{"id":2330,"date":"2015-03-04T22:52:50","date_gmt":"2015-03-04T21:52:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.simtrade.fr\/blog_simtrade\/?p=2330"},"modified":"2024-03-24T19:26:33","modified_gmt":"2024-03-24T19:26:33","slug":"apocalypse-not-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.simtrade.fr\/blog_simtrade\/apocalypse-not-now\/","title":{"rendered":"Apocalypse ? Not now\u2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

Note de march\u00e9s de Jean-Marie Choffray<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n

J\u2019ai une profonde admiration pour l\u2019\u0153uvre de Ren\u00e9 Girard (\u00ab Des choses cach\u00e9es depuis la fondation du monde<\/em> \u00bb\u2026 \u00ab Achever Clausewitz<\/em> \u00bb). Professeur de litt\u00e9rature, passionn\u00e9 d\u2019histoire, anthropologue, il a pass\u00e9 sa vie entre les Etats-Unis et la France. Dans \u00ab Des choses cach\u00e9es depuis la fondation du monde<\/em> \u00bb, il pr\u00e9cise sa pens\u00e9e sur les m\u00e9canismes qui r\u00e9gissent le comportement des hommes en soci\u00e9t\u00e9. A partir des lois psychologiques que ma\u00eetrisent les grands auteurs, il propose une th\u00e9orie de la rivalit\u00e9 mim\u00e9tique<\/strong>, selon laquelle \u00e0 travers l\u2019objet, c\u2019est toujours l\u2019\u00eatre du mod\u00e8le qui est vis\u00e9. \u00ab Tout d\u00e9sir est d\u00e9sir d\u2019\u00eatre.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n

Selon lui, une crise<\/em> est toujours le r\u00e9sultat de la propagation de rivalit\u00e9s mim\u00e9tiques. A son paroxysme, la fascination passe de l\u2019objet<\/em> aux acteurs<\/em> impliqu\u00e9s, et le tous contre tous<\/em> se transforme en tous contre un<\/em>, g\u00e9n\u00e9rant une victime arbitraire qui focalise sur elle la violence : le bouc \u00e9missaire<\/em> ! Son sacrifice lib\u00e8re chacun de sa barbarie. C\u2019est le miracle de la paix retrouv\u00e9e. La victime devient sacr\u00e9e, portant en elle la capacit\u00e9 de d\u00e9cha\u00eener la crise comme celle de ramener la paix ! \u00ab C\u2019est la gen\u00e8se du religieux archa\u00efque que Ren\u00e9 Girard vient de d\u00e9couvrir : du sacrifice rituel comme r\u00e9p\u00e9tition de l\u2019\u00e9v\u00e9nement originaire, du mythe comme r\u00e9cit de cet \u00e9v\u00e9nement, des interdits qui sont l\u2019interdiction d\u2019acc\u00e8s \u00e0 tous les objets \u00e0 l\u2019origine des rivalit\u00e9s qui ont d\u00e9g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9 dans cette crise absolument traumatisante. Cette \u00e9laboration religieuse se fait progressivement au long de la r\u00e9p\u00e9tition des crises mim\u00e9tiques dont la r\u00e9solution n\u2019apporte la paix que de fa\u00e7on temporaire.<\/em> \u00bb (Wikip\u00e9dia)<\/p>\n

Dans \u00ab Achever Clausewitz<\/em> \u00bb, Girard explore la pens\u00e9e du th\u00e9oricien militaire sur la \u00ab mont\u00e9e aux extr\u00eames \u00bb observ\u00e9e dans les rapports humains quand ils deviennent hostiles. La violence non ma\u00eetrisable peut conduire au pire : l\u2019apocalypse\u2026 Etat dans lequel il n\u2019est pas interdit de penser que notre monde soit entr\u00e9 aujourd\u2019hui\u2026 Mais, comme l\u2019observe l\u2019auteur : \u00ab Renoncer \u00e0 la violence, c\u2019est sortir du cycle de la vengeance et des repr\u00e9sailles… C\u2019est l\u2019apport singulier du christianisme.<\/em> \u00bb<\/p>\n

Dans \u00ab A short history of financial euphoria<\/em> \u00bb, Galbraith d\u00e9crit la r\u00e9gularit\u00e9 avec laquelle les march\u00e9s financiers connaissent des chutes dans la d\u00e9mence. Il observe que les \u00e9pisodes euphoriques, o\u00f9 la hausse provoque la hausse \u2013 ou la baisse engendre la baisse \u2013, sont internes au march\u00e9 lui-m\u00eame. Comportement imitatif, rivalit\u00e9 mim\u00e9tique<\/em> avez-vous peut-\u00eatre pens\u00e9 ? Ces \u00e9pisodes impliquent toujours une dette excessive (levier<\/em>) qui exacerbe les comportements. Ils sont farouchement soutenus par ceux qui en profitent et fustigent ceux qui ont l\u2019audace de douter\u2026<\/p>\n

Il me semble difficile de ne pas \u00e9tablir un lien entre la th\u00e9orie<\/em> de Girard et les observations<\/em> de Galbraith ! Le comportement des investisseurs \u2013 individuels et\/ou institutionnels \u2013, int\u00e8gre incontestablement une dimension mim\u00e9tique. Et, je pense que les exc\u00e8s<\/em> des march\u00e9s gagneraient \u00e0 \u00eatre analys\u00e9s comme autant d\u2019exemples d\u2019\u00ab escalades dans la violence !<\/em> \u00bb La recherche de boucs \u00e9missaires<\/em> et l\u2019\u00e9laboration de mythes<\/em> et d\u2019interdits<\/em> participeraient alors naturellement d\u2019une forme de retour au calme et \u00e0 la r\u00e9alit\u00e9\u2026<\/p>\n

Le pire n\u2019\u00e9tant jamais certain, et les grandes d\u00e9cisions, les plus courageuses, ne se prenant g\u00e9n\u00e9ralement que face au pr\u00e9cipice, je doute de l\u2019imminence de l\u2019apocalypse\u2026 Je vous invite donc \u00e0 parier sur le fait que le monde sera toujours l\u00e0 dans cent ans et que vous \u00eates personnellement invit\u00e9s \u00e0 contribuer \u00e0 son am\u00e9lioration, \u00e0 son harmonie et \u00e0 son int\u00e9grit\u00e9, au travers des investissements d\u2019avenir que vous r\u00e9aliserez au cours du temps qui vous reste\u2026 \u00e0 vivre ! Pas de chance, donc. C\u2019est votre tour. Au boulot !<\/p>\n

Note : cette Note de march\u00e9s ne peut, ni ne doit, \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme formulant, ou sugg\u00e9rant, le moindre conseil d\u2019achat ou de vente de quelque produit financier que ce soit. Son seul objet est d\u2019\u00e9mettre un point de vue, et de le partager avec la communaut\u00e9 des investisseurs sceptiques, seuls responsables de leurs d\u00e9cisions.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Note de march\u00e9s de Jean-Marie Choffray J\u2019ai une profonde admiration pour l\u2019\u0153uvre de Ren\u00e9 Girard (\u00ab Des choses cach\u00e9es depuis la fondation du monde \u00bb\u2026 \u00ab Achever Clausewitz \u00bb). Professeur de litt\u00e9rature, passionn\u00e9 d\u2019histoire, anthropologue, il a pass\u00e9 sa vie entre les Etats-Unis et la France. Dans \u00ab Des choses cach\u00e9es depuis la fondation du … Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-contributors"],"yoast_head":"\nApocalypse ? 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