The Impact of Trump’s Presidency on Tesla and Tech Stocks

Hongting LIU

In this article, Hongting LIU (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy & Management of International Business (SMIB), 2021-2022) shares her insight regarding the influence of Trump’s wining in the election of the US president in November, 2024 in the technology industries.

Tesla’s Stock Performance is outstanding during 2024 especially after the result of the election was released

Tesla’s stock exhibited significant volatility and momentum during Trump’s presidency:

Evolution of Tesla’s stock price.
Evolution of Tesla’s stock price
Source: Yahoo! Finance.

  • Election-Driven Surge: Following Trump’s re-election in 2024, Tesla’s stock surged nearly 13% in a single day due to investor optimism about pro-business policies.
  • Peaks and Corrections: By December 2024, Tesla’s stock reached a historic high of $479.8 per share but later adjusted to $379.28 in January 2025.
  • Trading Range Formation: The stock fluctuated between $380 and $480, reflecting divided sentiment on its future potential.

Reasons Behind Tesla’s Stock Surge

Trump may use pro-Business Policies like he did from 2017 to 2021

Donald Trump’s return to the presidency allows for an assessment of potential policies based on his previous term from January 2017 to January 2021. During his first administration, policies such as tax reforms, deregulation, and a pro-business stance were introduced. These measures aimed to foster investor confidence and support domestic industries. Corporate tax cuts and relaxed regulatory requirements provided particular advantages to high-growth sectors, including technology and green energy, benefiting companies like Tesla. The administration also emphasized economic nationalism and prioritized local industries. Policies aimed at reducing taxes and loosening employment regulations were designed to enhance the competitiveness of American businesses, particularly those reliant on research and development (R&D) and capital investment. Additionally, diplomatic and trade relationships with Middle Eastern countries were strengthened, resulting in energy agreements that supported collaboration on clean energy initiatives. These agreements promoted the adoption of renewable energy technologies and created opportunities for companies like Tesla to contribute to the modernization of energy infrastructure in the region.

The winning of Trump triggers the positive emotion to Elon’s businesses

Tesla’s CEO, Elon Musk, is considered to be an informal advisory role in Trump’s administration further bolstered Tesla’s growth trajectory. The victory of Trump gives the market the confidence in Elon’s companies. The global push for electric vehicles (EVs) gained momentum during this period, driven by government incentives and growing environmental awareness. As a leader in the EV industry, Tesla became a focal point for investors aligning with long-term global trends.

Future Trends in U.S. Tech Stocks

AI Integration

Advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) are expected to drive significant gains for tech companies. Tesla, leveraging AI in autonomous driving systems, stands to benefit from these developments.

Sustainability Focus

Global trends toward sustainability, including renewable energy and EV adoption, will continue to bolster companies like Tesla aligned with these priorities.

Regulatory Dynamics

Post-Trump regulatory scrutiny may increase, but the tech sector’s central role in innovation ensures resilience in the face of challenges.

Caution: Avoid Blindly Following Market Trends

While Tesla’s stock has delivered exceptional returns, its high volatility underscores the need for caution. Blindly chasing high-performing stocks can lead to financial losses, especially in speculative environments. In fact, from the middle of December 2024 to the January 2025, there is a volatility of the stock performance. The long term performance of Tesla should be estimated based on its annual report regarding its revenues, new AI technology, profits margins, energy & storage business growth, and also the demand and the competition of the global electric automobile market. We should not judge everything based on the emotion of market even though the emotion of the market should never be ignored.

Conclusion

Donald Trump’s presidency marked a transformative period for the U.S. economy, particularly for the technology sector. Tesla’s growth trajectory reflects the broader trends in innovation and sustainability. Moving forward, technological advancements and global shifts toward sustainability will continue to shape the market. Strategic planning and prudent investment remain essential in navigating these complexities.

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Useful resources

Barron’s (January 23, 2025) “EV Charging Stocks Are Sliding. How Tesla Stands to Gain,” Barron’s, January 23, 2025

Barron’s (January 23, 2025) Tesla Stock Will Get Help From Trump, Believe Investors. But How?

The Guardian (January 27, 2025) Charles Koch’s network launches $20m campaign backing Trump tax breaks

CNN Business (April 15, 2019) Trump’s tax cuts: 4 ways they changed the American economy

Forbes (March 14, 2018) Why Trump’s Tax Reform Will Spark Continued Small Business Growth

About the author

The article was written in January 2025 by Hongting LIU (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy & Management of International Business (SMIB), 2021-2022).

Research Report on the Price Advantage of American Products in the Chinese Market

Hongting LIU

In this article, Hongting LIU (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy & Management of International Business (SMIB), 2021-2022) studies the pricing advantages for American products in the Chinese market, focusing on factors like economies of scale, market competition, and supply chain efficiency. The author has worked on the consultancy of Global procurement for two years for IT equipment and here is the analysis of a phenomenon.

About the phenomenon

For at least 5 years, certain American brand products produced in the US (Cisco’s technological hardware, Fortinet, etc.) are cheaper in the Chinese market than in the US. How can a product become cheaper after all the transportation over the Pacific Ocean? This discrepancy can be attributed to economies of scale. Strong demand from China has led to substantial import volumes, reducing unit procurement costs. Many distributors buy a lot in stock then trade them like commodities. These products are treated like commodities in China, with prices dynamically adjusting to supply and demand.

According to China’s 2023 import-export trade statistics, the annual import value of American technological hardware (including communication and network equipment) reached $55 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.3%.

Key reasons behind the phenomenon

Main reason: China has the Economies of Scale and Bargaining Power

Cisco’s 2023 annual report reveals that the Asia-Pacific region (mainly China) accounts for 30% of its international sales, with average bulk purchase discounts ranging from 15% to 20%. At the same time, such a big market is dominated by several huge distributors. In 2023, a major distributor captured 50% of the market share through cross-border sales across mainland China and Hong Kong, driving down overall product prices. We do not know exactly who is the distributor as the information of it is disclose. However, given the fact that there is such major distributors can dominate in such a big market, the scale they trade can be huge and their bargaining power will be high. A distributor with a dominant market share often has better economies of scale, allowing them to negotiate lower purchase prices from manufacturers

China has low cost in the warehouse solution and the labor compared to the US. Chinese international trade market, especially IT products, is concentrate in Guangdong area which is the nation’s top trading province for the 39th consecutive year. In 2024, Guangdong’s total foreign trade—encompassing both imports and exports—reached 9.11 trillion yuan, accounting for 20.8% of China’s overall foreign trade. At the same time, a significant portion of this trade comprises electromechanical products, which include a wide range of IT-related goods. In 2024, Guangdong exported electromechanical products worth 3.87 trillion yuan, accounting for 65.6% of its total exports. With the economies of scale, the overall cost of logistics solutions in the Guangdong area remains higher cost-efficient than in Southeast Asia, even though labor costs are higher. The region benefits from advanced automated warehouses, well-developed logistics processes, and multiple international ports. Additionally, its proximity to Hong Kong further strengthens its position as a hub for international business. Therefore, the logistic cost in China for IT products can keep low.

The price is more transparent and dynamic due to the high amount of real-time trading and global supply-demand dynamics

It is easy to access to suppliers and ask prices so the price is rather transparent. It can be hard to profit from the information gap. Data from Alibaba International Station shows that in October 2024, the wholesale price of Cisco network switches in China was approximately $650/unit, while the U.S. domestic price was $720/unit.

Also, The rapid growth in demand and the agility of the Asia-Pacific market significantly enhanced China’s bargaining power for these products during the global supply chain recovery after the pandemic, allowing for more dynamic supply-demand adjustments.

The Impact of USD Dominance on Trade

USD Exchange Rate Mechanisms

The dominance of the U.S. dollar as the primary currency for international trade directly influences import and export costs. When the dollar appreciates, the cost of imports priced in dollars rises, making it more expensive for countries to purchase goods and reducing export competitiveness. Conversely, when the dollar depreciates, import costs decrease, and export competitiveness improves, benefiting economies that rely on international trade.

Supporting Data

According to the IMF’s 2023 report, approximately 80% of global trade transactions are settled in U.S. dollars, highlighting the currency’s central role in international trade. Price-sensitive products, such as technological hardware, represented 40% of China’s total imports from the U.S. in 2023, demonstrating the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on critical industries. During the same period, the USD to CNY exchange rate rose from 6.45 to 7.31, leading to an estimated increase in import costs of 13.4%, further emphasizing the financial implications of currency movements.

Policy Implications and Strategies

Managing Exchange Rate Risks

To mitigate the risks associated with currency fluctuations, businesses can utilize forward exchange contracts, allowing them to lock in USD to CNY exchange rates and stabilize costs over time. Additionally, adopting multi-currency settlement can serve as a viable strategy, enabling companies to negotiate transactions in RMB or other relatively stable currencies, such as the euro, to diversify risk and reduce dependency on the U.S. dollar.

Optimizing Procurement Strategies

Proactively managing procurement strategies is essential in navigating USD fluctuations. Companies can monitor market prices in real-time, leveraging various platforms to access larger distributors with stronger negotiation power, ensuring more competitive pricing. Moreover, expanding supplier networks by balancing sourcing between American and international suppliers helps mitigate reliance on a single market, offering greater flexibility and resilience in global supply chains.

Leveraging Market Arbitrage Opportunities

Businesses can capitalize on market arbitrage opportunities by engaging in cross-border resale, where American products are distributed through third-country markets for profit. This strategy is particularly advantageous for regions with restricted access to U.S. goods. While this practice can be legally executed through proper procedures, it is crucial to remain compliant with both international and domestic regulations to avoid potential legal and policy violations.

Strengthening Supply Chain Collaboration

Enhancing supply chain collaboration plays a fundamental role in cost optimization and efficiency. Close cooperation with logistics providers allows companies to streamline transportation and warehousing, ultimately reducing procurement costs. Establishing long-term agreements with suppliers further ensures price stability and a consistent supply of goods, fostering a more secure and predictable trade environment.

Conclusion

The lower pricing of American products in the Chinese market results from economies of scale, market competition, supply chain efficiency, and dollar exchange rate fluctuations. People work in global procurement can take advantage of this phenomenon to optimize the procurement strategy.

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Useful resources

Cisco 2023 Annual Report

Alibaba International Station

2023 China Import-Export Trade Report

About the author

The article was written in January 2025 by Hongting LIU (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy & Management of International Business (SMIB), 2021-2022).

My internship experience at Forvia (Faurecia): A unique blend of corporate and start-up culture

Hongting LIU

In this article, Hongting LIU (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy & Management of International Business (SMIB), 2021-2022) shares her professional experience as a Business Development and Marketing Strategy Intern at Forvia (Faurecia), in the Sustainable Materials Division.

About the company

Forvia is the new corporate identity created after Faurecia acquired HELLA in 2022. It represents the combined entity of Faurecia + HELLA, forming the 7th largest global automotive supplier. It is renowned for its innovative solutions in seating, interiors, clean mobility, and electronics. Committed to sustainability, the company launched its Sustainable Materials Division to address the increasing demand for eco-friendly automotive solutions. This division, established as an independent entity within the corporate structure, embodies a start-up-like agility while benefiting from the parent company’s resources and expertise.

Logo of the Forvia.
Logo of Forvia
Source: the company.

The Sustainable Materials Division focuses on developing innovative materials for automotive parts while also marketing these solutions to external clients, fostering an entrepreneurial spirit within the organization.

My internship

During my six-month internship from April 2022 to November 2022, I worked in an environment that uniquely combined the structure of a global corporation with the flexibility and dynamism of a start-up. This experience provided me with a deeper understanding of sustainability in the automotive sector and enhanced my professional skills.

My missions

As a Business Development and Marketing Strategy Intern, I analyzed market trends using sales and supplier data, prepared communication materials (e.g., product presentations, portfolio books, and website content), and organized internal events to align stakeholders including clients, corporate team, and other divisions and departments of the company, with our division’s objectives. Additionally, I collaborated with engineering, business teams, and external partners to monitor the progress of various projects, ensuring timely execution and alignment with strategic goals.

Required skills and knowledge

The role required a range of soft skills, including project timeline management, creative marketing ideation, and building new products and strategies from the ground up. It also involved identifying and leveraging internal resources to coordinate efforts and achieve objectives, working independently without direct managerial oversight, and self-organizing teams to accomplish goals effectively. For some projects, you do not have previous examples and you need to start from 0 to 1. You also need to prove your idea/strategy by analysis to persuade your manager and other divisions of the company. It allows you to be responsible and follow up a project by yourself. You are required to set up the timeline and control the pace of the project. You need to communicate with different departments as well as other divisions to accomplish your project. Creativity and adaptability were also essential, as I worked on creating promotional materials from scratch and contributing to the division’s entrepreneurial efforts.

What I learned

This internship not only strengthened my understanding of how large organizations foster innovation but also highlighted the importance of balancing structure with flexibility in driving success. Faurecia provided the advantages of a large company, such as standardized workflows, abundant career opportunities, and a highly international environment. At the same time, the newly established division offered the benefits of a startup, including autonomy, the ability to build promotional materials from the ground up, and exposure to a rapidly developing sector. I appreciated the high level of efficiency and the immediate impact of my work, as well as the absence of the ‘cog in the machine’ experience common in larger firms. Moreover, working in the sustainable materials industry—a burgeoning field—equipped me with B2B (Business to Business) skills that have since been instrumental in launching my entrepreneurial journey after graduating. As it is an automobile company selling car parts (for our division, it is a division selling new material which can be applied to car parts), clients of this company are other car manufacturers which are companies. The marketing strategy for business-to-business market can be quite different from B2C (business to consumers) The experience of making marketing material and designing marketing strategy develop my skills in B2B marketing sectors.

Why should I be interested in this post?

For ESSEC students aiming to work in sustainability or innovative industries, this experience exemplifies how large corporations can offer opportunities that combine structure and creativity like start-ups. The insights I gained are particularly valuable for those seeking roles in business development or marketing within forward-thinking divisions.

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Useful resources

Forvia – Official website

Gibson, C. (2004) Birkinshaw, J., & Building Ambidexterity Into an Organization

About the author

The article was written in January 2025 by Hongting LIU (ESSEC Business School, Master in Strategy & Management of International Business (SMIB), 2021-2022).

My internship experience at Shenwan Hongyuan Securities

Hongting LIU

In this article, Hongting LIU (ESSEC Business School, Strategy Management and International Business Program , 2021-2022) shares her first internship experience during the Bachelor as a Key account manager Assistant at Shenwan Hongyuan Securities Underwriting Sponsor Co., Ltd., one of China’s leading financial institutions.

About the company

Shenwan Hongyuan Securities is one of China’s largest and most prestigious financial service providers, with a history spanning several decades. The company specializes in a wide range of financial services, including investment banking, securities trading, and wealth management. Its underwriting and sponsor division focuses on supporting corporate clients with Initial Public Offering s (IPOs, when a private company sells its shares to the public for the first time on a stock exchange to raise capital), bond issuances (selling of debt in financial markets), and other capital-raising activities in both domestic and international markets.

Logo of Shenwan Hongyuan Securities.
Logo of Shenwan Hongyuan Securities
Source: Shenwan Hongyuan Securities.

As a key player in China’s financial ecosystem, the company’s underwriting sponsor division plays a vital role in connecting businesses with investors and facilitating the growth of the capital markets.

My internship

During my two-month internship as a Marketing Communication Assistant, I worked closely with the investment and marketing teams to manage client communications and support capital market activities. This experience provided me with a comprehensive understanding of financial marketing and client relationship management in a dynamic and fast-paced environment.

My missions

As an intern, I supported my manager in providing financial advice to clients by assisting with research and analysis. I helped gather relevant financial news, market trends, and economic activities that could contribute to investment insights. I was involved in compiling and summarizing data on the performance of stocks. I also contributed to the creation of reports and presentations, helping to organize tables, charts, and visual aids to illustrate the performance of our portfolio. This involved tracking portfolio performance and comparing it to market benchmarks to provide a clearer picture for clients. Additionally, I assisted in preparing marketing materials for our financial products and services.

Required skills and knowledge

This role is an entry level internship for students studying in business schools. While it didn’t demand specialized financial expertise, the ability to quickly absorb and apply general financial knowledge from business school courses was essential. The position required strong analytical skills to interpret and synthesize market data into meaningful insights, and an understanding of the tools necessary for analysis, such as Python, PowerBI, and Excel, was also important. These tools were introduced through short training sessions, and I had to quickly get up to speed with them in order to support the team effectively. Effective communication and relationship management were important for maintaining trust with clients. It was essential to understand the different need of clients, think from the client’s perspective and anticipate their needs to ensure their satisfaction. Their needs can be achieve certain financial goals, take risky choices, take safer choices, prepare for the retirement, prepare for the study of children, etc. Additionally, the role required me to stay updated with financial news and market trends, often reading numerous articles and analyzing charts to gather relevant information. Overall, the position required a quick learning curve, adaptability to new tools, and an ability to keep a client-centric mindset while managing a high volume of information

What I learned

This internship was particularly meaningful as my first experience in the financial industry. It offered a general yet valuable introduction to the securities sector, making it an ideal starting point for anyone without an extensive financial background. The experience allowed me to build a foundational knowledge of capital markets and develop practical skills applicable to future roles in the industry. Additionally, I gained firsthand experience in building and maintaining professional relationships, a skill that is invaluable in any client-facing role.

Financial concepts related to my internship

Investment research

One of my key tasks involved analyzing market information and providing clients with investment insights. This required understanding market trends, stock valuations, and risk factors to guide client decisions.

Securities underwriting

Supporting the preparation of underwriting materials exposed me to the intricacies of the IPO process, including pricing strategies and regulatory compliance.

Risk management

Timely updates on market conditions and financial products emphasized the importance of risk assessment in investment decisions, a critical aspect of client advisory roles in this field.

Personal financial awareness

During my internship, I developed a deeper understanding of personal financial management, recognizing the importance of financial planning and investment strategies. This experience gave me a clearer direction for managing my own finances, from evaluating risk tolerance to exploring diversified investment opportunities, laying a foundation for long-term financial security.

Why should I be interested in this post?

This internship experience is interesting for bachelor students who want to work in finance in the future. It is also a good opportunity for Master students who want to develop in finance but have few financial practical experiences. This experience highlights the importance of blending technical knowledge with client relationship skills. The internship also provides valuable exposure to the dynamic world of securities underwriting and investment advisory, making it an excellent steppingstone for a career in finance.

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Useful resources

Shenwan Hongyuan Securities – Official Website

About the author

The article was written in January 2025 by Hongting LIU (ESSEC Business School, Strategy Management, and International Business, 2021-2022).