Treasury Bonds: The Backbone of U.S. Government Financing

Treasury Bonds: The Backbone of U.S. Government Financing

Camille Keller

In this article, Camille KELLER (ESSEC Business School, Bachelor in Business Administration (BBA), 2020-2024) explains the purpose, significance, and global role of U.S. Treasury bonds.

Introduction

Treasury bonds (T-bonds) are long-term debt securities issued by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, fundamental to funding government operations and shaping economic policies. Backed by the “full faith and credit” of the U.S. government, they are regarded globally as benchmarks of stability and reliability.

These bonds play a dual role: domestically, they underpin the financial system and provide risk-free investment options, while globally, they influence capital flows and pricing in international markets. With their long maturities and predictable returns (if hold until maturity), Treasury bonds are a secure haven for investors in times of uncertainty.

This article explores the structure of Treasury bonds, their critical role in monetary policy, and their global significance in maintaining financial stability.

What Are Treasury Bonds and How Do They Work?

Treasury bonds are issued by the U.S. government to finance national projects and repay debt. They have maturities of 10 to 30 years and offer fixed semiannual interest payments, returning the principal amount at maturity.

Figure 1 below gives the evolution of the interest rate of Treasury bonds (30 years of maturity) over the period March 1977 – December 2024 (data from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis). You can download the Excel file for the historical data used to build the figure.

Figure 1. Evolution of the US Treasury bonds interest rate.
Evolution of the US Treasury bonds interest rate
Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.

These bonds are sold through public auctions, where competitive bidders specify desired yields, and non-competitive bidders accept the auction’s determined rate. This transparent process ensures fair pricing and liquidity, making T-bonds accessible to a wide range of investors.

Treasury bonds are considered among the safest investments globally, given the U.S. government’s ability to generate revenue through taxation and currency issuance. This security makes them a key component of institutional portfolios, particularly for pension funds and central banks looking for low-risk, reliable returns.

In financial markets, T-bonds serve as a benchmark for long-term interest rates. Their yields influence borrowing costs for mortgages, corporate bonds, and loans, directly affecting economic activity. During financial uncertainty, their reputation as safe-haven assets attracts significant demand, reaffirming their stability and importance in global markets.

The Role of Treasury Bonds in Monetary Policy

Treasury bonds are integral to U.S. monetary policy, serving as tools for the Federal Reserve to manage money supply and interest rates. Through open market operations, the Federal Reserve buys or sells Treasury bonds to inject or withdraw liquidity from the financial system. These actions influence borrowing costs and economic activity.

When the Federal Reserve purchases T-bonds, it lowers interest rates, encouraging borrowing and investment. Conversely, selling bonds tightens liquidity and increases rates, curbing inflation and slowing economic growth.

T-bonds are also key indicators of inflation expectations. Fixed coupon payments lose value in inflationary periods, prompting investors to demand higher yields as compensation. Their role as a measure of market sentiment makes them critical in assessing economic conditions.

The yield curve—a graph of yields on Treasury securities of varying maturities—offers further insight. An inverted yield curve, where short-term yields exceed long-term yields, is often a precursor to economic recessions, signaling investor concerns about future growth.

Through these mechanisms, Treasury bonds enable the Federal Reserve to balance economic growth, inflation, and employment, making them indispensable to monetary policy.

Treasury Bonds as a Global Benchmark

Treasury bonds extend their influence far beyond U.S. borders, forming the bedrock of the global financial system. Their stability, liquidity, and dollar-denominated nature make them indispensable to central banks, institutional investors, and sovereign wealth funds worldwide.

Central banks, particularly those in countries like China and Japan, hold large reserves of T-bonds to stabilize exchange rates, manage currency reserves, and hedge against market volatility. Their status as a low-risk investment ensures enduring demand, reinforcing the U.S. dollar’s dominance in global finance.

T-bonds also serve as a benchmark for pricing other financial instruments. Their yields represent the risk-free rate used in valuation models for equities, corporate bonds, and derivatives, shaping investment decisions across markets.

In times of crisis, Treasury bonds attract capital as investors seek security, lowering yields and providing stability to global markets. However, this reliance also introduces vulnerabilities; events like U.S. debt ceiling debates or credit rating downgrades can disrupt global confidence in Treasury securities.

Despite these challenges, the unwavering demand for Treasury bonds highlights their critical role in ensuring liquidity and stability in the international financial system.

Why Should I Be Interested in This Post?

This post is a valuable resource for students and professionals interested in understanding the mechanics of Treasury bonds and their broader implications. It highlights the intersection of government finance, monetary policy, and global markets, offering insights into how these instruments shape economies worldwide.

Related Posts on the SimTrade Blog

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Introduction to bonds

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond Markets

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond valuation

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond risks

   ▶ Bijal GANDHI Credit Rating

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Credit risk

Useful Resources

U.S. Department of the Treasury

Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED)

Federal Reserve

About the Author

The article was written in December 2024 by Camille KELLER (ESSEC Business School, Bachelor in Business Administration (BBA), 2020-2024).

OAT: France’s Answer to Sovereign Bonds

OAT: France’s Answer to Sovereign Bonds

Camille Keller

In this article, Camille KELLER (ESSEC Business School, Bachelor in Business Administration (BBA), 2020-2024) explains the role, structure, and significance of French government bonds known as Obligations Assimilables du Trésor (OATs).

Introduction

Obligations Assimilables du Trésor (OATs) are the backbone of France’s government debt strategy, providing a reliable means to finance public expenditures. These long-term debt securities are issued by the French Treasury and are central to the stability of France’s financial system.

OATs not only ensure the funding of state operations but also serve as a benchmark for the European financial markets. Their appeal lies in their fixed and predictable returns (if hold until maturity), making them a popular choice for institutional investors seeking stability in a historically low-risk asset.

This article dives into the structure and purpose of OATs, their relevance in monetary policy, and their role in the broader European and global financial system.

What Are OATs and How Do They Work?

OATs are long-term debt securities issued by the French Treasury to meet the government’s borrowing needs. The maturities of OATs ranges from 2 to 50 years. Investors receive fixed annual interest payments and the principal amount at maturity.

Figure 1 below gives the evolution of the OAT interest rate (10 year of maturity) over the period January 1986 – December 2024 (date from investing / Banque de France). You can download the Excel file for the historical data used to build the figure.

Evolution of the OAT interest rate.
Evolution of the OAT interest rate
Source: investing / Banque de France.

OATs are issued through public auctions managed by Agence France Trésor (AFT), the French government agency responsible for debt issuance and management. These auctions allow competitive and non-competitive bidding, ensuring a transparent and efficient process.

The reliability of OATs is grounded in the French government’s creditworthiness, supported by a robust and diversified economy. This low-risk profile attracts a wide range of investors, including pension funds, insurance companies, and foreign governments, making OATs a staple of institutional portfolios.

In financial markets, OATs play a vital role as benchmarks for euro-denominated securities. They influence pricing for corporate bonds, mortgages, and other fixed-income instruments within the Eurozone. Their stability and liquidity make them a key asset class in European financial systems.

The Role of OATs in Monetary Policy

OATs are an integral part of monetary policy in the Eurozone, serving as tools for the European Central Bank (ECB) and other institutions to influence financial conditions. As sovereign bonds, they are used in the ECB’s open market operations, including quantitative easing programs aimed at stabilizing the economy.

Through these programs, the ECB purchases OATs and other Eurozone bonds to inject liquidity into the financial system. This lowers interest rates, supports borrowing, and stimulates economic growth during periods of economic stagnation or crisis.

The yield on OATs is also a key indicator of France’s economic health and investor sentiment. Rising yields suggest increased borrowing costs for the government and heightened risk perceptions, while lower yields signal strong investor confidence and stability.

Additionally, OATs contribute to the overall functioning of the Eurozone’s financial architecture by providing a risk-free benchmark for pricing other securities. Their role in monetary policy extends beyond France, influencing financial markets across the European Union.

OATs as a Global Benchmark

OATs hold significance beyond France, serving as a critical component of global financial systems. Their euro-denominated nature positions them as an attractive option for central banks and institutional investors seeking diversification in foreign reserves.

Global investors often compare OATs with other sovereign bonds, such as U.S. Treasury bonds and German Bunds, to evaluate risk and return profiles. This competition reinforces OATs’ status as a key player in international capital markets.

In times of financial uncertainty, OATs provide a safe haven for investors looking to preserve capital. Their high liquidity and the French government’s strong credit ratings ensure consistent demand, particularly during economic turbulence.

However, OATs’ global importance also comes with challenges. Economic or political instability in France can impact investor confidence, affecting the broader European financial system. Despite these risks, their resilience and reliability continue to cement their role in global markets.

Why Should I Be Interested in This Post?

This post is a valuable resource for students and professionals interested in understanding OATs as a key financial instrument. It highlights their significance in government financing, monetary policy, and global markets, making them essential knowledge for those exploring careers in finance or economics.

Related Posts on the SimTrade Blog

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Introduction to bonds

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond Markets

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond valuation

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond risks

   ▶ Bijal GANDHI Credit Rating

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Credit risk

Useful Resources

Agence France Trésor (AFT)

European Central Bank

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)

About the Author

The article was written in December 2024 by Camille KELLER (ESSEC Business School, Bachelor in Business Administration (BBA), 2020-2024).

What are green bonds?

What are green bonds?

Louis DETALLE

In this article, Louis DETALLE (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2023) explains what are the different green bonds and what are they used for.

Green bond

A green bond is a debt security, often issued by a company or public entity on the market to enable it to finance projects related to the ecological transition. These securities function in the same way as traditional bonds, characterized by an interest rate, a repayment schedule, etc. However, green bonds are specific in that the projects financed by this type of bond must be oriented towards preserving the environment. From 2013 onwards, the green bond market has experienced very strong growth worldwide: almost $275 billion of broadly defined green bonds were issued between 2013 and 2017, including over $100 billion in the last year. In 2021, global green bond sales reached a record $513 billion, according to Bloomberg. Despite this explosion of green bonds, the craze for this type of bonds is to be qualified as they remain very marginal compared to conventional bonds, especially in the current context of the war in Ukraine.

What are the main green bond issuers?

Green bonds issuers can consist mainly of states and governments. For example, Europe has an important place in this market: almost 45% of green bond issues in 2019 were denominated in euros, compared to 26% in dollars. Indeed, France was the first country to issue a significant size of green bond, followed closely by Germany, Belgium, Ireland and the Netherlands. 225 billion in green bonds as part of the European recovery plan.

Outside Europe, the US and China are the largest issuers of green bonds. They account for almost 32% of such issues.

On the other hand, green bonds issuers can also consist of large companies. In France, Suez (the water and waste group) issued a first green bond for €2.6 billion in May 2022. This transaction met with strong demand as it was oversubscribed by about 2.9 times by 200 European institutional investors, the group said in a statement. In the meantime, large companies, particularly in the energy sector, have also launched green bond issues with, in France, Engie, EDF or in real estate with the Icade group. The SNCF also issued a green bond in 2016, becoming the first railway infrastructure manager in the world to adopt such an approach. 900 million euros were issued in the first year, then 1 billion in 2017, the largest green issue for a French company, and 500 million in 2019.

US companies have been slower to embrace green bonds, but with a total of $30 billion in green bonds issued in the first 10 months of 2019, US corporate green bond issuance has jumped by 60%. PepsiCo has obtained 1 billion dollars from investors for its inaugural operation in 2019. These 30-year green bonds will be used to finance projects that reduce the use of non-recycled plastic in the manufacture of bottles, limit the consumption of water in its production processes and, more generally, reduce its carbon footprint. The UDR real estate group is one of the recent issuers. In February 2019, it was telecoms giant Verizon that raised $1 billion, attracting eight times more demand than supply.

How are the green bonds regulated?

In the European Union, the regulation of European green bonds is still at the draft stage. The EU is taking further steps to implement its strategy on financing sustainable growth and energy transition.

The EU Permanent Representatives have given the green light to the Council’s position on a proposal to create European green bonds. The regulation concerned sets out uniform requirements for bond issuers who wish to use the name “European Green Bond” or “EuGB. For the latter, the main interest is that this regulation would provide a registration system and a monitoring framework for European green bond issuers.

Environmentally sustainable bonds are one of the main instruments for financing investments in green technologies, energy and resource efficiency, and sustainable transport and research infrastructure. The Council announced that it is ready to enter into negotiations with the European Parliament in order to reach agreement on a final version of the text that will have to be accepted by all Member States.

Outside the EU, in the US, China and elsewhere, green bond regulation is still in its infancy. This raises a major concern: actors can issue green bonds without using the funds for environmental purposes. For example, according to the Climate Bonds Initiative, only half of China’s green bonds comply with international standards. It is precisely for this reason that regulations are more necessary than ever to avoid a green bond fashion

Related posts on the SimTrade blog

▶ Anant JAIN The World 10 Most Sustainable Companies in 2021 …

▶ Anant JAIN Green Investments

▶ Maite CARNICERO MARTINEZClimate change’s impact on the financial sector

Resources

French State’s Website about green bonds

An article by BNP Paribas about the EU regulation on ESG criterias

An article by Les Echos on how the US are defining new regulations in order to fight the plague of greenwashing

About the author

The article was written in December 2022 by Louis DETALLE (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2020-2023).

Eurobonds

Eurobonds

Akshit Gupta

This article written by Akshit GUPTA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022) explains Eurobonds traded in financial markets.

Introduction

In financial markets, bonds are debt securities used by issuers to raise capital from investors. In return investors get an interest payment on the principal invested over the life of the bond. The bonds can be issued by governments, municipalities, financial institutions, and companies. The duration of the bonds can cover different time periods.

Eurobonds are a special kind of bonds issued by companies or governments to raise capital from financial markets. These bonds are denominated in a currency different from the currency of the country where they originated. The Eurobonds help issuers to raise capital in a foreign currency and at a lower cost. Let’s take the example of an American company which would like to issue debt in euros to finance its operations in Europe. If it borrows in European markets, it will get a higher interest rate as it is less well known in the foreign markets that in the domestic market. With Eurobonds, the company can benefit from the same level of interest rates as for its domestic bonds, thereby lowering its cost of capital.

These instruments have a medium to long term maturity and are highly liquid in the market. They are traded over the counter (OTC) and the market for Eurobonds is made up of several financial institutions, issuers, investors, government bodies, and brokers. Many brokerages across the world provide trading platforms facilities to investors and borrowers for trading in different kinds of Eurobonds.

Characteristics of Eurobonds

Eurobonds are unsecured instruments and investors demand high yields on these instruments based on the credit ratings of the issuer. The issuer can issue Eurobonds in a foreign currency and a foreign land based on their capital needs. The name of a Eurobond carries the name of the currency in which they are dominated. For example, a French company willing to do business in the United States, can issue a Eurobond in the UK financial market denominated in US dollars which will be called as euro-dollar bond.

A Eurobond should not be confused with a foreign bond issued by an issuer in the foreign market denominated in the local currency of the investor. A Eurobond can be issued in a foreign country and can be denominated in a currency different from the local currency of the issuer. For example, a French company willing to invest in Japan can issue a Euro-yen bond in the US markets denominated in the local currency of Japan.

These bonds are traded electronically on different platforms and can have maturities ranging from 5 years to 30 years. The bonds can have fixed or floating interest rates with semi-annual or annual payments. These bonds have a relatively small face value making it attractive even to small investors.

Benefits of Eurobonds

Eurobonds can serve different benefits to issuers and investors.

Major advantage of Eurobonds for the issuers

  • Access to capital at lower rates – Companies can choose countries with lower interest rates to issue Eurobonds, thereby avoiding interest rate risks
  • Access to different bond maturities – As Eurobonds can have maturities ranging from 5 years to 30 years, companies can have a wide range of maturities to choose from depending on their requirements
  • Access to international markets – By issuing Eurobonds denominated in a different currency, companies can access different markets with more ease with a wide investor base.

Major advantage of Eurobonds for the investors

  • Access to international markets – By buying Eurobonds, investors can gain easy access to international markets thereby diversifying their fixed income portfolios.
  • Access to different bond maturities – As Eurobonds can have maturities ranging from 5 years to 30 years, borrowers can have a wide range of maturities to choose from depending on their investment profile.
  • High liquidity – As the market size for Eurobonds is very large, investors can enjoy higher liquidity and can exit their positions as per their needs.

Example

The figure below gives an example of Eurobonds issued by the Federal Republic of Nigeria.

Characteristics of the Eurobonds issuance.

Example of Eurobond issuance

Source: FMDQ.

Related posts

   ▶ Akshit GUPTA Green bonds

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Fixed-income products

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Credit Risk

Useful resources

International Capital Market Association (ICMA) History of Eurobonds

About the author

Article written in March 2022 by Akshit GUPTA (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2022).

Bond Markets

Bond markets

Rodolphe Chollat-Namy

In this article, Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2023) introduces you to bond markets.

The bond market allows the financing of medium and long-term needs of States, local authorities and companies. In return, it offers opportunities to invest medium and long-term financing capacities. In order to understand the bond market, it is necessary to distinguish two markets. The primary market, where bonds are issued, and the secondary market, where they are traded. What are their characteristics?

The primary market

When an organization issues new bonds, it uses the primary bond market, where its securities are acquired by various investors.

The issue price of a bond is expressed as a percentage of the face value of the security. If the issue price is 100%, the price is said to be at par.  If the issue price is above 100%, the price is said to be above par. If the issue price is below 100%, the price is said to be below par.

The nominal interest rate is used to calculate the coupon that will be paid to the bondholder. The interest rate at the issuance date depends on the default risk of the issuer reflecting its financial quality. This default risk is usually evaluated by rating agencies (S&P, Moody’s, Fitch).

There are two principal ways to issue bonds: syndication and auction.

Syndication

Syndication is the most common way to issue debt, widely used by companies, governments and other organizations. Syndication is when several financial institutions join together to ensure the placement of a bond with investors in order to reduce their risk exposure.

In a syndication, there are two types of financial institution: the lead bank, which arranges the transaction and manages the loan syndication, and the so-called “junior” banks, which participate in the transaction without setting the terms.

There are two types of syndication. “Full commitment” is where the lead bank commits to providing the company with the capital it needs and then subcontracts part of the financing to the other members of the syndicate to limit its exposure. “Best effort” is when the amount of the loan is determined by the commitments that the banks are willing to make in a financing transaction.

Auction

Auction is used by governments only. It is their preferred method of issuing sovereign debt. It allows the acquisition of a debt security through an auction system.

The auction can be “open”, i.e. all direct participants in public securities auctions (credit institutions, management and intermediation companies, etc.) have the possibility of acquiring part of the security put up for auction. It can also be “targeted”, i.e. the issue is reserved only for the primary dealers – banks or other financial institutions that has been approved to trade securities – of the issuing State.

A few days before the planned date of an auction, the State makes an announcement, confirming, postponing or cancelling the operation. It also gives the characteristics of the securities to be issued, i.e. the type of securities, the maturity and the amount it wishes to raise. Buyers can then submit several bids, each specifying the desired quantity and price. The issue lines are then auctioned to the highest bidders. The higher the demand is, the lower the issue rate is.

Auction is used because it provides investors, among other things, with transparency and free competition on an investment product with an attractive benefit in relation to a low risk level.

The secondary market

Once issued, a bond can be traded on the secondary bond market. It then becomes a tradable financial instrument, and its price fluctuates over time.

On entering the market, a bond will compete with other bonds. If it offers a higher return than other bonds for the same risk, the bond will be in demand, which will drive up its price. For the most part, transactions are conducted over the counter (OTC). Buyers and sellers interrogate several “market makers” who give them buying or selling prices, and then choose the intermediary who makes the best offer.

A number of bond indices exist for the purposes of managing portfolios and measuring performance, similar to the CAC40 for stocks. The most common American benchmarks are the Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index and Citigroup BIG.

A bond is quoted as a percentage of its face value. Thus, if it is trading at 85% of its nominal value of €1,000, it is quoted at €850. In addition, the bond is quoted at the coupon footer, i.e. without the accrued coupon.

The accrued coupon is the interest that has been earned but not yet paid since the most recent interest payment. It is calculated as follows: accrued coupon = (number of days/365) x face rate – with the face rate being the rate on the basis of which interest is calculated at the end of a full year for the nominal value of the bond -.

To better understand this mechanism, let us take an example:

Consider a 6% bond with a nominal value of €1,000, with an entitlement to dividends on 12/31 (coupon payment date). It is assumed that the bond is worth €925 on 09/30.

Gross annual interest: 1,000 x 6% = €60.

The accrued coupon on 09/30 is: 60 x 9/12 = 45 €.

Quotation at the foot of the coupon: 925 – 45 = €880.

Percentage quotation: 880 x 100/ 1000 = 88%.

The quoted price will be: 88%.

In the market, bondholders are subject to risks (interest rate risk, exchange rate risk, inflation risk, credit risk, etc.). We will come back to this in a future article.

Useful resources

Rating agencies

S&P

Moody’s

Fitch Rating

Related posts

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond valuation

   ▶ Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY Bond risks

   ▶ Bijal GANDHI Credit Rating

   ▶ Jayati WALIA Credit risk

About the author

Article written in May 2021 by Rodolphe CHOLLAT-NAMY (ESSEC Business School, Grande Ecole Program – Master in Management, 2019-2023).