Analysis of synergy-based theories for M&A

Analysis of synergy-based theories for M&A

Suyue MA

In this article, Suyue MA (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor of Business Administration, 2017-2021) analyzes the synergy-based theories for M&As.

This article is structured as follows: I will first share with my professional experience. I will introduce the concepts of M&A and a brief analysis of past M&A market activity. We then expose the different theories based on synergies emphasized by companies in M&A deals.

About myself

I have been interested in finance ever since I started my study at ESSEC Business School in 2017. By acknowledging more about finance, during my 2nd year of study, I decided to build up my career in corporate finance, focusing on the primary market. By sending around 400 resumes to different companies and banks, I finally worked in the field of M&A. Until now, I have finished four internships in the field of corporate finance, private equity, capital-raising advisory, and mergers and acquisitions (M&A).

In this article, I would like to share with you about some very important M&A theories based on synergies that most of companies decided to execute as effective corporate strategies.

Introduction

M&As are defined as consolidation of companies, and it refers to corporate finance, corporate strategy, and corporate management, dealing with selling, buying, or combination of different firms, which can create resources, financing, and business development to a firm to grow its business without the need of creating a new business entity. Normally, a merger occurs between companies that have related interests with a similar company size or market cap. In addition, a merger is commonly understood as a fusion of two companies, which the bigger and better company will remain its name and status while the other one will disappear and not exist as a unique business entity. Nevertheless, acquisition means that a company is going to pay a certain price (in cash or stocks) to buyout or acquire the target company’s part of or full of stock right, achieving the controlling right or assets of the company that is being acquired, but the legal person’s status will remain.

To put in a nutshell, based on the historical M&A transactions, the primary objectives behind a merger or acquisition are to create long-term shareholder value, achieve larger market share, and improve the company’s efficiency. However, obviously, there are also a great number of M&A activities failed to reach such goals or even ruined companies. According to the collated research and a recent Harvard Business Review report in 2021, the M&A’s failure rate sites between 70% to 90%, which is an extremely high figure even though the report takes all rage of business, culture factors, and objectives factors into considerations. Thus, it remains doubtful whether a M&A transaction can help company’s development and create shareholder’s value.

Nowadays, companies use M&A for various reasons because companies are always facing the issues of dealing with global competition, market globalization, and constant technology innovation. It is now a fact that M&A has become the most popular corporate strategy around the world. We may ask why the management and shareholder boards are using merger and acquisition to promote the company’s advancement and shareholders’ return instead of other strategies, such as doing investments and innovations. According to the aforementioned report, some finance professionals believe that such transactions create short-cut for companies’ growth and market share, since the companies do not need to start a business sector over again, in which the risk of running a successful business is high and the cost of capital is high as well. On the contrary if both buy-side and sell-side companies can find synergies that benefit each other, ideally, they will gain more revenues due to the positive reaction, and therefore create value for their shareholders. Thus, here I will dig deeper in the following theories and synergies to better understand the aim and purpose of M&A.

Figure 1. Number and value of merger and acquisition deals worldwide from 1985 to 2020.

Number and value of merger and acquisition deals worldwide from 1985 to 2020

Source: Institute of Mergers, Acquisitions and Alliances (IMAA)

Figure 2. Number and value of merger and acquisition deals in the United States from 1985 to 2020.

Number and value of merger and acquisition deals in the United States from 1985 to 2020

Source: Institute of Mergers, Acquisitions and Alliances (IMAA)

The figures above are about the number and value of M&A transactions in both U.S. and worldwide in the last two and half decades (1985-2020). The reason why I choose these geographic locations is because the global M&A transactions’ number and value can provide us the activity level of the market; secondly, the U.S. market has the most active level from all time, and therefore, by viewing such figures, it can provide us a very clear overview of the market. According to both figures above, both M&A’s value and transactions are increasing stably except three serious drops in year of 2000, 2008, and 2020. The first drop is because of 2000’s financial crisis that happened in most of developed countries; the second drop happened right after the U.S. subprime crisis, and the last drop just happened from years of 2019 to 2021, in which the whole world was shut down because of COVID-19 virus. A great number of big companies went bankrupt and most of financial institutions had to stop their operations. What is more, we can find that after each recession, the value and number of M&A transactions rebounded rapid to the average level and kept increasing the volume within the following years. As I mentioned previously, although M&As have a super rate of failure, the success rate of successful company’s transactions must surpass the risks involved. Consequently, it is not difficult to explain why companies are keeping entering M&A transactions.

M&A’s main theories

The history of mergers and acquisitions exists for more than a hundred years, and financial professionals and scholars came forward with a great number of merger and acquisition theories. Most of these theories are based on the motives and benefits of merger and acquisition, and several major models have been developed. The following part is a brief introduction of these theories.

Efficiency theory assumes that both the acquiring company and the target company are interested in maximizing shareholder value, that the merger is a value-adding investment for both the acquiring company and the target company; the total benefits of the merger (the sum of the values of target and acquiring companies after vs before the deal) are positive. Efficiency theories are powerful in explaining the motivation of mergers, but the exact motivation of mergers in terms of synergies and efficiency improvements requires further examination and analysis and is beyond the scope of this dissertation. The different sources of efficiency theory based on value addition can be divided into the following areas: management synergy, operating synergy, diversification and strategic synergy, financial synergy, and undervaluation theory.

Management synergy

Since there are differences between the management capabilities of any two firms, the merger and acquisition activity may enable the more efficient management capabilities to diffuse in the new post-acquisition firm, bringing about efficiency improvements. For example, a relatively efficient firm may improve the management and operations of the acquired firm by acquiring a relatively inefficient firm to improve efficiency, thus increasing the value of the acquired firm; or a firm with relatively poor management efficiency may acquire a firm with higher management efficiency to improve its own efficiency, thus acquiring the organizational capital unique to the acquired firm.

Operating synergy

Operating synergies assume that there are economies of scale and economies of scope, which are cost advantages reaped by companies when production becomes efficient, in an industry, and that through merger and acquisition, companies can improve their original operating efficiency. In this theory, merger and acquisition can create great value.

The scale of the enterprise before the merger is far from the economies of scale, and the enterprise entity (consortium) formed after the merger can minimize the cost or maximize the profit in production, personnel, equipment, management, and sales. On the other hand, through vertical mergers, enterprises at different stages of development in the industry can be combined to reduce transaction costs and obtain effective synergies. Economies of scope mean that companies can use their existing product manufacturing and sales experience to produce related add-on products at a lower cost. For example, in the automotive industry, additional production of small cars and various vans would benefit from the existing automotive technology and manufacturing experience.

Diversification and strategic synergy

Companies can diversify their operations through M&A activities, which can diversify risks and stabilize revenue streams and provide employees with greater security and advancement opportunities; ensure continuity of the corporate team and organization; secure the company’s reputation. For strategic synergy, the company can acquire new management skills and organizational costs through M&A to increase the ability to enter new growth areas or overcome new competitive threats.

Financial synergy

One source of financial synergy is the lower cost of internal and external financing. For example, companies with high internal cash flow and low investment opportunities should have excess cash flow, while companies with lower internal capital production capacity and significant investment opportunities should require additional financing. Therefore, merger of these two firms may have the advantage of lower internal capital costs. On the other hand, the combined firm’s ability to leverage debt is greater than the sum of ability of the two firms before the merger, which provides a tax saving advantage.

Undervaluation theory

This theory suggests that the most direct basis for M&A comes from the difference in the value of the target company as judged by different investors and market players, since there is no purely efficient stock market in the world, it is possible that market value of the target company is lower than its true or potential value for some reason. The main reasons for undervaluation are: first, the inability of the target company’s management to realize the full potential of the company. The second reason could be insider information, because the M&A firm has information about the true value of the target company that is not known to the outside world. Thirdly, the Q-ratio. This is the ratio of the market value of the firm’s securities over the replacement cost of its assets. When inflation persists, as the Q ratio falls below one, it is cheaper to acquire an existing firm than to build a new one.

Useful resources

Institute of Mergers, Acquisitions and Alliances (IMAA) M&A Statistics.

Christensen, C.M., Alton, R., Rising, C., Waldeck, A., (March 2011) The Big Idea: The New M&A Playbook Harvard Business Review (89):48-57.

Dineros-De Guzman, C., (May 2019) Creating value through M&A PWC.

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   ▶ Louis DETALLE How does a takeover bid work & how is it regulated?

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About the author

The article was written in January 2022 by Suyue MA (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor of Business Administration, 2017-2021).

Expeditionary experience in a Chinese investment banking boutique

Expeditionary experience in a Chinese investment banking boutique

Anna Barbero

In this article, Suyue MA (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor of Business Administration, 2017-2021) shares his experience as an intern at InvesTarget, an investment banking boutique in China focusing on capital raising and M&A.

About myself

I have been interested in finance ever since I started my study at ESSEC Business School in 2017. By acknowledging more about finance, during my 2nd year of study, I decided to build up my career in corporate finance, focusing on the primary market. By sending around 400 resumes to different companies and banks, I finally received my first internship offer in a top 10 securities company doing Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (CMBS) projects in China. Until now, I have finished 4 internships in the field of corporate finance, private equity, capital-raising advisory, and Mergers and acquisitions (M&A).

In this article, I would like to share with you about my internship in a capital-raising advisory team of a Chinese new-type investment banking boutique. This company mainly focuses on M&A and fundraising advisory; some of those companies will also play a role as venture capital if they have their own money to invest or they find some profitable projects.

My mission

In this internship, my primary exposure covered in Technology & Industrial sector, including Industrial Drone, Intelligence Vehicle, and Advanced Materials.

Main tasks

As an intern, my main tasks were mainly as followed:

  • Perform pro forma financing consequences, capitalization table, Discounted Cash Flows (DCF) analysis, and accretion/dilution analysis
  • Perform in-depth financial, accounting, and operation due diligence, which includes financial analysis, team’s background, and technology support on client companies
  • Prepare materials for internal business plan, business proposal, and financial advisory presentation
  • Conduct reports of industry research and company analysis on Telecom Media and Technology (TMT) specific sectors.

Details of a deal

Since a round of fundraising process is normally around six months, I had a chance to close two live deals. Let me take one of the deals as an example: we had a client company that is a top intelligent driving-technology startup with valuation around US$250m. The company was looking for US$30m Series B round funding (round of growth stage financing). Our role as a fundraising advisor was to screen potential investors (normally they are Venture Capitals (VCs), since B round is still in growth stage) who are interested in such field at first. We also helped and guided the client company to prepare the material needed for the fundraising, such as business plan, business contract, and company’s financial analysis. Subsequently, if VCs are interested, we will assist VCs to do the due diligence on the client company. It usually includes financial, accounting, law, and compliance documents. After the valuation of VCs, if they agree to invest in company’s shares, both VCs and client company will sign a Term Sheet and finish the transaction within a period mentioned by the contract.

Preparatory work

We also need to do industry and company research report in Technology and Industrial sector, in which industry research report should include the industry’s definition, category, history, political trends, market analysis, competition status, core technology, industry development trend, capital market research, etc. For the company research report, we should present the company’s background information, capitalization table, business category and products, team, financing history, cooperation relationship, etc.

Takeaway from my internship

Thus, by doing such work, as an intern, I could have a deep understanding regarding specific sectors and build up relationship with some top VCs and Private Equity (PE) firms. This is quite important for the students who want to work in the investment field of primary market.

Financial concepts

Venture Capital

Venture capital (VC) is a form of private equity and a type of financing that investors provide to startup companies and small businesses that are believed to have long-term growth potential. Venture capital generally comes from well-off investors, investment banks, and any other financial institutions. However, it does not always take a monetary form; it can also be provided in the form of technical or managerial expertise. Venture capital is typically allocated to small companies with exceptional growth potential, or to companies that have grown quickly and appear poised to continue to expand.

Though it can be risky for investors who put up funds, the potential for above-average returns is an attractive payoff. For new companies or ventures that have a limited operating history (under two years), venture capital funding is increasingly becoming a popular – even essential – source for raising capital, especially if they lack access to capital markets, bank loans, or other debt instruments. The main downside is that the investors usually get equity in the company, and, thus, a say in company decisions.

Capital funding

Capital funding is the money that debt and equity holders provide to a business for daily and long-term needs. A company’s capital funding consists of both debt (bonds and loans) and equity (stock). The business uses this money for both capital expenditures (Capex) and operating expenditures (Opex). The debt and equity holders expect to earn a return on their investment. The form of returns is interests for debt holders, and dividends and capital gains for equity holders. However, in my internship, since the company is still a startup at growth stage, so it only includes equity financing, which means that the investors will directly own the company’s share rights by investment money.

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)

The discounted cash flow (DCF) method is a valuation method used to estimate the value of an investment based on its expected future cash flows. DCF analysis attempts to figure out the value of an investment today (present value) based on projections of how much money it will generate in the future. This applies to investment decisions of investors in companies, such as acquiring a company, investing in a technology startup, or buying stocks in the secondary market. For business, owners and managers are looking to make capital budgeting or operating expenditures decisions such as opening a new factory, purchasing or leasing new equipment.

The DCF formula is shown below:

Present value of a series of cash flows

where PV is the present value of the investment, CF the series of cash flows generated by the investment (CF1 is for year 1, CF2 is for year 2, …, CFT is for the last year T) and r the discount rate.

Relevance to the SimTrade certificate

The experience shared above is strongly related to the SimTrade Certificate. The primary market is where securities are created, while the secondary market is where those securities are traded by investors. The boundary between primary and secondary market is the IPO. Once stocks are traded in public, it comes to secondary market. From my perspective, most parts of the investment analysis and logic are the same, such as fundamental analysis, DCF, P/E ratio, etc. so we can benefit from SimTrade by learning how business factors will affect the company’s stock performance and why and when should we make the right investment.

Related posts

   ▶ All posts about Professional experiences

Useful resources

InvesTarget

Investopedia Venture Capital

Investopedia Private Equity

About the author

Article written in June 2021 by Suyue MA (ESSEC Business School, Global Bachelor of Business Administration, 2017-2021).