Debt

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Article written in July 2021 by Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2023).

Government debt

June 14, 2021 by Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY

Government debt

In this article, Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY (ESSEC Business School, i>Grande Ecole – Master in Management, 2019-2023) introduces you to government debt.

A government debt is a debt issued and guaranteed by a government. It is then owed in the form of bonds bought by investors (institutional investors, individual investors, other governments, etc.).

According to the OECD: “Debt is calculated as the sum of the following liability categories (as applicable): currency and deposits; debt securities, loans; insurance, pensions and standardized guarantee schemes, and other accounts payable.”

Before the Covid-19 crisis, the government debt of all countries in the world was estimated at $53 trillion. According to the IMF, it is expected to rise from 83% to 96% of world GDP as a result of the crisis.

In order to better understand debt, it is necessary to go back to several points. How does a government issue debt? Who holds government debt? How is government debt measured?

How does a government issue debt?

There are two principal ways to issue bonds: syndication and auction.

Syndication

Syndication is the most common way to issue debt. It is when several financial institutions join together to ensure the placement of a bond with investors in order to reduce their risk exposure. However, since the 1980’s, governments tend to use the auction method.

Auction

The auction can be “open”, i.e. all direct participants in public securities auctions (credit institutions, management and intermediation companies, etc.) have the possibility of acquiring part of the security put up for auction. It can also be “targeted”, i.e. the issue is reserved only for the primary dealers – banks or other financial institutions that has been approved to trade securities – of the issuing State.

A few days before the planned date of an auction, the State makes an announcement, confirming, postponing or cancelling the operation. It also gives the characteristics of the securities to be issued, i.e. the type of securities, the maturity and the amount it wishes to raise. Buyers can then submit several bids, each specifying the desired quantity and price. The issue lines are then auctioned to the highest bidders. The higher the demand is, the lower the issue rate is.

Auction is used because it provides investors, among other things, with transparency and free competition on an investment product with an attractive benefit in relation to a low risk level.

Each country that issues bonds uses different terms for them. UK government bonds, for example, are referred to as gilts. In the US, they are referred to as treasuries: T-bills (that expire in less than one year), T-notes (that expire in one to ten years) and T-bonds (that expire in more than ten years). In France, the government issues short-term liabilities (“Bons du Trésor”) and long-term liabilities (“OAT for “Obligations Assimilables du Trésor”) with maturity between 2 and 50 years.

Who holds government debt?

Government debt can be broken down into domestic and external debt depending on whether the creditors are residents or non-residents.

Domestic debt

Domestic debt refers to all claims held by economic agents (households, companies, financial institutions) resident in a sovereign state on that state. It is mostly denominated in the national currency. A government can call for savings, but savings used to finance the deficit can no longer be used to finance private activity and in particular productive investment. This is known as the crowding-out effect. A government must therefore deal with this limit.

External debt

External debt refers to all debts owed to foreign lenders. A distinction must be made between gross external debt (what a country borrows from abroad) and net external debt (the difference between what a country borrows from abroad and what it lends abroad). A level of debt that is too high can be dangerous for a country. In the event of fluctuations in the national currency, the interest and principal amounts of the external debt, if denominated in foreign currency, can quickly become a burden leading to default.

The case of France

In France, non-residents are the main holders of French public debt. They hold 64% of the bonds issued by the government. They are institutional investors, but also sovereign investment funds, banks and even hedge funds. In addition, as regards domestic debt, French insurance companies hold nearly 20% of French securities. They are used for life insurance investments. Finally, French banks and French mutual funds hold 10% and 2% respectively.

How to measure government debt?

While the French debt has risen from 2000 billion euros in 2014 to 2700 billion in 2021, the debt burden has fallen from 40 billion to 30 billion. What do these two ways of looking at a country’s debt mean?

In the European Union, the current measure of public debt is the one adopted by the Maastricht Treaty. It takes into account the nominal amount borrowed. This is a relevant criterion for measuring the government’s budgetary misalignments, i.e. its financing needs. It also makes it possible to introduce debt rules: the debt must be less than 60% of GDP.

Another way of measuring debt is to take into account the interest charges on public debt. This criterion makes it possible to account for the cost of the debt and not its amount. It is this criterion that must be considered in order to anticipate future financing needs, to plan taxes and interest charges in the government budget.

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About the author

Article written in June 2021 by Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY (ESSEC Business School, i>Grande Ecole – Master in Management, 2019-2023).

Examples of companies issuing bonds

June 14, 2021 by Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY

Examples of companies issuing bonds

In this article, Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2023) provides you with examples of companies issuing bonds.

In order to better understand corporate bonds, it is appropriate to look at recent issues to see their different characteristics: Veolia, Essilorluxottica and LVMH.

Véolia: EUR 700 million 6-year bond issuance with negative interest rate

The company

Veolia is a French multinational utility company. It markets water, waste and energy management services for local authorities and companies.

It employs more than 163,000 employees and had revenues of €27 billion in 2019.

The company recently made headlines in the financial news with its takeover bid for Suez. After months of financial, political and media battle, the French giants finally agreed on a merger. The new group is expected to have a 5% share of the world market with 230,000 employees.

The bond issuance

On Monday, January 11, 2021, Veolia issued €700 million of bonds maturing in January 2027 at a negative rate of -0.021%.

This is the first time that a BBB-rated issuer has obtained a negative rate for this maturity. This was due to strong demand from investors who welcomed the transaction. As a result, the order book reached up to 2 billion euros, which allowed for a negative yield. This reflects the very positive perception of Veolia, as well as the credibility of its proposed merger with Suez.

This example is quite symptomatic of the low-rate period we are currently in. Indeed, we see here that a company can take on debt at negative rates.

Essilorluxottica: €3 billion bond issuance

The company

EssilorLuxottica is a Franco-Italian multinational company, resulting from the 2018 merger of the French company Essilor and the Italian company Luxottica. It is one of the leading groups in the design, production and marketing of ophthalmic lenses, optical equipment, prescription glasses and sunglasses.

The group employs more than 153,000 people and had sales of EUR 14 billion in 2002.

The bond issuance

On Thursday, May 28, 2020, EssilorLuxottica issued €3 billion of bonds. The bonds have maturities of 3.6 years, 5.6 years and 8 years, with rates of 0.25%, 0.375% and 0.5% respectively.

Demand was very high as the order book reached almost 11 billion euros, reflecting investors’ confidence in EssilorLuxottica’s model.

This example allows us to notice that during an issue, bonds of different maturities can be issued at the same time. This allows us to respond adequately to financing needs by allowing us to play on the maturity and therefore on the rates. Here, the rates increase with time. In fact, outside of recessionary periods, this correlation is observed because the risks for investors increase with time. In the same way, their money is immobilized for a longer period of time and therefore must be remunerated for that.

LVMH: 9.3-billion-euro bond issuance

The company

LVMH is a French group of companies, today a world leader in the luxury goods industry. The firm has a portfolio of seventy brands including Moët, Hennessy, Louis Vuitton, Dior, Céline, …

The group employs more than 163,000 employees and had a turnover of 53 billion euros in 2019.

Announced in November 2019, then canceled because of Covid-19, the takeover of Tiffany finally took place in January 2021 for a total amount of $ 15.8 billion.

The bond issuance

On February 6, 2020, LVMH issued €9.3 billion in bonds, denominated in euros and pounds sterling. This was the largest bond issue in Europe since AB inBev in 2016. The maturities of the bonds issued range up to 11 years with a yield of 0.45%. Some tranches, including the four-year euro tranche, have a negative yield. The overall cost of this financing is estimated at 0.05%.

The purpose of this issue was to refinance the acquisition of Tiffany. It received strong interest from investors with an order book of nearly 23 billion euros. In addition, LVMH benefited from very favorable market conditions. Indeed, January had been rather weak in terms of the volume of issues by companies in the investment grade category and had been dominated by those in the high yield category. Thus, investors had a lot of liquidity to invest in more secure investments. Finally, LVMH issues few bonds even though the group is highly rated. Investors were therefore looking to acquire its debt.

This example allows us to understand the conditions of a record issue. Moreover, it also allows us to underline that it is possible to resort to borrowing to finance new projects, current expenses or, in this case, an acquisition.

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About the author

Article written in June 2021 by Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2023).

The rise in corporate debt

June 14, 2021 by Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY

The rise in corporate debt

In this article, Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2023) analyzes the rise in corporate debt.

Since the financial crisis of 2007-2008, the level of debt in the world has increased significantly. Global debt, which includes the debt of (non-financial) corporations, financial institutions, governments and households, has risen from 292% of global GDP in 2008 to 318% in 2018. This increase in global debt is primarily driven by the growth of non-financial corporate debt after the subprime crisis. Indeed, the debt of non-financial companies rose from 78% to 92% of GDP between 2008 and 2018. What are the reasons for this increase? How did the coronavirus crisis impact debt levels? What are the consequences of rising debt levels?

Growth in corporate debt through the bond markets, mainly driven by emerging countries

An increase linked to an increase in bond issues

Until the 2008 crisis, the banking sector was the fastest growing corporate financing tool, notably through international banks. Since the 2008 crisis, there has been a shift. Companies then began to take on more debt on the financial markets (bonds) than from banks (credit). Thus, the increase in corporate debt since the 2008 crisis has been mainly through the bond markets. The main driver of this increase is the accommodating monetary policies pursued by the developed economies.

An increase driven by developing countries

Moreover, the rise in non-financial corporate debt has not been uniform across the world. It has actually been concentrated in emerging economies. Between 2008 and 2018, this type of debt in emerging economies grew from $9 trillion to $28 trillion. This growth is much faster than the growth of the GDP of these countries. Indeed, over the same period, the debt of non-financial companies has increased from 56% to 96% of GDP. At the same time, the debt of non-financial corporations has grown at the same rate as GDP since 2008 in the developed economies (with the exception of China).

The growing share of bond markets, in the case of emerging economies, is noteworthy. Indeed, between 2008 and 2018, the share of bonds in the total debt of non-financial companies in emerging economies rose from 19% to 32%, effectively increasing by 13 percentage points.

A rise in non-financial private sector debt with the Covid-19 pandemic

The exceptional measures taken by governments around the world eased financial conditions to support the economy of their own country. This response to the pandemic helped maintain the flow of credit to households and businesses, facilitated the recovery and contained financial risks. Nevertheless, this support has increased private non-financial sector indebtedness in both advanced and emerging economies.

While we saw above that the debt-to-GDP ratio of firms in developed countries was constant between 2008 and 2018, it worsened with the Covid-19 pandemic. The debt of private non-financial firms in developed countries rose from 149% of GDP in Q3 2019 for the US to 160% in Q3 2020. Similarly, debt of private non-financial firm in the Eurozone rose from 120% to 129% over the same period. Debt levels are not uniformly high as it depends on the size of the company and its sector of activity.

Companies have had massive recourse to borrowing first of all to cope with their cash flow difficulties, between a fall in activity and marked tensions in terms of payment. In addition to this, there is also a precautionary attitude which is pushing companies to use their borrowing capacity to the maximum in order to build up an extra cash cushion. Finally, large companies will also take advantage of borrowing facilities for other purposes. In particular, they will use debt to conduct share buyback programs and pay dividends.

What are the consequences of increased debt?

The growth in debt financing can have a number of positive aspects. It may indicate that firms are less constrained in their financing, allowing them to raise more funds to pursue profitable investment projects and expand. Similarly, it may mean that firms are obtaining new financing outside the traditional banking system, which helps them grow by diversifying their sources of funding.

However, it also poses a number of risks. In the aftermath of the Covid-19 crisis, corporate debt reached a worrying level. The question is: how will companies manage the repayment of their debt?

The accumulation of high levels of debt in a period of weak economic growth and declining corporate profits has been accompanied by increased default risks.

In addition, refinancing risks may have increased, as the fastest growth in corporate debt has been through bond financing, which is more difficult to refinance.

Finally, the post-covid recovery is likely to be asynchronous and divergent across countries. Financial conditions are likely to tighten in developed country markets, making it more difficult to finance companies in emerging economies.

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About the author

Article written in June 2021 by Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2023).

Why do companies issue debt?

June 14, 2021 by Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY

Why do companies issue debt?

In this article, Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2023) provides insights into why companies issue bonds.

A company can finance its activities in different ways: by internal financing (self-financing) and by external financing comprising debt and equity. Often, internal funds are not sufficient. The company must therefore make a choice between raising debt and raising equity. So, it is necessary to ask what might lead a company to prefer one over the other.

The advantages of debt over equity for a company

Debt is often preferred to equity because it is structurally less costly for the following reasons:

– The interest on the debt is tax deductible. The debt therefore costs the interest minus the tax savings (assuming that the company makes profit and pays taxes…).

– Investing in stocks is riskier than investing in bonds because of a number of factors. For instance, the stock market has a higher volatility of returns than the bond market, capital gains are not a guarantee, dividends are discretionary, stockholders have a lower claim on company assets in case of company default. Therefore, investor expect higher returns to compensate it for the additional risk. Thus, for the company, financing itself through debt will be less expensive than through equity.

– The remuneration of the debt is not strictly proportional to the increase of the risk taken by the company, because there are multiple ways for lenders to take guarantees: leasing, mortgage….

Debt has other advantages over equity:

Debt can be used to gain leverage. It provides a leverage effect for shareholders who contribute only part of the sums mobilized in the investment. This effect is all the more important when the interest rate at which the debt is subscribed is low and the economic profitability of the investment is high.

Raising equity dilutes ownership of existing stockholders. When a company sells equity, it gives up ownership of its business. This has both financial and day-to-day operational implications for the business. Debt does not imply such a dilution effect.

There is a practical benefit for using debt. Issuing debt is easier than issuing equity in practice.

Finally, the terms of repayment of principal and interest payments are known in advance. This allows companies to anticipate future expenses.

The disadvantages of debt over equity

First, unlike equity, debt must be repaid at some point. This is because equity financing is like taking a share in the company in exchange for cash. Thus, where cash outflows are required to pay interest on debt and repay principal, this is not useful for equity.

Moreover, in equity financing, the risk is carried by the stockholders. If the company fails, they will lose their stake in the company. In contrast, in debt financing, creditors often require assets to be secured. Thus, if the company goes bankrupt, they can take the collateral.

Finally, the debt capacity of a company is limited. Indeed, the more debt a company takes on, the higher the risk of default. Thus, creditors will ask an already highly leveraged company for higher interest rates to compensate for the risk they are taking. Conversely, equity financing allows companies to improve their capital structure, and thus present better debt ratios to investors.

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