold.

Ancient History

India’s relationship with gold dates back to the Indus Valley Civilization (circa 3300–1300 BC), where archeological finds have unearthed gold jewelry, indicating the metal’s early status as a precious material. India was a central hub in ancient trade, exchanging spices, textiles, and precious metals. Gold was both imported and exported, flowing from regions like Persia and Egypt, as traders recognized India as a rich market. This trade bolstered India’s gold reserves and established the metal as a key part of economic and social transactions.

Below figure shows a photograph of a group of goldsmiths (Sonars) seated around a low work table in Bombay, taken by Shivashanker Narayen in c. 1873, from the Archaeological Survey of India Collections.

Photograph of a group of goldsmiths in 1873
 Photograph of a group of goldsmiths in 1873
Source: shoplune

Religious and Cultural Ties

Gold holds divine significance in Hindu mythology. According to legend, the Hindu goddess Lakshmi, the deity of wealth and prosperity, is adorned in gold, symbolizing abundance. This association with divinity makes gold not only valuable but auspicious, embodying good fortune and blessings. Gold has sacred connotations, used extensively in temples, idols, and as offerings to deities. Temples like Tirupati and Padmanabhaswamy house enormous gold reserves, signifying the metal’s spiritual importance.

Below figure shows a picture of the Hindu god Sri Padmanabhaswamy reclining on the serpent Anantha which is one of the golden treasures of India

Sri Padmanabhaswamy reclining on the serpent Anantha
Sri Padmanabhaswamy reclining on the serpent Anantha
Source: Forbes

Cultural and Social Importance of Gold

In many regions, particularly in rural India, gold represents financial stability. It is often considered a “safe asset” that can be sold or pledged in times of need. It is a staple in Indian weddings and festivals like Diwali and Akshaya Tritiya, where it symbolizes luck and prosperity. Families across income levels save and invest in gold, especially for daughters’ weddings.

According to the World Gold Council (WGC), Indian households hold approximately 25,000 metric tons of gold, accounting for nearly 40% of global private gold holdings in the world. Gifting gold remains a widespread tradition in India, passed down through generations as family heirlooms and regarded as wealth that grows with time. WGC expects the average demand to reach around 850 to 950 tonnes per annum by 2020 at an annual growth rate of 35 percent with two-thirds of its market coming from rural markets, that is households.

Because of the emotional value associated with household jewelry, people rarely sell their gold to meet their immediate financial needs, as an alternative people pledge their gold ornaments as short-term loans, such loans are called organized gold loan markets.

Below figure shows, an organized gold loan market projection(as mentioned above), INR 3101 billion by 2020 at a three-year CAGR of 13.17 percent

Gold loan market projection
Gold loan market projection
Source: KPMG

Economic Impact of Gold in India

India’s gold consumption significantly affects its economy, with implications for trade, financial stability, and national savings.

Gold as a Financial Asset, Trade Balance and Foreign Exchange

Inflation Hedge: Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge against inflation, protecting wealth during economic downturns. Its ability to retain value attracts investors during periods of high inflation or currency devaluation. For a rigorous analysis of this question, you can read the academic articles by Erb and Harvey (2013 and 2024) that challenge the traditional view that gold is a hedge against inflation.

Risk Diversification: Investors across India use gold to diversify their portfolios, as gold prices often perform inversely to equity markets. This reduces risk, providing a balance during times of market volatility.

High Import Dependency: India imports over 80% of its gold, making gold purchases a significant contributor to the trade deficit. In 2021, gold imports cost the Indian economy around $55 billion, placing substantial pressure on the country’s current account.

Import Duty Adjustments: To counter rising imports, the government levies an import duty on gold (currently, in 2024, around 6%), aiming to curb demand and balance the trade deficit. However, this often leads to price-sensitive demand fluctuations.

During the July 2024 Union Budget, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman announced a drop in customs duties on the import of gold, silver and platinum. Due to this, the current duties drop from 15% to 6%, a significant cut of 9% in import duty on gold.

Below figure shows, import customs duty on gold, from 15 percent in July 2022, to 6 percent in July 2024.

Gold customs import duty
Gold customs import duty
Source: World Gold Council (WGC)

Contribution to the Indian Economy Through Employment and Taxes

Employment in Jewelry and Trade: India’s gold industry employs millions, from miners and artisans to retail jewelers. Major gold hubs like Mumbai and Jaipur have vibrant trade networks, supporting local economies and artisan crafts. The Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce & Industry (FICCI) and the World Gold Council (WGC) (September 2022), report that the gold industry contributes over $30 billion to India’s GDP annually, with the jewelry sector alone employing around 4.6 million people, spanning from goldsmiths to retail traders and related support sectors.

Tax Revenue: The gold industry is a source of government revenue through import duties, GST on gold purchases, and income tax from jewelers and traders.

Shift Toward Formal Investments: Younger and urban investors are increasingly investing in structured products like Sovereign Gold Bonds and Gold ETFs, signaling a gradual shift from physical gold to formal investment avenues.

Gold’s Impact on Financial Policies and Regulations

Policy on Import and Consumption: India’s government frequently adjusts gold import policies to control demand and influence economic stability. High demand often prompts higher import duties or restrictions to limit the impact on foreign exchange.

Regulation of Financial Gold Products: To support formal financial growth, the government offers options like Sovereign Gold Bonds, which promote investment without affecting the trade balance. These bonds allow investors to gain from gold’s price appreciation without physical ownership.

Anti-Smuggling Efforts: Due to high import duties, gold smuggling has become an issue. Regulatory efforts focus on reducing smuggling to ensure that the government earns tax revenue from gold imports.

Gold’s Role in Modern India

Gold in Indian Independence

During India’s independence movement, 1857-1947, leaders urged citizens to donate gold for the national cause. This movement emphasized gold’s role as a unifying asset for Indians across social classes.

Continuing Cultural Significance in Post-Independence India

The importance of gold has persisted in modern India, with a large part of household wealth still held in physical gold. Even as digital and financial assets grow, gold remains a stable and respected form of wealth storage.

Evolution with Government Policies

Post-independence, gold import policies, and the introduction of schemes like the Gold Monetization Scheme and Sovereign Gold Bonds have attempted to modernize India’s relationship with gold, encouraging citizens to treat it as an investment rather than simply a family heirloom.

Gold Markets and Demand in India

Based on the data given by Statista, the demand for gold across India was about 747.5 metric tons in 2023. This represented a decrease of three percent in comparison to the previous year, when the gold demand was 774 metric tons.

Below figure shows fluctuations in the annual demand volume of gold across India from 2010 to 2023.

Annual gold demand volume from 2010 to 2013
Annual gold demand volume
Source: Statista

  • Regional Gold Hubs: Cities like Mumbai, Kolkata, and Chennai have bustling gold markets, with jewelry demand highest in Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Maharashtra.
  • Jewelry vs. Investment Demand: While traditional gold jewelry demand remains high, investment in gold bars, coins, and newer avenues like digital gold is rising.
  • Gold Price Sensitivity: Indian consumers are sensitive to gold price fluctuations, with demand typically increasing during periods of price stability or decline.

Conclusion

Gold remains the top choice for many investors for portfolio diversification or protection against economic instability. This precious metal has held its value over centuries. While market prices fluctuate, many still choose to buy gold to secure their financial future.

Why should I be interested in this post?

Gold has been a key financial asset for centuries, acting as a store of value, a hedge against inflation, and a safe-haven asset during economic crises. Understanding its investment options helps students grasp fundamental market dynamics and investor behavior, especially during periods of economic uncertainty.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA History of Gold

   ▶ Nithisha CHALLA Gold resources in the world

Useful resources

Academic research

Erb, C.B., and C.R. Harvey (2013) The Golden Dilemma. Financial Analysts Journal 69 (4): 10–42.

Erb, C.B., and C.R. Harvey (2024) Is there still a Golden Dilemma. Working paper.

Bogle, John C. (2007). The Little Book of Common Sense Investing. John Wiley & Sons.

Business

World Gold Council (WGC) India’s gold jewellery market structure

World Gold Council (WGC) Indian gold import duties reduced to the lowest level in over a decade

KPMG (2017) India’s gold loan market: Is it glitter fading?

Shoplune The Story Of India And Gold Through The Ages

Statista Annual demand volume of gold across India from 2010 to 2023

Other

Wikipedia Gold

About the author

The article was written in October 2024 by Nithisha CHALLA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management (MiM), 2021-2024).

Gig Economy

Gig Economy

Anant Jain

In this article, Anant JAIN (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022) talks about Gig Economy.

Introduction

The gig economy is defined by a setup where businesses offer freelancers and independent contractors temporary, flexible work in place of typical, full-time employees. In a gig economy, businesses or employers can increase the cost savings on hiring, benefits and payroll costs while a person working in the gig economy benefits from the possibility to earn income from several different sources and complete projects and tasks on a flexible schedule.

In the general setting of a gig economy, freelancers and independent contractors typically find their own jobs by connecting with businesses and clients using an internet platform or smartphone app. With the help of businesses like Airbnb, TaskRabbit, Uber, Lyft, PostMates, DoorDash, and Instacart, the gig economy has grown significantly during the past ten years. In fact, a 2020 report from the ADP Research Institute indicated that from 2010 to 2019, gig employment increased by 15% in the United States. According to a survey by MasterCard and Kaiser Associates, the gross volume of transactions in the gig economy is expected to reach $455 billion by 2023.

The possible benefits of the gig economy may not be reaped by people who don’t use modern technology and services like Internet. Additionally, a person’s geographical location also impacts the possibility of being a part of the gig economy since most cities have more advanced technology and hence having the deepest roots in the gig economy.

Although the gig economy spans a wide range of sectors, the basic idea is the same: gig workers will take on tiny, ad hoc tasks for payment. These tasks can involve creating a website, making food deliveries, walking dogs, or picking up a family and taking them to the airport. The gig worker moves on to the following task after the job is finished.

Although it is typical for businesses to keep working with the same gig worker, neither the business nor the worker are required to make a long-term commitment.

Workers that are interested in engaging in the gig economy often need to join up by submitting an application to their preferred platforms. Once accepted, individuals can select which projects or work shifts to finish. For instance, in order to keep her nights and weekends open, a woman who works for DoorDash can choose to work for two to three hours when her kids are in school. A virtual assistant, on the other hand, could decide to work a standard 9 to 5 job for a business to finish a particular assignment.

While people may question the worth of a gig economy, it is worthwhile to those who operate in the gig economy. According to studies, 79% of people who work in the gig economy are happier than they were when they had regular employment.

Pros Of The Gig Economy

Flexibility

With gig employment, you are effectively your own employer and may decide how, where, and for how long you work. In certain cases, you can even select your clientele and pricing.

Independence

Since gig workers are not directly supervised and are not required to work in an office, they are allowed to do tasks independently, according to their preferences, and on their own schedule.

Scope Of work

The gig economy offers the chance to take on a variety of jobs and projects that may keep you on your toes and exercise your creative and problem-solving abilities in the process, as opposed to working in one 9–5 job for one boss.

Cost Efficient For Businesses

Freelancers can be a less expensive option for firms than hiring full-time workers. They also provide owners the chance to locate new talent and set different charges for different skill levels.

Cons Of The Gig Economy

Income Instability

Having a flexible work schedule has the consequence of bringing with it an unstable source of income. The quantity of labour available determines your revenue from gigs, and you only get paid when you do jobs.

Lack Of Benefits

Gig workers are often ineligible for health insurance, retirement programs, and workers’ compensation or disability insurance if they are injured on the job.

Stress And Burnout

Having a range of jobs might be monetarily advantageous, but it can also cause stress and fatigue. For a delivery driver, for instance, doing numerous jobs might drain your energy, change your way of life, and even damage your car.

Taxes And Expenses

Independent contractors who get payment for gig work may be required to make quarterly anticipated tax payments in addition to being responsible for paying self-employment taxes. By making timely and enough tax payments, you can avoid a fine. Additionally, gig workers are in charge of getting and keeping their work-related gear and supplies, such as smartphones, phone plans, laptops, and automobiles.

Uber’s Business Model: Example For One Of The Leading Company In The Gig Economy

Business Model

Uber operates on a platform-based business model that connects drivers (independent contractors) with riders through a mobile app. The key components of its business model:

  • Ride-Hailing Services: Uber’s core service allows users to request rides via the app, connecting them with nearby drivers. The app calculates fares based on distance, demand, and time.
  • Driver Independence: Drivers are classified as independent contractors, not employees, which means they have the flexibility to choose when and how much they work. Uber retains a percentage of each fare as a commission, typically around 20-30%.
  • Dynamic Pricing: Uber employs a dynamic pricing model (also known as surge pricing) that adjusts fares based on real-time demand and supply. This model incentivizes drivers to work during peak times when prices increase.
  • Expansion of Services: Beyond ride-hailing, Uber has expanded into food delivery (Uber Eats), freight transport (Uber Freight), and even micro-mobility options like scooters and bikes, diversifying its revenue streams.
  • Technology and Data Utilization: The company leverages data analytics and algorithms to optimize routes, enhance user experience, and manage driver-partner supply.

Uber’s Green Initiatives

Uber has made commitments towards sustainability and aims to position itself as a green company through several initiatives:

  • Electric Vehicle (EV) Transition: Uber has pledged to transition to an all-electric fleet by 2030 in major cities and by 2040 globally. This involves encouraging drivers to switch to electric vehicles and providing incentives for doing so.
  • Partnerships: The company collaborates with manufacturers and governments to promote the adoption of EVs and invest in charging infrastructure.
  • Carbon Offset Programs: Uber offers options for riders to contribute to carbon offset projects, aiming to neutralize the emissions generated from their rides.

Pollution and Environmental Concerns

Despite these initiatives, Uber faces critique regarding its environmental impact due to multiple factors:

  • Independent Contractors: Since drivers are independent contractors, Uber does not directly control the vehicles they use or their maintenance. Many drivers still use older, less fuel-efficient vehicles, contributing to greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Increased Vehicle Miles Travelled (VMT): Research indicates that ride-hailing services can lead to increased vehicle miles travelled, as rides may include more deadheading (drivers traveling without passengers) and inefficient routing. This can negate some of the benefits of switching to electric vehicles.
  • Urban Congestion: The rise of ride-hailing has been associated with increased traffic congestion in cities, leading to more emissions and pollution. This situation raises concerns about the overall sustainability of the business model.

Conclusion

Despite its cons, both employees and employers may gain greatly from the gig economy. A employer has access to a diverse pool of talent without out any commitment to permanently hire the person or any repercussions to fire them if their skill set does not match with the required level. An employer may also utilise gig economy during phases when it is difficult to hire full-time employees. Additionally, an employer does not usually incur any costs to cover benefits provided to employees like health insurance, etc. On the contrary, the gig economy provides employees the freedom and ability to undertake multiple jobs, the freedom to choose the place to work depending on the employment and flexibility in their work timings.

Related Posts On The SimTrade Blog

Useful Resources

HBS – The Gig Economy Is Here to Stay

McKinsey – Gig Economy: The Future of Work

Business Cases

Uber’s Commitment to Sustainability

Understanding the Uber Business Model

About The Author

The article was written in October 2024 by Anant JAIN ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022).

The Ongoing Hyperinflation In Turkey And Its Ripple Effects On European Union

The Ongoing Hyperinflation In Turkey And Its Ripple Effects On European Union

Anant Jain

In this article, Anant JAIN (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022) talks about the ongoing hyperinflation in Turkey and its ripple effects on European markets.

Introduction

Turkey is facing one of the most severe inflation crises in its modern since 2019. Hyperinflation, marked by an uncontrollable surge in prices, has deeply impacted the Turkish economy and is starting to affect European markets as well. This article delves into the causes behind Turkey’s hyperinflation, its consequences on the Turkish economy, and the broader implications for Europe.

Figure 1. Inflation In Turkey (1960-2024)
Hyperinflation in Turkey
Source: World Bank

You can download the Excel file for the data used for the figure above.

Causes Of Hyperinflation In Turkey

Several factors have contributed to Turkey’s current hyperinflation crisis: monetary policy and Central Bank challenges, depreciation of the Turkish Lira, and political and external pressures.

Monetary Policy and Central Bank Challenges

The Turkish administration, led by President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, has adopted unconventional monetary policies, including lowering interest rates despite high inflation. Erdoğan’s view that high interest rates lead to inflation contradicts established economic theory, leading to frequent rate cuts.
The Central Bank of Turkey has faced issues with its independence, with frequent changes in leadership and government interference undermining the effectiveness of its monetary policy.

Depreciation Of The Turkish Lira

The Turkish lira has seen a sharp decline in value against major currencies like the U.S. dollar and the euro. This currency depreciation has increased the cost of imports, which drives up prices domestically. Given Turkey’s reliance on imported goods, including energy and raw materials, the weakening lira has significantly contributed to inflation.

Political & External Pressures

Internal political instability and external geopolitical tensions have intensified the economic situation.

  • Political events, including the 2018 presidential elections and subsequent local elections in 2019, have created uncertainty in the markets. The government’s actions, such as arrests of opposition figures and crackdowns on dissent, have raised concerns about the rule of law and investor confidence.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic and the subsequent recovery have affected global supply chains and commodity prices, putting additional pressure on inflation in Turkey. Rising oil prices, in particular, have hurt Turkey due to its dependence on energy imports.

Global issues, such as rising energy costs and disruptions in supply chains, have also worsened Turkey’s inflation crisis.

Effects On Turkey’s Economy

Hyperinflation has had severe consequences for Turkey: Rising Costs and Living Standards, Devaluation Of Savings & Income, and Challenges For Businesses and Investment.

Rising Costs and Living Standards

The prices of everyday goods and services have soared, placing a heavy burden on Turkish citizens. Essential items like food, fuel, and housing have become increasingly expensive, leading to a marked decline in the quality of life for many people.

Official inflation rates are high, but real rates may be even higher. This has resulted in widespread economic difficulty, with many Turks struggling to afford basic necessities.

Devaluation Of Savings & Income

As the lira depreciates, the value of savings held in lira has diminished. Those on fixed incomes or holding substantial savings in lira are experiencing a severe reduction in their purchasing power.
Wage increases have not matched inflation rates, resulting in a decrease in real wages. This reduction in income has led to lower consumer spending, further hurting economic growth.

Challenges For Businesses and Investment

The hyperinflation crisis has created a turbulent environment for businesses. Rising costs and reduced consumer spending are making it challenging for companies to maintain profitability.
Foreign investors are hesitant to engage with the Turkish market due to concerns about the unstable lira and the government’s economic policies.

Consequences For European Markets

The economic turmoil in Turkey is beginning to influence European markets in several ways: Trade and Supply Chain Interruptions, Financial Market Volatility, and Migration & Social Strain.

Trade and Supply Chain Interruptions

  • Impact: Increased costs and disruptions in supply chains are causing delays in production and raising prices for goods in Europe. European companies may either absorb these costs or pass them on to consumers, potentially leading to lower sales and profits.
  • Example: European car manufacturers like Volkswagen and Renault are experiencing increased costs and delays because of issues with their Turkish suppliers. For instance, a Turkish automotive parts supplier reported a 30% rise in costs due to the lira’s devaluation, affecting European manufacturers reliant on these components.

Financial Market Volatility

  • Impact: Turkey’s financial instability has led to increased volatility in European financial markets. Concerns about potential defaults on Turkish debt may result in tighter credit conditions and impact the profitability of European banks.
  • Example: Spanish bank BBVA, which holds a significant investment in Turkey through Garanti BBVA, has been affected by the financial instability in Turkey. The lira’s devaluation and inflation have led to fluctuations in BBVA’s stock price and higher borrowing costs.

Effects On The Euro & Economic Stability

  • Impact: The euro’s depreciation in response to Turkey’s crisis could lead to higher import costs for European countries, particularly those that rely on non-Eurozone imports. This might worsen inflationary pressures in Europe and complicate the European Central Bank’s efforts to manage economic growth.
  • Example: In late 2022, the euro saw a noticeable decline in value against major currencies, partly due to concerns about the effects of Turkey’s economic situation. As the Turkish lira weakened, European investors and businesses faced greater uncertainty, affecting market sentiment and currency exchange rates.

Migration & Social Strain

  • Impact: Increased migration from Turkey could put additional pressure on European social services, such as housing, healthcare, and education. This may heighten political tensions within the EU as member states address how to manage and support the influx of migrants.
  • Example: Turkey has been a significant source of migration to Europe, with many people seeking refuge from economic and political instability. The worsening situation in Turkey could lead to more migration to countries like Greece and Italy, which are already dealing with substantial migration challenges.

Conclusion

The hyperinflation crisis in Turkey is a rapidly evolving issue with wide-ranging consequences. While the primary burden falls on the Turkish economy, the repercussions are starting to be felt across Europe. Trade disruptions, financial instability, and potential migration issues are among the challenges that European markets may face due to Turkey’s economic troubles.

The situation underscores the interconnected nature of global economies and the need for Europe to monitor and prepare for potential economic fallout. European policymakers and businesses must stay alert and adaptable in response to the ongoing developments in Turkey.

Addressing Turkey’s hyperinflation will require substantial economic reforms, including restoring central bank independence, stabilizing the currency, and regaining investor confidence. Until these issues are resolved, the economic and social impacts of Turkey’s crisis will continue to challenge both Turkey and Europe.

Related Posts On The SimTrade Blog

▶ Anant JAIN Understanding Hyperinflation

Useful Resources

Data

World Bank Inflation, consumer prices

Economic Analysis

World Bank Turkey Economic Monitor

Financial Times Turkey’s Economic Crisis

BBC News Turkey’s Inflation Crisis

European Central Bank Economic Bulletin

Council on Foreign Relations Turkey’s Economic Struggles

About The Author

The article was written in October 2024 by Anant JAIN (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022).