Macro Funds

Macro Funds

Akshit Gupta

This article written by Akshit GUPTA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022) explains marco funds which is a type of hedge fund based on the analysis of macroeconomic or political events.

Introduction

Macro funds, also known as global macro funds, are actively managed alternative investment vehicles (hedge funds) whose strategy profits from the broad market movements caused by macroeconomic (economic, fiscal and monetary) or geopolitical events. These funds typically invest in asset classes including equity, fixed income, currencies, and commodities. They invest in both the spot and derivatives markets. They use a mix of long and short positions in these asset classes to implement their market views to achieve superior returns (higher than a given benchmark).

Some key elements impacting the decisions taken by macro funds include:

  • Economic factors – Macro funds constantly monitor the economic data across different countries including interest rates, inflation rates, GDP growth, unemployment rates and industrial/retail growth rates to make investment decisions.
  • Mispricing – Macro funds try to arbitrage markets based on perceived mispricing.
  • Political situations – The political situations in different countries also play a major role in the investment decisions made by macro funds as unstable political situations can lead to low investor confidence and thus cause a decline in the financial markets.

Benefits of a macro funds

Like other types of hedge funds, macro funds aim at providing their clients (investors) with investments managed in an efficient manner to optimize expected returns and risk. Such funds are especially expected to diversify the clients’ portfolios. So, macro funds are often acknowledged as the alternative funds in the industry.

Other characteristics of macro funds

Other characteristics of macro funds (clients, fee structure, investment constraints) are similar to other types of hedge funds (see the posts Introduction to Hedge Funds and Hedge Funds).

Examples of macro funds strategies

A commonly used asset class in macro fund strategy includes currencies. Their exchange rates are affected by several factors including monetary and fiscal policies, economic factors like GDP growth and inflation and geopolitical situation. Black Wednesday is an example of an infamous event, where we can understand the different factors and use of macro fund strategies.

Black Wednesday

During the 1970s, an European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) was set up to reduce exchange rate variability and stabilize the monetary policies across the continent. Also, a stage was being set to introduce a unified common currency named Euro. The United Kingdom joined ERM in 1990 due to political instability in the country raising fears of higher currency fluctuations.

The pound sterling shadowed the German mark but owing to challenges faced by Britain at that point in time, including lower interest rates, higher inflation rates and an unstable economy, the currency traders weren’t satisfied with the decision.

Seeing the economic situation, George Soros, one of the most famous investors, used the macro fund strategy during 1992 when he took a short position in the pound sterling for $10 billion and made a $1 billion profit from his position.

Related Posts

   ▶ Akshit GUPTA Asset management firms

   ▶ Akshit GUPTA Hedge Funds

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Introduction to Hedge Funds

   ▶ Akshit GUPTA Portrait of George Soros: A famous investor

Useful resources

Academic resources

Pedersen, L. H., 2015. Efficiently Inefficient: How Smart Money Invests and Market Prices Are Determined. Princeton University Press, Chapter 11, Global macro Investing.

Business resources

JP. Morgan Asset Management

DeChesare Brian “Global Macro Hedge Funds: Living in an FX Traders’ Paradise?”

About the author

Article written in August 2022 by Akshit GUPTA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022).

Portrait of George Soros: a famous investor

Portrait of George Soros: a famous investor

Akshit GUPTA

This article written by Akshit GUPTA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022) presents a portrait of George Soros: a famous investor who broke the Bank of England in 1992.

“I’m only rich because I know when I’m wrong.” – George Soros

Pondering upon the above quote makes me realize that successful people do make bad choices but what matters is the fact that how long you take to correct that choice.

George Soros

Introduction

George Soros or ‘Boogeyman’, as quoted in an article by the New York Times, is a leading and one of the most successful investors and trader of all time. Born on August 12, 1930 in Budapest, Mr. Soros is not only a successful trader but also a business magnate, philanthropist and an assertive author who owns a hedge fund named Soros Fund Management, registered in New York City, United States, which reported an earnings of $300 million in 2016 and is ranked amongst the Top 10 Global Hedge Funds in the Forbes list.

Apart from being well known for this trading style, Mr. Soros is also known as a person who broke the Bank of England on September 16, 1992, the day which is registered as a ‘Black Wednesday’ in the history of Britain.

Black Wednesday

In 1979, a European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) was set up to reduce exchange rate variability and stabilize the monetary policies across the continent. Also, a stage was being set to introduce a unified common currency named Euro. Britain joined ERM in the late 1990s due to political instability in the country raising fears of higher currency fluctuations. Under this mechanism, a bar of 6% fluctuation in either direction was set up giving the central banks of European countries like the Bank of England the right to intervene in the currency market with counter trades during adverse situations.

The Pound Sterling shadowed the German mark but owing to challenges faced by Britain at that point in time, including lower interest rates, higher inflation rates and an unstable economy, the currency traders weren’t satisfied with the decision. In order to protect their position, the traders started shorting Pound Sterling and amongst one of the lead traders was Mr. Soros who took a short position in Pound Sterling amounting to $10 billion. Owing to such a mass sell-off for Pound Sterling, the British Government was forced to withdraw from the ERM system and following this decision, the country went into official recession. During this entire period, George Soros made a whopping $1 billion with his position and brought Bank of England on its knees.

Relevance to the SimTrade course

The SimTrade course teaches us the relevance of market news, types of orders and value creation while executing trades in the financial markets.  The experiences of Soros correlate with the concept of value creation and teach us a great deal about how a successful trader is not only a person who makes profits but also a person who knows how to cut upon the losses. It is always necessary to have a flexible approach towards the trades one has executed and, adapt with time. This relates to the risk management of a trading position.

George Soros is also a firm believer and propagator of the philosophy of ‘reflexivity’. Reflexivity relates to a feedback loop between the financial markets and the real economy. The fundamentals of the firms have an impact on financial markets, and reciprocally, financial markets have an impact on the firms.

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

   ▶ Youssef LOURAOUI Global macro strategy

   ▶ Jianen HUANG It’s not whether you’re right or wrong

   ▶ Akshit GUPTA Macro Funds

About the author

Article written in December 2022 by Akshit GUPTA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022).